- Research Article
- 10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103155
Decoupling evolution of water scarcity —— Based on improved water scarcity footprint considering quantity, quality and environmental flow requirement
- Apr 01, 2026
- Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
- Zhiliang Xu + 4 more +4
This study focuses on mainland China, covering 30 provinces. To explore the relationship between water scarcity induced by water use, rather than water use volume per se, and economic growth, this study establishes an improved integrated water scarcity footprint ( IWSF ) considering water quantity, quality and environmental flow requirements ( EFR ). Building on a comparison with the conventional water footprint ( WF ) at the sectoral level, the study examines the evolution of decoupling from economic growth, the underlying driving effects, and their heterogeneity across industries. The water footprint results show that, at both the regional and sectoral levels, IWSF is greater than WF in northern provinces, whereas the opposite pattern is observed in southern provinces. Decoupling results show that, 2007–2012, IWSF decoupling was weaker than WF , while the opposite occurred in 2012–2017; Water use intensity was the key determinant of IWSF decoupling patterns; The reduction in water use intensity driven by pollution control was key to achieving strong IWSF decoupling in 2012–2017, with the primary and secondary industries contributing the most. These results indicate that the newly developed IWSF successfully captures the contribution of water pollution to water scarcity and its decoupling, whereas WF , which considers only absolute water withdrawal, cannot. This study highlights the necessity of addressing water scarcity from the perspective of impact-oriented water use. • Proposed an improved water scarcity footprint characterization factor integrating water quantity, water quality, and environmental flow requirement. • Provinces with quality-induced water scarcity showed an "inverted U-shape" pattern from 2007 to 2017. • Northern provinces underestimated, while southern provinces overestimated their water resource impact; regional and industrial IWSF revealed this discrepancy. • Shifts in water use intensity's role from promoter to restrainer caused expansive negative decoupling, driving diverse decoupling patterns. • 2007–2012: Primary industry structure & water use intensity drove decoupling most. 2012–2017: Secondary industry water use intensity became the top contributor.
Read more