Uncertainty-Aware State of Charge Estimation for Lithium-Ion Batteries with Gated Recurrent Unit and Deep Evidential Regression
High-energy-density batteries are gaining popularity with the rise of electric vehicles (EVs). State-of-charge (SOC) estimation is crucial for informed decision-making, operational safety, and the longevity of these batteries; however, model-based SOC estimation often struggles due to the nonlinear dynamics of batteries, unpredictable measurement noise, and dynamic loading conditions. Model-free data-driven methods provide an alternative solution. However, they often struggle to process a long sequence of temporal dependencies in the input data. Furthermore, uncertainty awareness associated with the estimated SOC is often unavailable. This work presents an uncertainty-aware SOC estimation framework integrating a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) network with deep evidential regression. Our framework processes sequential time-series data to estimate SOC and its associated uncertainty in a single forward pass. Validation results on real-world battery cycling datasets show that, for in-distribution data, our method achieves predictive performance comparable to computationally intensive ensemble methods.
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