- Research Article
- 10.1007/s41887-022-00085-8
Does Chemical Property Marking Deter Burglary? Results from a New Danish Experiment
- Jan 01, 2022
- Cambridge Journal of Evidence-Based Policing
- Britta Kyvsgaard + 2 more +2
Research QuestionDoes enrollment of a burglarized household in a chemical property marking program reduce the risk of repeat burglary of the household?DataThis randomized controlled trial utilizes a sample of 12,000 previously burgled households in North Zealand, Denmark, randomly divided into treatment, placebo, and control groups.MethodsTreatment households received a letter describing local burglary problems and were offered a free chemical property marking kit including warning stickers to deter would-be burglars. Placebo households received a letter outlining generic methods of burglary prevention but were not offered a property marking kit. Control households were not contacted.ResultsA process evaluation shows that only 29% of the 4000-household treatment group both registered for the experiment and posted warning stickers as instructed. An intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis conducted after 15½ months indicated no statistically significant (p < .05) differences in follow-up prevalence rates of burglary experienced by treatment (4.6%), placebo (5.1%), and control (4.9%) households.ConclusionThe current experiment fails to find clear evidence that the posting of warning stickers indicating a once-burglarized household’s use of chemical property marking deters domestic burglary. Nonetheless, it remains possible to demonstrate an effect if a larger proportion of the experimental group could be persuaded to post warning stickers as instructed.
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