- Preprint Article
- 10.64898/2026.02.12.26346187
Global pricing of AWaRe (Access, Watch, Reserve) antibiotics: implications of the UNGA-AMR 70% Access target on national pharmaceutical expenditure
- Feb 14, 2026
- medRxiv
- Kasim Allel + 13 more +13
Background. The United Nations General Assembly High-level Meeting on Antimicrobial Resistance (UNGA HLM-AMR) committed to a target that 70% of global human antibiotic use (ABU) should be from the Access group of the WHO AWaRe system. Methods. We used 2019 IQVIA MIDAS global ABU Quarterly value sales, volumes (kg/SU) and average ex-manufacturer prices to evaluate price per daily defined dose (DDD) by AWaRe group across countries. IQVIA MIDAS volumes/value data reflect public, private, or mixed sectors. We estimated potential national pharmaceutical expenditure savings if i) the UNGA 70% Access target was met, and ii) national ABU aligned with the WHO Model List of Essential Medicines (EML). We evaluated 7-day treatment prices for common oral and parenteral antibiotics across AWaRe groups. We measured affordability in middle-income countries (MICs) by income group, as the percentage of the population at risk of falling below national poverty lines if paying out-of-pocket, using income distributions and generalised beta distributions of the second kind. Prices were reported in 2019 international dollars (I$). Results. Volume-weighted ex-manufacturer prices per DDD were lower for Access (I$1.2, IQR I$0.7) than Watch (I$2.6, IQR I$2.1) and highest (I$83.8, IQR I$80.9) for Reserve antibiotics. Lower prices were seen in high-income countries for Access antibiotics. Meeting the 70% Access target could save countries I$0.1 million-I$4.9 billion annually. Global savings could reach I$10.4 billion if only WHO EML-listed antibiotics were used. Seven-day parenteral meropenem could put 7% (IQR 9%) of the population in MICs at risk of impoverishment. Conclusion. Antibiotic policies focused on achieving the UNGA-AMR 70% Access target could generate significant potential national and global expenditure savings.
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