- Research Article
- 10.3934/dcdsb.2025179
Unveiling the mechanism of codimension-2 cusp of equilibria and limit cycles in lemming dynamics
- Jan 01, 2026
- Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems - B
- Xiyang Wang + 3 more +3
The cyclical dynamics of lemmings in the Arctic have garnered increasing attention over the years. The potential loss of the lemming cycle raises concerns about the collapse of the entire food chains which may include specialized predators (such as the stoat), and generalist predators (arctic fox, snowy owl, and long-tailed skua). In this paper we conduct a comprehensive investigation of the complex dynamics within a predator-prey model that incorporates both specialist and generalist predators, alongside constant prey emigration, using a dynamical systems approach. We identify several key bifurcations related to equilibrium and limit cycles, including saddle-node bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation. The presence of cusps in equilibria and limit cycles reveals mechanisms that can lead to three coexisting equilibria or limit cycles, as well as potential extinction for both populations. Additionally, we explore the Fennoscandia phenomenon by examining the interactions between specialist and generalist predators within this framework. To our knowledge, we are the first to fully uncover the real generating mechanism for three limit cycles near a codimension-2 cusp region in the context of lemming dynamics; notably, these limit cycles may bifurcate from different Hopf bifurcation points rather than originating from a single point. Our findings indicate that an increase in the presence of constant lemming emigration can expand the bistable region and resilience of the predator-prey system, accompanied by hysteresis phenomena. This suggests that these factors may enhance the robustness of the predator-prey dynamics.
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