Innovative Methodologies for Robust Design Optimization with Large Number of Uncertainties Using ModeFRONTIER

There are two general methods of robust design optimization (RDO) and reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) for the optimal design of structures with non-deterministic variables. In the problem-solving process of both RDO and RBRDO, assessing the probabilistic constraints of the problem and the standard deviation of the structural responses is time-consuming and costly. In this study, by presenting a multi-step approach, for a probable optimal solution, the deterministic constraints are first investigated. Then the limit state functions related to probabilistic constraints are computed based on the mean value of random variables (in the RBRDO problem) and in the step of uncertainties effects simulation on the response of the structure, probabilistic constraints are evaluated (in the RBRDO problem). Designs that not meeting the deterministic constraints or in the unsafe area for the mean values of the random variables are not included in calculating the first and second terms of the objective function and reliability assessment. This leads to reduce the volume of calculations. The Monte Carlo simulation method is used to assess the probabilistic constraints, and the EVPS metaheuristic algorithm is used for the optimization process. Three benchmark trusses of 10, 25, and 72 bars were studied to assess the efficiency of the proposed approach. The first objective function in these problems was the mean weight of trusses and the second objective function was the standard deviation of the displacement of a specific node in a certain direction.

This study performed reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) of stator and rotor shape of the IPM type electric motor to reduce the torque ripple considering uncertainties. A metamodel based on the design of experiments results, which was calculated by using 2-D electromagnetic finite element analysis, was used to calculate manufacturing uncertainties and material property distribution. As a result, the mean torque ripple of the optimum electric motor design was reduced by 56.4 % and the robustness was increased by 61.8 % compared with the initial design. The RBRDO design was compared with the designs of deterministic design optimization and reliability-based design optimization, and it was shown that, by using the RBRDO method, the optimum IPMSM can be designed to satisfying not only the minimum torque ripple but also the robustness and the reliability of output torque and torque ripple.

The methods of robust design optimization (RDO) and reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) were implemented in the present study. RBRDO is an integrated method that accounts for the design robustness of an objective function and for the reliability of constraints. The objective function in RBRDO is expressed in terms of the mean and standard deviation of an original objective function. Thus, a multi-objective formulation is employed. The regressive approximate models are generated via the moving least squares method (MLSM) and constraint-feasible moving least squares method (CF-MLSM), which make it possible to realize the feasibility regardless of the multimodality/nonlinearity of the constraint function during the approximate optimization processes. The regression model based RBRDO is newly devised and its numerical characteristics are explored using the design of an actively controlled ten bar truss structure.

With the increasing complexity of engineering systems, ensuring high system reliability and system performance robustness throughout a product life cycle is of vital importance in practical engineering design. Dynamic reliability analysis, which is generally encountered due to time-variant system random inputs, becomes a primary challenge in reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO). This article presents a new approach to efficiently carry out dynamic reliability analysis for RBRDO. The key idea of the proposed approach is to convert time-variant probabilistic constraints to time-invariant ones by efficiently constructing a nested extreme response surface (NERS) and then carry out dynamic reliability analysis using NERS in an iterative RBRDO process. The NERS employs an efficient global optimization technique to identify the extreme time responses that correspond to the worst case scenario of system time-variant limit state functions. With these extreme time samples, a kriging-based time prediction model is built and used to estimate extreme responses for any given arbitrary design in the design space. An adaptive response prediction and model maturation mechanism is developed to guarantee the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed NERS approach. The NERS is integrated with RBRDO with time-variant probabilistic constraints to achieve optimum designs of engineered systems with desired reliability and performance robustness. Two case studies are used to demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach.

ABSTRACTProbabilistic and non-probabilistic methods have been proposed to deal with design problems under uncertainties. Reliability-based design and robust design are probabilistic strategies traditionally used for this purpose. In the present contribution, reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) is formulated as a multi-objective problem considering the interaction of both approaches. The proposed methodology is based on the differential evolution algorithm associated with two strategies to deal with reliability and robustness, respectively, namely inverse reliability analysis and the effective mean concept. This multi-objective optimization problem considers the maximization of reliability and robustness coefficients as additional objective functions. The effectiveness of the methodology is illustrated by two classical test cases and a rotor-dynamics application. The results demonstrate that the proposed methodology is an alternative method to solve RBRDO problems.

This paper attempts to integrate a derivative-free probability analysis method to Reliability-Based Robust Design Optimization (RBRDO). The Eigenvector Dimension Reduction (EDR) method is used for the probability analysis method. It has been demonstrated that the EDR method is more accurate and efficient than the Second-Order Reliability Method (SORM) for reliability and quality assessment. Moreover, it can simultaneously evaluate both reliability and quality without any extra expense. Three practical engineering problems (vehicle side impact, layered bonding plates, and lower control arm) are used to demonstrate the effectiveness of the EDR method.

Optimizing reliability-based robust design model using multi-objective genetic algorithm

Reliability-based robust design optimization: A comparative study

<p>The primary objective of this study is to develop new computational methods for robust design optimization (RDO) and reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of high-dimensional, complex engineering systems. Four major research directions, all anchored in polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), have been defined to meet the objective. They involve: (1) development of new sensitivity analysis methods for RDO and RBDO; (2) development of novel optimization methods for solving RDO problems; (3) development of novel optimization methods for solving RBDO problems; and (4) development of a novel scheme and formulation to solve stochastic design optimization problems with both distributional and structural design parameters.</p> <p>The major achievements are as follows. Firstly, three new computational methods were developed for calculating design sensitivities of statistical moments and reliability of high-dimensional complex systems subject to random inputs. The first method represents a novel integration of PDD of a multivariate stochastic response function and score functions, leading to analytical expressions of design sensitivities of the first two moments. The second and third methods, relevant to probability distribution or reliability analysis, exploit two distinct combinations built on PDD: the PDD-SPA method, entailing the saddlepoint approximation (SPA) and score functions; and the PDD-MCS method, utilizing the embedded Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) of the PDD approximation and score functions. For all three methods developed, both the statistical moments or failure probabilities and their design sensitivities are both determined concurrently from a single stochastic analysis or simulation. Secondly, four new methods were developed for RDO of complex engineering systems. The methods involve PDD of a high-dimensional stochastic response for statistical moment analysis, a novel integration of PDD and score functions for calculating the second-moment sensitivities with respect to the design variables, and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms. The methods, depending on how statistical moment and sensitivity analyses are dovetailed with an optimization algorithm, encompass direct, single-step, sequential, and multi-point single-step design processes. Thirdly, two new methods were developed for RBDO of complex engineering systems. The methods involve an adaptive-sparse polynomial dimensional decomposition (AS-PDD) of a high-dimensional stochastic response for reliability analysis, a novel integration of AS-PDD and score functions for calculating the sensitivities of the failure probability with respect to design variables, and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms, resulting in a multi-point, single-step design process. The two methods, depending on how the failure probability and its design sensitivities are evaluated, exploit two distinct combinations built on AS-PDD: the AS-PDD-SPA method, entailing SPA and score functions; and the AS-PDD-MCS method, utilizing the embedded MCS of the AS-PDD approximation and score functions. In addition, a new method, named as the augmented PDD method, was developed for RDO and RBDO subject to mixed design variables, comprising both distributional and structural design variables. The method comprises a new augmented PDD of a high-dimensional stochastic response for statistical moment and reliability analyses; an integration of the augmented PDD, score functions, and finite-difference approximation for calculating the sensitivities of the first two moments and the failure probability with respect to distributional and structural design variables; and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms, leading to a multi-point, single-step design process.</p> <p>The innovative formulations of statistical moment and reliability analysis, design sensitivity analysis, and optimization algorithms have achieved not only highly accurate but also computationally efficient design solutions. Therefore, these new methods are capable of performing industrial-scale design optimization with numerous design variables.</p>

A robust and reliability-based aeroelastic tailoring framework for composite aircraft wings

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study the consideration of uncertainty from analysis modules for aircraft conceptual design by implementing uncertainty-based design optimization methods. Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO), Possibility-Based Design Optimization (PBDO) and Robust Design Optimization (RDO) methods were developed to handle uncertainties of design optimization. The RBDO method is found suitable for uncertain parameters when sufficient information is available. On the other hand, the PBDO method is proposed when uncertain parameters have insufficient information. The RDO method can apply to both cases. The RBDO, PBDO and RDO methods were considered with the Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) method to generate conservative design results when low fidelity analysis tools are used. Design/methodology/approach – Methods combining MDO with RBDO, PBDO and RDO were developed and have been applied to a numerical analysis and an aircraft conceptual design. This research eva...

:A robust multi-objective wing design optimization procedure using CFD is presented in this work. Instead of directly applying CFD to wing design optimization, a Kriging aerodynamic model that approximates CFD result is proposed to save computational cost. By introducing 6σ robust approach as a sub-objective function, multi-objective wing design problems can be solved with aerodynamic robustness. Non-Uniform Rational B-Spline curves (NURBS) are introduced to depict the wing geometry in design optimization process. The most important parameters of the wing geometry can then be screened by design of experiment and treated as design variables due to the local variation property of NURBS. Under this formulation, a multi-objective genetic algorithm based on non-dominated sorting is employed to handle multiple flight conditions in wing design. The optimum wing geometry is selected according to trade-off among design objects on the non-dominated front. To validate the proposed approach, two robust design optimization cases are studied for ONERA-M6-Wing. It turns out that the drag coefficient is insensitive to Mach number between Ma0.8–Ma0.9 after robust optimization. The result also verifies the effectiveness of our method in boosting performance and robustness of multiple flight conditions: the lift curve slope (Ma0.3) of optimum wing and the 6σ objective function of transonic drag (Ma0.8–Ma0.9) increase by 11.9% and 25.4%, respectively. Observations in the optimization cases are concluded as follows: 1) For wing aerodynamic design problems, the multi-objective robust optimization can both improve the performance at different flight conditions and provide robustness. 2) The Kriging aerodynamic model derived from CFD result can satisfy the precision requirement of wing design. 3) Even though the optimization result is subject to the weights of the 6σ function in sub-object, the influence is not comparable to the trade-off among design objects. 4) The optimum solution obtained by proposed approach is superior to gradient based optimization method, while the computational cost is acceptable.

The reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely recognized as a powerful optimization tool under probabilistic constraints, through appropriate modeling of uncertainties. However, the drawback of RBDO is that it does not reflect the ability of the structure to comply with large data variations, unforeseen actions or deterioration mechanisms. On the other hand, the robust design optimization (RDO) reduces the variability of the structural performance, in addition to its mean level. However, RDO does not take direct advantage of the interaction between controllable (product design values) and noise variables (environmental random values), and the obtained results do not accurately indicate what parameter has the highest effect on the performance characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to propose a robust formulation for reliability-based design optimization (RRBDO) that combines the advantages of both optimization procedures and overcomes their weaknesses. The optimization model proposed overcomes the limitations of the existing models without compromising the reliability level, by considering a robust convex objective function and a performance variation constraint. The proposed formulation can consider the total cost of structures and can control structural parameter variations. It takes into account uncertainty and variability in the same mathematical formulation. A numerical solution procedure is also developed, for which results are analyzed and compared with RBDO for several examples of concrete and steel structures.

The uncertainties of design variables, noise parameters, and metamodel are important factors in simulation-based robust design optimization. Most conventional metamodel construction methods only consider one or two uncertainties. In this paper, a new surrogate modeling method simultaneously measuring all the uncertainties is proposed for simulation-based robust design optimization of complex product. The effect of metamodel uncertainty on product performance uncertainty is quantified through uncertainty propagation analysis among design variables uncertainty, noise parameters uncertainty, metamodel uncertainty, and performance uncertainty. Then, the sampling points are selected and the metamodel is constructed based on the predictive interval of product performance and mean square error of the Kriging metamodel. The constructed metamodel is applied to robust design optimization considering multiple uncertainties. Results of two mathematical examples show that the proposed metamodel considering multiple uncertainties increases the result accuracy of robust design optimization. Finally, the proposed algorithm is applied to robust design optimization of a heat exchanger, and the total heat transfer rate is enhanced under uncertainties of fin structural parameters, operation conditions parameters and simulation metamodel.

This paper presents a new approach aims to solve robust multidisciplinary design optimization MDO problem called Improved Multi-objective Robust Collaborative Optimization . This method combines the Multi-objective Robust Collaborative Optimization method, the Worst Possible Point constraint cuts and the Genetic algorithm NSGA-II type as an optimizer to solve the robust optimization problem of complex structure named Y-stiffened panel under interval uncertainty . The proposed approach hierarchically decomposes the optimization problem into a structure level considered as an upper level in the Y-stiffened panel and a second level considered as a lower level of the studied panel. A robust multi-objective optimization problem intended to optimize the eigenfrequency, the global mass and the displacement at a fixed point of the Y-stiffened panel at the first level and each structure’s robust optimization problem allows optimizing its eigenfrequency and mass limited by their local constraint functions at the second one. Tor demonstrate our method, an engineering example of Y-stiffened panel is treated. A good performance of proposed method is proved by a comparison between obtained results and Non-Distributed Multi-objective Robust Optimization .