Reply: Venous Thromboembolism in Body Contouring: An Analysis of 17,774 Patients from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Databases.
Sir: It was with great interest that we read the comments by Swanson regarding venous thromboembolism in body contouring patients. The author has highlighted a number of critiques of our recent study entitled “Venous Thromboembolism in Body Contouring: An Analysis of 17,774 Patients from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Databases.”1 We will address each point sequentially. The author first challenges the inclusion of patients undergoing breast contouring procedures, as these patients tend to be younger, thinner, and with shorter operative times. In response to this critique, we draw attention to our study’s statistical methodology. All variables that approached statistical significance in a case-control analysis were included in a bootstrap analysis. Subsequently, a logistic multivariate regression analysis was performed using variables identified in the bootstrap procedure. Notably, these processes have been published on extensively, and validated as tools for deriving prognostic models.2–4 The particularly important component of this methodology is that patient age, body mass index, and anatomical region undergoing contouring (e.g., breast, trunk) were all analyzed independently in sequential multivariate regression models. This allows for discerning between risk associated with procedure type and patient characteristics. The author’s second critique is the high incidence of obesity in our cohort, which he posits is indicative of a large number of bariatric patients. The author cites his own study of 322 body contouring patients to establish the “normal” rate of obesity in a body contouring cohort as 20 percent.5 Our previous work with the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program databases, for the years 2005 to 2010, included a cohort of 1797 patients, and identified approximately 10 percent of the same patients as the current study, and corroborates an obesity incidence of approximately 50 percent.6 In addition, the diversity of this cohort, and the subsequent inclusion of the World Health Organization obesity classification in the venous thromboembolism risk score, permits this tool to be applicable to a wider range of patients, allowing for a better characterization of risk associated with increased body mass index. Dr. Swanson also draws attention to a higher than expected prevalence of wound class and American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status. In response to this point, there is not much that can be said, other than the national data regarding body contouring do not align with the author’s clinical experience. One factor that may be leading to the discrepancy appreciated by the author, though, is the Current Procedural Terminology coding of panniculectomy—an operation that may be performed in sicker patients. Importantly, though, as in the previous points, these factors were all included in our analysis, so the risk imparted by such factors was analyzed independently. Lastly, Dr. Swanson challenges the capability of venous thromboembolism risk stratification as a whole, and the notion of providing venous thromboembolism prophylaxis based on said stratifications. In response to the idea that we cannot reliably predict who will develop a venous thromboembolism, we would like to call attention to multiple articles showing that the Caprini score can identify and predict an approximately 20-fold variation in venous thromboembolism risk.7–10 Gould et al. characterize the American College of Chest Physicians practice guidelines for the prevention of venous thromboembolism, which stratify patients using Rogers and Caprini scores, recommending chemoprophylaxis for patients with venous thromboembolism risk of approximately 3 percent or greater who are not at increased risk for major bleeding complications.12 Venous thromboembolism remains a difficult entity to study and a troubling complication to surgeons, patients, and the health system alike. The relative infrequency of venous thromboembolism events necessitates highly powered studies developed by leveraging multi-institutional data to detect clinically important and statistical differences. We sincerely thank Dr. Swanson for his important critiques, but we maintain that the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program databases represent a powerful and effective tool with which to study and model venous thromboembolism events to better deliver risk data to our patients and to help inform clinical decision-making. These databases, just like other national databases, have limitations that must be disclosed and considered in the context of interpreting the findings. In summary, we believe that by using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Databases we have generated a useful tool for assessing venous thromboembolism risk in body contouring patients, and shown that in the presence of certain risk factors, the incidence of venous thromboembolism increases dramatically. DISCLOSURE The authors have no financial interest to declare in relation to the content of this communication. Ari M. Wes, B.A. Jason D. Wink, M.D., M.T.R. Stephen J. Kovach, M.D. John P. Fischer, M.D. Division of Plastic Surgery Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Pa.
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