- Preprint Article
- 10.26434/chemrxiv-2025-2ts7t/v2
Conformer Generation Workflows for COSMO-RS Calculations: Are They All the Same?
- Mar 06, 2026
- ChemRxiv
- André M M Gomes + 2 more +2
Predicting drug solubility remains a major challenge in the pharmaceutical industry, given its central role in formulation development and bioavailability. In this context, the conductor-like screening model for real solvents (COSMO-RS) is widely employed to estimate solvation and solubility properties, yet the accuracy of these predictions can strongly depend on the molecular conformations provided as input. Although this issue has been addressed in previous studies for specific molecules, no systematic evaluation of the influence of conformer-generation methods on the quality of COSMO-RS solubility predictions has been reported using large and chemically diverse datasets. Here, we assess four representative conformer-generation workflows, ranging from simple RDKit-based approaches to more elaborate semiempirical and density functional theory (DFT)-based pipelines, using a curated dataset comprising 942 experimental solubility values and 416 free energies of solvation. Despite substantial methodological differences and computational cost, all workflows yield comparable accuracy across the full dataset, with mean absolute errors close to one logarithmic unit, and all tend to underperform in the low-solubility regime, which remains a persistent challenge in computational chemistry. We further examine the use of conformer ensembles for representative molecules and compare their performance with solvent-aware single-conformer pipelines. For the cases analyzed, ensemble averaging provides moderate improvements but does not systematically outperform solvent-aware lowest-energy conformer selection. Notably, incorporating solvent information into the lowest-energy conformer identification stage can improve accuracy for molecules capable of establishing intramolecular interactions, such as hydrogen bonds. Overall, our results provide practical guidance for selecting conformer-generation strategies in high-throughput COSMO-RS applications and highlight solvent-aware workflows as a promising direction to improve predictive robustness without compromising computational efficiency.
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