Accurate detection and forecasting of tropical cyclone tracks using limited climate variables and data is challenging. Here, we propose an innovative time-evolving complex network approach for detecting and forecasting high-intensity tropical cyclones (HITCs) based on mean sea level pressure and relative vorticity at 850 hPa. This approach enables us to successfully reproduce the tracks of HITCs of the Western North Pacific, achieving a mean detection rate exceeding 0.8 and a track error below 120 km in most cases. When applied to forecast 2023 HITC tracks using medium-range weather forecast data, we achieve a detection rate above 0.65 and a track error of less than 260 km for forecasts within 5 days. Our results highlight the strong potential of network-based approaches as data-integrative, physically interpretable statistical tools for HITCs detection and short-term forecasting, leveraging complex climate connectivity to enhance predictive skill.

This study examines a peer leadership approach by a disability representative organisation in Australia, designed to enhance individualised support for members and improve systemic advocacy efforts. Our research objective was to explore the structure, roles, leadership qualities, and benefits of disability-led peer support groups as part of a broader participatory action research program examining disability leadership and its application in Disability Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (DIDRR). Structured interviews were conducted with 14 peer leaders from established groups, with reflexive thematic analysis applied to interpret the data. The research identified transformational leadership qualities within the peer support model, including a shared purpose, mentoring, and supportive connections. Leaders fostered inclusivity, facilitating information sharing and community bonding. Notably, the deliberate use of curiosity and joint exploration emerged as a key method for building confidence among less-heard members, turning the disability representative organisation into a dynamic learning hub that integrates grassroots insights to enhance disability-inclusive programs and advocacy strategies. The study highlights the effectiveness of transformational leadership in disability peer support groups, offering insights into peer leadership dynamics and its potential to advance DIDRR. Further research could expand its application, transforming disaster preparedness and response strategies to be more inclusive and effective.