- Peer Review Report
- 10.5194/egusphere-2026-408-cc1
Comment on egusphere-2026-408
- Feb 24, 2026
- Gonzalo Agurto + 2 more +2
<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> In this study, we analyze the meteorological configurations leading to extreme ocean swells along the Peruvian coast, which are frequently produced by remote Pacific storms from both hemispheres. Using extreme-swell warnings from the Peruvian Navy and ERA5 reanalysis, we examine five austral-winter Southern Hemisphere (SH) events (very strong, south-westerly) and six boreal-winter Northern Hemisphere (NH) events (strong, north-westerly). Event-centred composites are computed over lead windows guided by estimated swell travel times (3–4 days in the SH; 8–11 days in the NH). In both hemispheres, a deep extratropical cyclone becomes vertically aligned from sea-level pressure through 500 hPa to 250 hPa before coastal peak swell, while an upper-level jet core strengthens and organizes a persistent corridor of enhanced surface westerlies over the swell-generation region. In the SH, coherent surrounding ridging tightens the meridional pressure gradient and co-occurs with a strengthened, sharper polar-front jet. In the NH, preconditioning is dominated by a deep central–western North Pacific low with comparatively weak, localized ridging and a markedly intensified, more zonally extended subtropical jet, while the polar-front jet weakens. A flow-analogue framework suggests a recent strengthening of SH event-related surface winds consistent with increased large-scale pressure contrasts and a shift toward more positive Southern Annular Mode conditions, whereas NH events show no robust trend and attribution is obscured by strong interannual-to-decadal variability. These results can support earlier recognition of remote swell hazards affecting Peru and, consequently, can lead to an improvement of early warning systems.
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