Research Article10.1057/s41283-026-00216-9Assessing climate risk and resilience across stocks, ESG portfolios, and REITs: evidence from predictive modellingApr 24, 2026Risk ManagementKazeem Ovanero IsahCiteListenSave
Research Article10.1057/s41283-026-00211-0Geopolitical risk and investment-cash flow sensitivity: the role of ESG performanceApr 13, 2026Risk ManagementSakti Ranjan Dash + 2 more +2CiteListenSave
Book Chapter10.1201/9781003652434-38Applying Artificial Intelligence in Risk IdentificationMar 11, 2026Risk ManagementCarl L PritchardCiteListenSave
Book Chapter10.1201/9781003652434-35Performance Tracking and Technical Performance MeasurementMar 11, 2026Risk ManagementCarl L PritchardCiteListenSave
Book Chapter10.1201/9781003652434-39Applying Artificial Intelligence in Risk Response ApplicationMar 11, 2026Risk ManagementCarl L PritchardCiteListenSave
Research Article10.1057/s41283-025-00189-1Calibrating credit risk parameters for climate stress testingNov 18, 2025Risk ManagementWojciech StarostaCiteListenSave
Research Article110.1057/s41283-025-00181-9Corporate failure prediction in crisis periods: the case of Visegrad Four large corporatesOct 18, 2025Risk ManagementTamás Kristóf + 1 more +1Abstract This article demonstrates that crisis conditions significantly impact the efficacy of corporate bankruptcy prediction models developed with pre-crisis data pertaining to large corporates in the Visegrad Four (V4) countries. Empirical research includes 245,974 firm-year observations and 3091 failure occurrences. Model development was accomplished using a combination of chi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID) decision trees and logistic regression (LR) methods, constituting a novel technique in V4-level bankruptcy prediction. Model performance was evaluated by area under the ROC curve (AUROC) analysis. Evidence from V4 large corporates indicates that the classification accuracy of the corporate failure prediction model developed in the pre-crisis period substantially declines during a crisis; thus, it was essential to create a new point-in-time model based only on crisis data. The results indicate that the model design underwent substantial alterations compared to the pre-crisis model. The current ratio is the strongest predictor; however, country and sector classifications also significantly contribute to elucidating corporate failure throughout the crisis era.Read moreCiteListenSave
Research Article10.1057/s41283-025-00178-4Affine term structure models with Garch volatilityOct 14, 2025Risk ManagementMarco RealdonCiteListenSave
Research Article10.1057/s41283-025-00177-5Black swan dynamics: a network-based framework for systemic risk detection and mitigationSep 29, 2025Risk ManagementD Sujatha + 2 more +2CiteListenSave
Research Article110.1057/s41283-025-00159-7Firm ownership and systemic risk: mechanism and evidence from ChinaFeb 11, 2025Risk ManagementJiawen Xu + 1 more +1CiteListenSave