A robust and reliability-based aeroelastic tailoring framework for composite aircraft wings

The reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely recognized as a powerful optimization tool under probabilistic constraints, through appropriate modeling of uncertainties. However, the drawback of RBDO is that it does not reflect the ability of the structure to comply with large data variations, unforeseen actions or deterioration mechanisms. On the other hand, the robust design optimization (RDO) reduces the variability of the structural performance, in addition to its mean level. However, RDO does not take direct advantage of the interaction between controllable (product design values) and noise variables (environmental random values), and the obtained results do not accurately indicate what parameter has the highest effect on the performance characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to propose a robust formulation for reliability-based design optimization (RRBDO) that combines the advantages of both optimization procedures and overcomes their weaknesses. The optimization model proposed overcomes the limitations of the existing models without compromising the reliability level, by considering a robust convex objective function and a performance variation constraint. The proposed formulation can consider the total cost of structures and can control structural parameter variations. It takes into account uncertainty and variability in the same mathematical formulation. A numerical solution procedure is also developed, for which results are analyzed and compared with RBDO for several examples of concrete and steel structures.

:A robust multi-objective wing design optimization procedure using CFD is presented in this work. Instead of directly applying CFD to wing design optimization, a Kriging aerodynamic model that approximates CFD result is proposed to save computational cost. By introducing 6σ robust approach as a sub-objective function, multi-objective wing design problems can be solved with aerodynamic robustness. Non-Uniform Rational B-Spline curves (NURBS) are introduced to depict the wing geometry in design optimization process. The most important parameters of the wing geometry can then be screened by design of experiment and treated as design variables due to the local variation property of NURBS. Under this formulation, a multi-objective genetic algorithm based on non-dominated sorting is employed to handle multiple flight conditions in wing design. The optimum wing geometry is selected according to trade-off among design objects on the non-dominated front. To validate the proposed approach, two robust design optimization cases are studied for ONERA-M6-Wing. It turns out that the drag coefficient is insensitive to Mach number between Ma0.8–Ma0.9 after robust optimization. The result also verifies the effectiveness of our method in boosting performance and robustness of multiple flight conditions: the lift curve slope (Ma0.3) of optimum wing and the 6σ objective function of transonic drag (Ma0.8–Ma0.9) increase by 11.9% and 25.4%, respectively. Observations in the optimization cases are concluded as follows: 1) For wing aerodynamic design problems, the multi-objective robust optimization can both improve the performance at different flight conditions and provide robustness. 2) The Kriging aerodynamic model derived from CFD result can satisfy the precision requirement of wing design. 3) Even though the optimization result is subject to the weights of the 6σ function in sub-object, the influence is not comparable to the trade-off among design objects. 4) The optimum solution obtained by proposed approach is superior to gradient based optimization method, while the computational cost is acceptable.

<p>The primary objective of this study is to develop new computational methods for robust design optimization (RDO) and reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of high-dimensional, complex engineering systems. Four major research directions, all anchored in polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), have been defined to meet the objective. They involve: (1) development of new sensitivity analysis methods for RDO and RBDO; (2) development of novel optimization methods for solving RDO problems; (3) development of novel optimization methods for solving RBDO problems; and (4) development of a novel scheme and formulation to solve stochastic design optimization problems with both distributional and structural design parameters.</p> <p>The major achievements are as follows. Firstly, three new computational methods were developed for calculating design sensitivities of statistical moments and reliability of high-dimensional complex systems subject to random inputs. The first method represents a novel integration of PDD of a multivariate stochastic response function and score functions, leading to analytical expressions of design sensitivities of the first two moments. The second and third methods, relevant to probability distribution or reliability analysis, exploit two distinct combinations built on PDD: the PDD-SPA method, entailing the saddlepoint approximation (SPA) and score functions; and the PDD-MCS method, utilizing the embedded Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) of the PDD approximation and score functions. For all three methods developed, both the statistical moments or failure probabilities and their design sensitivities are both determined concurrently from a single stochastic analysis or simulation. Secondly, four new methods were developed for RDO of complex engineering systems. The methods involve PDD of a high-dimensional stochastic response for statistical moment analysis, a novel integration of PDD and score functions for calculating the second-moment sensitivities with respect to the design variables, and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms. The methods, depending on how statistical moment and sensitivity analyses are dovetailed with an optimization algorithm, encompass direct, single-step, sequential, and multi-point single-step design processes. Thirdly, two new methods were developed for RBDO of complex engineering systems. The methods involve an adaptive-sparse polynomial dimensional decomposition (AS-PDD) of a high-dimensional stochastic response for reliability analysis, a novel integration of AS-PDD and score functions for calculating the sensitivities of the failure probability with respect to design variables, and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms, resulting in a multi-point, single-step design process. The two methods, depending on how the failure probability and its design sensitivities are evaluated, exploit two distinct combinations built on AS-PDD: the AS-PDD-SPA method, entailing SPA and score functions; and the AS-PDD-MCS method, utilizing the embedded MCS of the AS-PDD approximation and score functions. In addition, a new method, named as the augmented PDD method, was developed for RDO and RBDO subject to mixed design variables, comprising both distributional and structural design variables. The method comprises a new augmented PDD of a high-dimensional stochastic response for statistical moment and reliability analyses; an integration of the augmented PDD, score functions, and finite-difference approximation for calculating the sensitivities of the first two moments and the failure probability with respect to distributional and structural design variables; and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms, leading to a multi-point, single-step design process.</p> <p>The innovative formulations of statistical moment and reliability analysis, design sensitivity analysis, and optimization algorithms have achieved not only highly accurate but also computationally efficient design solutions. Therefore, these new methods are capable of performing industrial-scale design optimization with numerous design variables.</p>

This study performed reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) of stator and rotor shape of the IPM type electric motor to reduce the torque ripple considering uncertainties. A metamodel based on the design of experiments results, which was calculated by using 2-D electromagnetic finite element analysis, was used to calculate manufacturing uncertainties and material property distribution. As a result, the mean torque ripple of the optimum electric motor design was reduced by 56.4 % and the robustness was increased by 61.8 % compared with the initial design. The RBRDO design was compared with the designs of deterministic design optimization and reliability-based design optimization, and it was shown that, by using the RBRDO method, the optimum IPMSM can be designed to satisfying not only the minimum torque ripple but also the robustness and the reliability of output torque and torque ripple.

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study the consideration of uncertainty from analysis modules for aircraft conceptual design by implementing uncertainty-based design optimization methods. Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO), Possibility-Based Design Optimization (PBDO) and Robust Design Optimization (RDO) methods were developed to handle uncertainties of design optimization. The RBDO method is found suitable for uncertain parameters when sufficient information is available. On the other hand, the PBDO method is proposed when uncertain parameters have insufficient information. The RDO method can apply to both cases. The RBDO, PBDO and RDO methods were considered with the Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) method to generate conservative design results when low fidelity analysis tools are used. Design/methodology/approach – Methods combining MDO with RBDO, PBDO and RDO were developed and have been applied to a numerical analysis and an aircraft conceptual design. This research eva...

Based on the reliability-based optimization design theory, the reliability sensitivity technique and the robust design method, the reliability-based robust design of rubbing rotor system is extensively discussed and a numerical method for reliability-based robust design is proposed. The reliability sensitivity is added to the reliability-based optimization design model and the reliability-based robust design is described as a multi-objection optimization. On the condition of known first four moments of basic random variables, the respective program can be used to obtain the reliability-based robust design information of rubbing rotor system accurately and quickly using the fourth moment technique. According to the numerical results, the approach proposed is a convenient and practical reliability-based roust design method.

An approach to optimize the machining accuracy retainability of multi-axis NC machine tool based on robust design

To reduce the cost of prototype and physical test, CAE analysis has been widely used to evaluate the vehicle performance during product development process. Combining CAE analysis and optimization approach, vehicle design process can be implemented more efficiently with affordable cost. Reliability based design optimization (RBDO) formulation considers variations of input variables, such as component gauges and material properties. As a result, the design obtained by using RBDO is more reliable and robust compared to those by deterministic optimization. The RBDO process starts from running simulation at DOE sampling data points, generating surrogate models (response surface) and performing robust and reliability based design optimization on the surrogate models by using Monte Carlo simulation. This paper presents a RBDO framework in Excel enviroment. Within this framework, the engineer can perform DOE sampling, surrogate modeling, robustness assessment, Monte Carlo simulation, robust design and reliability-based optimization with any type of distribution.

There are two general methods of robust design optimization (RDO) and reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) for the optimal design of structures with non-deterministic variables. In the problem-solving process of both RDO and RBRDO, assessing the probabilistic constraints of the problem and the standard deviation of the structural responses is time-consuming and costly. In this study, by presenting a multi-step approach, for a probable optimal solution, the deterministic constraints are first investigated. Then the limit state functions related to probabilistic constraints are computed based on the mean value of random variables (in the RBRDO problem) and in the step of uncertainties effects simulation on the response of the structure, probabilistic constraints are evaluated (in the RBRDO problem). Designs that not meeting the deterministic constraints or in the unsafe area for the mean values of the random variables are not included in calculating the first and second terms of the objective function and reliability assessment. This leads to reduce the volume of calculations. The Monte Carlo simulation method is used to assess the probabilistic constraints, and the EVPS metaheuristic algorithm is used for the optimization process. Three benchmark trusses of 10, 25, and 72 bars were studied to assess the efficiency of the proposed approach. The first objective function in these problems was the mean weight of trusses and the second objective function was the standard deviation of the displacement of a specific node in a certain direction.

This paper describes the methodologies that have been developed by ESTECO during the first phase of UMRIDA European Project, in the field of Uncertainty Management and Robust Design Optimization, and that have been implemented in the software platform modeFRONTIER. In particular, in the first part there are proposed two methodologies, one based on SS-ANOVA regression applied directly to the uncertainties variables and one based on a stepwise regression methodology applied to the Polynomial Chaos terms used for the uncertainty quantification. Aeronautical test cases proposed by UMRIDA consortium are used to verify the validity of the methodologies. In the second part, the state of art methodologies for Robust Design Optimization are compared with a new proposed approach, based on a min-max definition of the objectives, and the application of Polynomial Chaos coefficients for an accurate definition of percentiles (reliability-based robust design optimization). Also in this case an Aeronautical CFD test case is proposed to validate the methodologies.

A new method is presented for an application of the Gaussian mixture model (GMM) to a multi-objective robust design optimization (RDO) of planar steel frame structures under aleatory (stochastic) uncertainty in material properties, external loads, and discrete design variables. Uncertainty in the discrete design variables is modeled in the wide range between the smallest and largest values in the catalog of the cross-sectional areas. A weighted sum of Gaussians is statistically trained based on the sampled training data to capture an underlying joint probability distribution function (PDF) of random input variables and the corresponding structural response. A simple regression function for predicting the structural response can be found by extracting the information from a conditional PDF, which is directly derived from the captured joint PDF. A multi-objective RDO problem is formulated with three objective functions, namely, the total mass of the structure, and the mean and variance values of the maximum inter-story drift under some constraints on design strength and serviceability requirements. The optimization problem is solved using a multi-objective genetic algorithm utilizing the trained GMM for calculating the statistical values of objective and constraint functions to obtain Pareto-optimal solutions. Since the three objective functions are highly conflicting, the best trade-off solution is desired and found from the obtained Pareto-optimal solutions by performing fuzzy-based compromise programming. The robustness and feasibility of the proposed method for finding the RDO of planar steel frame structures with discrete variables are demonstrated through two design examples.

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">Existing multi-axle steering system designs generally use the deterministic optimization method without considering the uncertainties during the design process; therefore an actual steering movement may deviate from the ideal movement calculated by some mathematical models. In order to make design results have less sensitive to the uncertainties in the design process, some uncertainties need be taken into account at the early design stage. This paper proposes a robust optimization design method for a double front axle steering system (DFASS) of heavy trucks based on Monte Carlo method. The DFASS consists of two trapezoidal steering mechanisms (TSM) and one rocker system, and the optimization objectives of DFASS include the minimum mean value and variance of the maximum turning angle error of the TSM and rocker system. In addition, the robust optimization model includes 13 design variables which are all geometry parameters of DFASS and represented by normal distribution. Through the orthogonal experiment, we obtain the important factors affecting optimization objectives and build the response surface models of optimization objective. Based on the response surfaces, robustness design of DFASS is performed. By simulating analysis, the improved robustness of DFASS based on robust design method is approved.</div></div>

Considering the traditional safety factor method of reliability design can’t well reflect the uncertainty of loads, and error is obvious by using the tension of the wire rope represents the stress state of the hoist drum web plate. Established stress model of the dangerous section of the hoist drum web plate. Deduced reliability index and reliability by using stress & strength interference theory and perturbation method. Sensitivity analysis and robust optimal design was performed on this basis. The results show that the strain on the hoist drum web plate has a great influence on reliability of itself, and the reliability robust optimization design information can be obtained by using strain on web plate and reliability as optimization objectives. These not only provide the theoretical basis for the safety maintenance and design of the hoist, but also have the practical application value for reliable and efficient delivery of hoist.

Covers advancements in spacecraft and tactical and strategic missile systems, including subsystem design and application, mission design and analysis, materials and structures, developments in space sciences, space processing and manufacturing, space operations, and applications of space technologies to other fields.

While reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) significantly improves engineering safety, computational expenses and accuracy concerns restrict its use in complex, high-dimensional, nonlinear, and black-box scenarios. To address this challenge, a Kriging-AMV-MCS reliability optimization method (KAMRO) is proposed in this paper. The algorithm integrates the Kriging surrogate model, an improved advanced mean value (AMV) method, and a Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) validation mechanism, aiming to achieve efficient and robust design optimization. First, through an adaptive sampling strategy based on the expected feasibility function and space filling criteria, actively constrained regions are intelligently identified and sample distribution is optimized. Second, a two-stage optimization framework is adopted. In the first stage, the penalty function is used to quickly approximate the feasible domain, and in the second stage, explicit constraints are combined for precise optimization. Finally, an MCS-guided post-optimization process is proposed to further optimize and improve the design scheme when the reliability is insufficient. Through validation with engineering cases, including a two-dimensional analytical example, a seven-dimensional gear reducer structural optimization example, and a three-dimensional pressure control head structure design, this RBDO framework significantly reduces computational costs while ensuring design reliability, offering both optimization accuracy and engineering practicality.