A hybrid wavelet analysis and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system for drought forecasting

In complex industrial processes (CIPs), due to technical and economic limitations, key performance indicators (KPIs), especially the chemical content-related KPIs, are often difficult to measure in real time, which hinders the propagation of advanced process control technologies. This paper presents a soft sensor-based online KPI inference scheme by a state transition algorithm (STA)-optimized adaptive pre-sparse neuro-fuzzy inference system model, called STA-APSNFIS. It introduces a pre-sparse neural network to the traditional adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to establish an adaptive pre-sparse neuro-fuzzy inference system (APSNFIS) model to alleviate the adverse effects of data redundancy and noise interference in the detectable process monitoring data, which can effectively reduce the complexity of neuro-fuzzy inference system (NFIS) and speed up its convergence. Successively, to avoid being trapped at a local optimum, the STA-based optimization algorithm is adopted to replace the traditional gradient-based optimization approach to achieve an optimal APSNFIS model. Extensive validation and comparative experiments on nonlinear numeric simulation systems, benchmark Tenessee Eastman (TE) process and a real industrial bauxite flotation process demonstrated that the proposed STA-APSNFIS performed favorably against traditional ANFIS model as well as its variants, e.g., PSO-ANFIS, GA-ANFIS, and some other soft sensor-based KPI inference models.

Electrochemical-kinetics, MD-simulation and multi-input single-output (MISO) modeling using adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) prediction for dexamethasone drug as eco-friendly corrosion inhibitor for mild steel in 2 M HCl electrolyte

Comparison of ANFIS and NN models—With a study in critical buckling load estimation

River flow forecasting is an essential procedure that is necessary for proper reservoir operation. Accurate forecasting results in good control of water availability, refined operation of reservoirs and improved hydropower generation. Therefore, it becomes crucial to develop forecasting models for river inflow. Several approaches have been proposed over the past few years based on stochastic modeling or artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. In this article, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model is proposed to forecast the inflow for the Nile River at Aswan High Dam (AHD) on monthly basis. A major advantage of the fuzzy system is its ability to deal with imprecision and vagueness in inflow database. The ANFIS model divides the input space into fuzzy sub-spaces and maps the output using a set of linear functions. A historical database of monthly inflows at AHD recorded over the past 130 years is used to train the ANFIS model and test its performance. The performance of the ANFIS model is compared to a recently developed artificial neural networks (ANN) model. The results show that the ANFIS model was capable of providing higher inflow forecasting accuracy specially at extreme inflow events compared with that of the ANN model. It is concluded that the ANFIS model can be quite beneficial in water management of Lake Nasser reservoir at AHD.

In this paper, we compare and analyze the prediction performance of existing ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System) models. The ANFIS model is a fusion of neural networks with learning ability, adaptability, and computational ability, and a fuzzy system with human-like thinking ability and reasoning ability. In this paper, we analyze the prediction performance of ANFIS models using different input space partitioning methods. ANFIS 1 uses SC (Subtractive Clustering), a clustering method based on the density of data, to calculate the center of the cluster by calculating potential values inversely proportional to the distances of the different inputs. ANFIS 2 uses Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) clustering, which is a clustering method based on degree of belonging to data, and classifies each data belonging to each cluster according to degree of affiliation. ANFIS 3 is a method of using Context based Fuzzy C-Means (CFCM) clustering, which is a clustering method considering characteristics of input and output space based on FCM clustering. It creates clusters for each context generated according to characteristics of output space, to classify the data. To evaluate these ANFIS models, we use short term electricity price forecasting data and Boston housing data. The prediction performance is based on the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) method. Experimental results show that the prediction performance of the ANFIS model is different depending on the characteristics of each data. Furthermore, we confirmed that the prediction performance of ANFIS model using CFCM clustering method is constant.

As financial markets worldwide continue to evolve, the importance of predictive models for investors and analysts is growing. This paper presents a comparative analysis of metaheuristic-based Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models for predicting stock prices in the Borsa Istanbul 100 (BIST 100) index. Using a comprehensive dataset of weekly data (2010–2023), researchers tested different model configurations, and the ANFIS model was improved with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO). Model performance was evaluated using performance criteria such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R-squared (R2). The results showed that, in particular, the ANFIS-PSO and ANN-based approaches exhibited higher accuracy compared to traditional regression methods. The study also analyzed the impact of various macroeconomic and financial indicators, including the gold/TL exchange rate, VIX index, and government bond interest rates, on the BIST 100. The findings reveal that artificial intelligence-based modeling significantly improves stock price forecasts thanks to its adaptability to dynamic market conditions. In this respect, the study makes theoretical contributions and highlights practical implications for investment strategies and risk management. Future research can further enrich the financial modeling literature by testing the validity of similar approaches in other emerging or developed markets, as well as by incorporating additional macroeconomic factors and different meta-heuristic algorithms into the model.

In this study, an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model is proposed for the determination of alpha radioactivity of Hazar Lake waters and for the prediction of its unknown values. The model parameters of the lake water are pH, total hardness (TH), depth, electrical conductivity (EC), and alpha radioactivity. ANFIS model is performed using the back-propagation algorithm, which has the five layers. Average relative error between measurements predicted by theoretical (ANFIS) and experimental data is approximately 0.7043%. The relative error between the test data and the radioactivity data change between 0.06% and 14%. Additionally, validity of the model is also tested with a regression model. The predicted results with the ANFIS model is better as statistically than the regression model.

ANFIS for analysis friction factor and Nusselt number of pulsating nanofluids flow in the fluted tube under magnetic field

Crocus sativus L. (Iridaceae), commonly known as saffron, is a highly valued medicinal plant often termed ‘red gold’ for its economic importance and vibrant flower colour. Among its bioactive constituents, safranal is notable for its antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, and neuroprotective properties. However, standardising its extraction remains challenging due to variable processing conditions. This study optimised safranal extraction using response surface methodology (RSM) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). Initial screening showed that microwave-assisted extraction (MAE) provided the highest yield (0.950% in 30 min), while ultrasound-assisted extraction (UAE) achieved 0.808% in only 10 min. Extraction parameters including temperature, irradiation time, solvent concentration, particle size, solvent-to-solute ratio, pH, and extraction steps were systematically evaluated. Box-Behnken design (BBD) optimised conditions (60 °C, 10 min, 50% ethanol, 7.5 g/mL solid-to-solvent ratio) yielded a maximum of 0.605% safranal. Box-Behnken design (BBD) showing an excellent fit with the quadratic model (R 2 = 99.38%). The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model further refined these predictions. High-performance thin-layer chromatography (HPTLC) quantified the yield of safranal (0.605%) under optimised conditions. The ANFIS model with 81 fuzzy rules successfully modelled non-linear interactions. The HPTLC method was validated with a Limit of Detection (LOD) of 120 µg/spot and a Limit of Quantitation (LOQ) of 360 µg/spot. The results demonstrate a rapid, eco-friendly, and energy-efficient extraction process, which is a sustainable approach for safranal production to support its growing pharmaceutical and fragrance applications.

Oil production estimation plays a critical role in economic plans for local governments and organizations. Therefore, many studies applied different Artificial Intelligence (AI) based methods to estimate oil production in different countries. The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is a well-known model that has been successfully employed in various applications, including time-series forecasting. However, the ANFIS model faces critical shortcomings in its parameters during the configuration process. From this point, this paper works to solve the drawbacks of the ANFIS by optimizing ANFIS parameters using a modified Aquila Optimizer (AO) with the Opposition-Based Learning (OBL) technique. The main idea of the developed model, AOOBL-ANFIS, is to enhance the search process of the AO and use the AOOBL to boost the performance of the ANFIS. The proposed model is evaluated using real-world oil production datasets collected from different oilfields using several performance metrics, including Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R2), Standard Deviation (Std), and computational time. Moreover, the AOOBL-ANFIS model is compared to several modified ANFIS models include Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-ANFIS, Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO)-ANFIS, Sine Cosine Algorithm (SCA)-ANFIS, Slime Mold Algorithm (SMA)-ANFIS, and Genetic Algorithm (GA)-ANFIS, respectively. Additionally, it is compared to well-known time series forecasting methods, namely, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and Neural Network (NN). The outcomes verified the high performance of the AOOBL-ANFIS, which outperformed the classic ANFIS model and the compared models.

The energy and draft requirements of a disk plow have been recognized as essential factors when attempting to correctly match it with tractor power. This study examines the possible of using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach and its performance compared to a multiple linear regression (MLR) model to determine the energy and draft requirements of a disk plow. A total of 133 data patterns were obtained by conducting experiments in the field and from the literature. Of these 133 data points, 121 were arbitrarily selected and used for training, and the remaining 12 were used for testing the models. The input variables were plowing depth, plowing speed, soil texture index, initial soil moisture content, initial soil bulk density, disk diameter, disk angle, and disk tilt angle, and output variable was draft of the disk plow. Four membership functions were used with ANFIS: a triangular membership function, generalized bell-shaped membership function, trapezoidal membership function, and Gaussian curve membership function. An evaluation of the outcomes of the ANFIS and MLR modeling shows that the triangular membership function performed better than the other functions. When the ANFIS model draft predictions were compared to the measured values, the average relative error was –1.97%. A comparison of the ANFIS model with other approaches showed that the energy and draft requirements of the disk plow could be estimated with satisfactory accuracy. Keywords: ANFIS, MLR, disk plow, draft, tillage DOI: 10.25165/j.ijabe.20201302.4077 Citation: Al-Dosary N M N, Al-Hamed S A, Aboukarima A M. Application of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system to predict draft and energy requirements of a disk plow. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2020; 13(2): 198–207.

The shear strength (Su) of soils is one of the most widely used parameters for designing structures safely, where Su is found with the unconfined compression test (UCS). Although UCS can be acquired by performing uniaxial compression test it would be extremely helpful to predict the UCS without performing any compression test, namely, using computational methods considering different parameters of soils such as consistency limits, fine grain ratio, liquidity index, and void ratio. The goal of present work is predicting UCS taking into account these soil parameters with the aid of developed Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model and the Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) analyses. On the other hand, the effect of the size of the training set of designed models on the results is examined, also. For this aim, four different models composed of different training and test set ratios have been constructed and analyzed using ANFIS and MLR. It is concluded that UCS can be predicted using MLR analysis and ANFIS model with best 0.76 and 0.91 values of determination coefficient (R2) around the x = y line respectively, and the effect of the size of the training set of models on ANFIS is more pronounced than MLR models.

This study used two methodologies to model microwave drying kinetics of tomato slices: artificial neural networks (ANN) and the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS).The tomatoes were pre-treated with water blanching (WBP), ascorbic acid (AAP), and sodium metabisulphite (SBP).The tomatoes were then dried in the microwave at 90, 180, and 360 W after being sliced into 4-, 6-, and 8-mm thicknesses.After fitting ANN and ANFIS models to the experimental drying data, the optimal model topology was identified.The predictive accuracy of these models was assessed through these metrics: the coefficient of determination (R 2 ), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE), by contrasting the projected results with experimental data.The results showed a range of 0.92 to 3.75 h for drying time, 0.28 to 2.86 x 10 -8 m 2 /s for Deff, and 0.0027 to 0.0063 kWh/kg for SEC.The results indicated a highperformance capacity of ANFIS compared to ANN, with a higher R 2 of 1.0000 and a lower MSE of 0.9999 to 1.0000, an RMSE of 1.45x10 -11 to 0.00309, and a MAE of 1.15x10 -11 to 0.00296.Consequently, the ANFIS model demonstrated superior predictive capabilities compared to the ANN model, achieving a strong fit with the observed data.

Neuro-fuzzy based approach for estimation of Hydrofoil performance

Currently, manufacturing industries focus on intelligent manufacturing. Prediction and monitoring of tool wear are essential in any material removal process, and implementation of a tool condition monitoring system (TCMS) is necessary. This work presents the flank wear prediction during the hard turning of EN8 steel using the deep learning (DL) algorithm. The turning operation is conducted with three levels of selected parameters. CNMG 120408 grade, TiN‐coated cemented carbide tool is used for turning. Cutting force and flank wear are assessed under dry‐cutting conditions. DL algorithms such as adaptive neuro‐fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and convolutional auto encoder (CAE) are used to predict the flank wear of the single‐point cutting tool. The DL model is developed with turning parameters and cutting force to predict flank wear. The different ANFIS and CAE models are employed to develop the prediction model. Grid‐based ANFIS structure with Gauss membership function performed better than ANFIS models. The ANFIS model’s average testing error of 0.0074011 mm and prediction accuracy of 99.81% are achieved.