- Research Article
- 10.1016/j.ejrad.2026.112811
Tumor burden in patients with colorectal liver metastasis undergoing hepatectomy: A head-to-head comparison of four prognostic systems.
- Jun 01, 2026
- European journal of radiology
- Yicheng Jiang + 5 more +5
This study aimed to make a direct comparison of four tumor burden-related prognostic systems in predicting prognoses in patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) undergoing hepatectomy. Clinicopathological and survival data of 197 consecutive CRLM patients were extracted from a public database. Clinical Risk Score-derived N1S5 (lesion number of 1 and the largest size of 5cm are cutoffs for risk stratification), tumor burden score (TBS), modified TBS (mTBS) and total tumor volume (TTV) were calculated, and patients were stratified to different risk groups. Kaplan-Meier plots were adopted to depict the survival probabilities. Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between these systems and overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). N1S5 and TTV systems effectively stratified patients into distinct risk groups with significantly different OS and DFS (p<0.05), but TBS and mTBS did not. Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated N1S5 and TTV as independent variables associated with OS (HRs: 1.43 to 1.97, 1.59 to 1.76, respectively) and DFS (HRs: 1.34 to 2.09, and 1.80 to 2.51, respectively) (p<0.05). Compared with the other three systems, TTV showed a relatively higher time-dependent area under the curve (median: 0.60) and C-index (median: 0.64) for predicting OS. N1S5 had the highest C-index (median: 0.63) for predicting DFS. Total tumor volume seems to be a robust and effective tool for risk stratification and prognosis prediction in CRLM patients undergoing liver resection. N1S5 may provide a pragmatic simplified alternative to total tumor volume for prognostic prediction.
Read more