A novel solution for simulating air overpressure resulting from blasting using an efficient cascaded forward neural network

Stream-flow forecasting using extreme learning machines: A case study in a semi-arid region in Iraq

Modeling reference evapotranspiration using extreme learning machine and generalized regression neural network only with temperature data

Enhancing oil recovery using in-situ combustion (ISC) is an attractive alternative, especially for heavy crudes. During ISC, part of the hydrocarbon is pyrolysed/oxidised, which generates heat and deposits fuel in the combustion front. In this study, crude reactions during ISC are modelled after their thermogravimetry thermo-oxidative profiles using advanced machine learning systems. The model inputs include the weight per cent of asphaltenes, resins, and °API gravity of the oil as well as the heating rate and the temperature. Four types of artificial neural networks (ANNs); namely multilayer perceptron (MLP), generalised regression neural network (GRNN), cascade-forward neural network (CFNN), and radial basis function (RBF) neural network, were employed to develop models for accurate prediction of the weight per cent of residual crude oil based on 2289 experimental data points. Moreover, three optimisation algorithms; including Bayesian Regularisation (BR), Levenberg–Marquardt (LM), and Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG) were applied in the training step of MLP and CFNN to improve the prediction ability. GRNN provided the most accurate prediction with ∼2.3% overall average absolute per cent relative error and coefficient of determination of 0.9983. GRNN model is reliable for crude oils with °API gravity of 5–35 and up to 820°C. Lastly, a mathematical correlation was developed to estimate the residual crude oil from thermogravimetry analysis using gene expression programming (GEP). GEP also predicted the thermo-oxidative profile with high accuracy. On the basis of sensitivity analysis, residue formation during crude oil oxidation was impacted the most by the temperature, oil °API gravity, and asphaltenes content, respectively. The Leverage approach identified 2.9% of the data points as doubtful.

On the evaluation of permeability of heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs using rigorous data-driven techniques

This paper presents the development of a general regression neural network (GRNN) model for the prediction of annual municipal solid waste (MSW) generation at the national level for 44 countries of different size, population and economic development level. Proper modelling of MSW generation is essential for the planning of MSW management system as well as for the simulation of various environmental impact scenarios. The main objective of this work was to examine the potential influence of economy crisis (global or local) on the forecast of MSW generation obtained by the GRNN model. The existence of the so-called structural breaks that occur because of the economic crisis in the studied period (2000-2012) for each country was determined and confirmed using the Chow test and Quandt-Andrews test. Two GRNN models, one which did not take into account the influence of the economic crisis (GRNN) and another one which did (SB-GRNN), were developed. The novelty of the applied method is that it uses broadly available social, economic and demographic indicators and indicators of sustainability, together with GRNN and structural break testing for the prediction of MSW generation at the national level. The obtained results demonstrate that the SB-GRNN model provide more accurate predictions than the model which neglected structural breaks, with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 4.0% compared to 6.7% generated by the GRNN model. The proposed model enhanced with structural breaks can be a viable alternative for a more accurate prediction of MSW generation at the national level, especially for developing countries for which a lack of MSW data is notable.

Rapid detection of food quality indicators using ELM and near-infrared spectroscopy.

The dynamic thermomechanical properties of wood–plastic composites (WPCs) are influenced by various factors, such as the selection of raw materials and processing parameters. To investigate the effects of different wood fiber content ratios and temperature on the loss modulus of WPCs, seven different proportions of Masson pine (Pinus massoniana Lamb.) and Chinese fir [Cunninghamia lanceolata (Lamb.) Hook.] mixed-fiber-reinforced HDPE composites were prepared using the extrusion molding method. Their dynamic thermomechanical properties were tested and analyzed. The storage modulus of WPCs showed a decreasing trend with increasing temperature. A reduction in the mass ratio of Masson pine wood fibers to Chinese fir wood fibers resulted in an increase in the storage modulus of WPCs. The highest storage modulus was achieved when the mass ratio of Masson pine wood fibers to Chinese fir wood fibers was 1:5. In addition, the loss modulus of the composites increased as the content of Masson pine fiber decreased, with the lowest loss modulus observed in HDPE composites reinforced with Masson pine wood fibers. The loss tangent for all seven types of WPCs increased with rising temperatures, with the maximum loss tangent observed in WPCs reinforced with Masson pine wood fibers and HDPE. A prediction method based on the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) model was introduced to predict the dynamic thermomechanical properties of WPCs. The prediction accuracy of the ELM model was compared comprehensively with that of other models, including Support Vector Machines (SVMs), Random Forest (RF), Back Propagation (BP) neural networks, and Particle Swarm Optimization-BP (PSO-BP) neural network models. Among these, the ELM model showed superior data fitting and prediction accuracy, with an R2 value of 0.992, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1.363, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 3.311. Compared to the other models, the ELM model demonstrated the best performance. This study provides a solid basis and reference for future research on the dynamic thermomechanical properties of WPCs.

Predicting water consumption is of key importance for water supply management, which is also relevant in processes for reviewing prices.In this study, a hybrid method based on extreme learning machine model with the adaptive metrics of inputs is proposed for improving forecasting accuracy.The adaptive metrics of inputs can solve the problems of amplitude changing and trend determination, and reduce the effect of the overfitting of networks.It was found that the proposed model is practical for water demand forecasting and outperforms the autoregression (AR), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine(SVM) and extreme learning machine (ELM) models.

Modeling of energy consumption and related GHG (greenhouse gas) intensity and emissions in Europe using general regression neural networks

To solve the problems of low prediction accuracy, poor stability, and low calculation efficiency in runoff forecasting, this study develops an extreme learning machine (ELM) model based on improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition adaptive noise (CEEMDAN). The model first uses orthogonal triangular decomposition (QR) to redefine the ELM hidden layer output to construct the orthogonal triangular ELM (QR-ELM). It then introduces the online sequence mechanism (OS) into the QR-ELM model to construct online sequence OR-ELM (OS-QR-ELM), which can effectively improve the efficiency of the ELM models. Then, it uses the correlation wave extension method to extend both ends of the original signal to solve the end effect of CEEMDAN. Finally, it integrates CEEMDAN and OS-QR-ELM combined with parallel computing ideas to construct a parallel CEEMDAN-OS-QR-ELM runoff prediction method. The experimental results show that compared with the support vector regression method combined with empirical mode decomposition, the accuracy and reliability of the parallel CEEMDAN-OS-QR-ELM model was 1.09% and 8% higher, respectively. Compared with the ELM model, the efficiency of OS-QR-ELM was 5%.

This study presents a comparative analysis of hybrid Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) models optimized with metaheuristic algorithms Genetic Algorithm (GA), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA), and Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) for real-time Rate of Penetration (ROP) prediction in drilling operations. The study aims to improve ROP prediction accuracy and computational efficiency while addressing the challenges of real-time implementation in dynamic drilling environments. The methodology involves a formation-specific modelling approach, where separate ELM models are trained for each formation using surface drilling parameters such as weight on bit (WOB), rotary speed (RPM), and flow rate. Metaheuristic algorithms optimize the ELM’s weights and biases to improve predictive performance. The models were trained and validated using a dataset of 13,262 data points from an Algerian field, with different statistical metrics used for evaluation. Sensitivity analysis using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) identified drilling torque and standpipe pressure as key ROP influencers. Results indicate that all hybrid models outperform standalone ELM, with ELM-GWO achieving the highest accuracy and fastest convergence. The real-time modelling framework, incorporating incremental learning and formation-based model recalibration, which ensures robust and adaptive ROP predictions and minimizing reliance on difficult-to-measure parameters such as unconfined compressive strength (UCS). This work contributes to the existing body of literature by introducing a formation-specific and real-time hybrid ELM modelling approach, demonstrating its potential for ROP optimization and cost reduction in petroleum drilling.

Real-time porosity prediction using gas-while-drilling data and machine learning with reservoir associated gas: Case study for Hassi Messaoud field, Algeria

Water consumption of plants is a key parameter for formulating irrigation system, and the precise prediction play a important role in improving the use efficiency of limited water resources. In this experiment, by using the method of artificial neural network and MATLAB DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM combined with the meteorological data of air temperature, relative air humidity, solar radiation, wind speed, soil water content and dew point temperature as the input variable, the author established the artificial neural network system to forecast the seedling water consumption of P.×euramericana cv."74/76", and through the experiments it has been examined that two neural network system models can be applied in forecasting water consumption of seedlings, and the average relative error of Back Propagation (BP) neural network prediction model was 0.07, the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) prediction model was 0.05, moreover, the latter had good stability, while that of the former was poor. Therefore, we propose that GRNN model can be used in prediction of seedling water consumption. Furthermore, the maximum relative error of GRNN predication model was 0.106, the minimum relative error was 0.015. The GRNN model is superior to the BP neural network model that the former performs a higher forecasting accuracy with relatively shorter time consumption and faster speed in training.

A prediction method based on Extreme Learning Machines(ELM) is proposed. The parameters of ELM are optimized by immune optimization algorithm. The proposed model is used to predict the fiber quality of the melt spinning process. According to the limited samples, the spinning speed, the spinning temperature, the blowing speed and the blowing temperature of the melt spinning process are four key parameters that affect the fiber quality. The four indexes of polyester fiber are 1.5 times rate of elongation(EYS1.5), elongation inequality rate(EYSCV), breaking strength(DT) and elongation capacity(DE). We collect actual data samples in the factory and establish the ELM prediction model. The ELM model optimized by immune optimization algorithm (ELM-IA) is compared with PSO optimized ELM (ELM-PSO), ELM model and BP neural network. The experimental results show that the ELM-IA model is better than the ELM-PSO model, the ELM model and BP neural network in prediction. The ELM-IA model has a good generalization ability. It can play a guiding role in the actual fiber production process.

Data-based groundwater quality estimation and uncertainty analysis for irrigation agriculture