- Research Article
- 10.1080/23249676.2025.2606416
Streamflow prediction across Canada’s southern provinces using gradient boosting
- Jan 08, 2026
- Journal of Applied Water Engineering and Research
- M H Alipour
This study aims to predict streamflow at 50 gauging stations located within Canada’s southern provinces by utilizing the three most popular gradient boosting techniques including XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM. A set of engineered features which previously proved successful in several ungauged catchments is employed as inputs of the models. While the models perform mainly close, among the gradient boosting models, LightGBM (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency range of 0.46–0.99 with an average of 0.79) proves to be the single best model in predicting streamflow or shares the best performance in 41 catchments of the study. XGBoost (NSE range of 0.45–0.99 with an average of 0.77) and CatBoost (NSE range of 0.17–0.99 with an average of 0.75) have the highest performance or share it respectively in 17 and 10 catchments. Thus, LightGBM displays strong performance in almost all the study’s catchments and proves promising for streamflow prediction in Canada’s southern provinces.
Read more