An evolutionary ensemble analogy‐based software effort estimation

Effort estimations are a crucial aspect of software development. The tasks should be completed before the start of any software project. Accurate estimations increase the chances of project success, and inaccurate information can lead to severe issues. This study systematically reviewed the literature on effort-estimating models from 2015-2024, identifying 69 relevant studies from various publications to compile information on various software work estimation models. This review aims to analyze the models proposed in the literature and their classification, the metrics used for accuracy measurement, the leading model that has been chiefly applied for effort estimation, and the benchmark datasets available. The study utilized 542 relevant articles on software development, cost, effort, prediction, estimation, and modelling techniques in the search strategy. After 194 selections, the authors chose 69 articles to understand ML applications in SEE comprehensively. The researchers used a scoring system to assess each study’s responses (from 0 to 5 points) to their research questions. This helped them identify credible studies with higher scores for a comprehensive review aligned with its objectives. The data extraction process identified 91% (63) of 69 studies as either highly or somewhat relevant, demonstrating a successful search strategy for analysis. The literature review on SEE indicates a growing preference for ML-based models in 59% of selected studies. 17% of the studies chosen favor hybrid models to overcome software development challenges. We qualitatively analyzed all the literature on software effort estimation using expert judgment, formal estimation techniques, ML-based techniques, and hybrid techniques. We discovered that researchers have frequently used ML-based models to estimate software effort and are currently in the lead. This study also explores the application of feature importance and selection in machine learning models for Software Effort Estimation (SEE) using popular algorithms like support Vector Machine (SVM), AdaBoost (AB), Gradient Boost (GB), and Random Forest (RF) with six benchmark datasets like CHINA, COCOMO-NASA2, COCOMO, COCOMO81, DESHARNAIS, and KITCHENHAM. We analyze the dataset descriptions and feature importance of the dataset analysis using ML models for choosing crucial play attributes in SEE.

Software Requirements Changes is a typical phenomenon in any software development project. Restricting incoming changes might cause user dissatisfaction and allowing too many changes might cause delay in project delivery. Moreover, the acceptance or rejection of the change requests become challenging for software project managers when these changes are occurred in Software Development Phase. Where in Software Development Phase software artifacts are not in consistent state such as: some of the class artifacts are Fully Developed, some are Half Developed, some are Major Developed, some are Minor Developed and some are Not Developed yet. However, software effort estimation and change impact analysis are the two most common techniques which might help software project managers in accepting or rejecting change requests during Software Development Phase. The aim of this research is to develop a new software change effort estimation model which helps software project manager in estimating the effort for software Requirement Changes during Software Development Phase. Thus, this research has analyzed the existing effort estimation models and change impact analysis techniques for Softwrae Development Phase from the literature and proposed a new software change effort estimation model by combining change impact analysis technique with effort estimation model. Later, the new proposed model has been evaluated by selecting four small size software projects as case selections in applying experimental approch. The experiment results show that the overall Mean Magnitude Relative Error value produced by the new proposed model is under 25%. Hence it is concluded that the new proposed model is applicable in estimating the amount of effort for requirement changes during SDP.

Crowd-Sourced software development (CSSD) is getting a good deal of attention from the software and research community in recent times. One of the key challenges faced by CSSD platforms is the task selection mechanism which in practice, contains no intelligent scheme. Rather, rule-of-thumb or intuition strategies are employed, leading to biasness and subjectivity. Effort considerations on crowdsourced tasks can offer good foundation for task selection criteria but are not much investigated. Software development effort estimation (SDEE) is quite prevalent domain in software engineering but only investigated for in-house development. For open-sourced or crowdsourced platforms, it is rarely explored. Moreover, Machine learning (ML) techniques are overpowering SDEE with a claim to provide more accurate estimation results. This work aims to conjoin ML-based SDEE to analyze development effort measures on CSSD platform. The purpose is to discover development-oriented features for crowdsourced tasks and analyze performance of ML techniques to find best estimation model on CSSD dataset. TopCoder is selected as target CSSD platform for the study. TopCoder’s development tasks data with development-centric features are extracted, leading to statistical, regression and correlation analysis to justify features’ significance. For effort estimation, 10 ML families with 2 respective techniques are applied to get broader aspect of estimation. Five performance metrices (MSE, RMSE, MMRE, MdMRE, Pred (25) and Welch’s statistical test are incorporated to judge the worth of effort estimation model’s performance. Data analysis results show that selected features of TopCoder pertain reasonable model significance, regression, and correlation measures. Findings of ML effort estimation depicted that best results for TopCoder dataset can be acquired by linear, non-linear regression and SVM family models. To conclude, the study identified the most relevant development features for CSSD platform, confirmed by in-depth data analysis. This reflects careful selection of effort estimation features to offer good basis of accurate ML estimate.

Background. Currently there are several definitions of measures that should represent the size of software functional requirements. These measures have gained a quite relevant role, since they are one of the few basis upon which effort estimation can be based. However, traditional Functional Size Measures do not take into account the amount and complexity of the elaboration required, concentrating instead on the amount of data accessed or moved. This is a problem, when it comes to effort estimation, since the amount and complexity of the required data elaborations affect the implementation effort, but are not adequately represented by the current measures (including the standardized ones).

Software development effort estimation is one of the most crucial activities in software engineering. Effort estimation permits managers and software engineers to anticipate, forecast, and precisely quote the schedule, budget and manpower requirements. By accurately estimating the effort; software projects can be saved from under run or over run. In this paper we have summarized and then analyzed the past work of software effort estimation in a systematic way. 10 researches were surveyed and explained briefly that how they are contributing towards solving the effort estimation problem in terms of time, cost or test. It also emphasizes that various effort estimation models have different pros and cons and can be used in different context on basis of different types of historical data. The survey discovered the most popular models used for effort prediction are supervised learning algorithms. The trends identified through this survey can help in exploring the potential research areas.

Software cost and effort estimation using dragonfly whale optimized multilayer perceptron neural network

Due to the intangible nature of "software", accurate and reliable software effort estimation is a challenge in the software Industry.It is unlikely to expect very accurate estimates of software development effort because of the inherent uncertainty in software development projects and the complex and dynamic interaction of factors that impact software development.Heterogeneity exists in the software engineering datasets because data is made available from diverse sources. This can be reduced by defining certain relationship between the data values by classifying them into different clusters. This study focuses on how the combination of clustering and regression techniques can reduce the potential problems in effectiveness of predictive efficiencydue to heterogeneity of the data.Using a clustered approach creates the subsets of data having a degree of homogeneity that enhances prediction accuracy.It was also observed in this study that ridge regression performs better than other regression techniques used in the analysis.

Software effort estimation is a vital process in the software industry for successfully administering 5Ds of the software development life cycle (SDLC). The 5Ds stand for demand, development, direction, deployment, and designated cost of the software. Software development effort estimation (SDEE) is an effort prediction mechanism to calculate the effort for the development of the software product in order to minimize the challenges in the software field. Academics and practitioners are striving to identify which machine learning estimation technique yields more accurate results based on evaluation metrics, datasets, and other pertinent aspects. The feature selection techniques impact accuracy by selecting the main and relevant features in the dataset and eliminating the redundant and irrelevant features in the dataset. To achieve accurate estimations, the paper utilizes feature selection algorithms, along with various machine learning techniques, which predict the desired effort and the performance of the model has been measured in terms of prediction accuracy, value, relative error, and mean absolute error. The datasets China and Maxwell are trained with the relevant features by applying feature selection algorithms, and estimation techniques are applied to predict the effort. The performance is compared with the regression models and feature selection techniques utilized by many authors previously. The result of the proposed methodology significantly gives the best performance with the combination of feature selection and estimation models than all regression models when applied alone, to both datasets. From the results, it is perceptible that random forest is performing well with the feature selection techniques and obtains the highest prediction accuracy of 99.33% with the China and 89.47% with the Maxwell datasets.

The accurate estimation of software development effort has major implications for the management of software development in the industry. Underestimates lead to time pressures that may compromise full functional development and thorough testing of the software product. On the other hand, overestimates can result in over allocation of development resources and personnel [1]. Many models for effort estimation have been developed during the past years; some of them use parametric methods with some degree of success, other kind of methods belonging to the machine learning techniques, such as Neural Networks (NN), have been also studied in this field showing more accurate estimations, and finally the Genetic programming (GP) techniques are being considered as promising tools for the prediction of effort estimation. In this work we are to compare the behaviour of GP and Genetic Algorithms (GA) to the Neural Network approach (backpropagation).

Software cost and time estimation is the process of estimating the cost and time required to develop a software system. Software cost and time estimation supports the planning and tracking of software projects. Effectively controlling the expensive investment of software development is one of the important issues in software project management. Estimating software development cost with high precision is still a great challenge for project managers, because it allows for considerable financial and strategic planning. Software cost estimation refers to the predictions of the likely amount of effort, time, and staffing levels required to build a software system. A very helpful form of cost estimation is the one made at an early stage during a project, when the costing of the project is proposed for approval. However, estimates at the early stages of the development are the most difficult to obtain. In this paper a novel Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) based on soft computing approach is proposed for software cost estimation. This model carries some of the desirable features of neural networks approach, such as learning ability and good interpretability, while maintaining the merits of the COCOMO model. Unlike the standard neural networks approach, the proposed model can be interpreted and validated by experts, and has good generalisation capability. The model deals effectively with imprecise and uncertain input and enhances the reliability of software cost estimates. From the experimental results, it was concluded that, by the proposed neural network model, the accuracy of cost estimation can be improved and the estimated cost can be very close to the actual cost.

Software development involves several interrelated factors that influence development efforts and productivity. Improving the estimation techniques available to project managers will facilitate more effective time and budget control in software development. Software Effort Estimation or software cost/effort estimation can help a software development company to overcome difficulties experienced in estimating software development efforts. This study aims to compare the Machine Learning method of Linear Regression (LR), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Radial Basis Function (RBF), and Decision Tree Random Forest (DTRF) to calculate estimated cost/effort software. Then these five approaches will be tested on a dataset of software development projects as many as 10 dataset projects. So that it can produce new knowledge about what machine learning and non-machine learning methods are the most accurate for estimating software business. As well as knowing between the selection between using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for attributes selection and without PSO, which one can increase the accuracy for software business estimation. The data mining algorithm used to calculate the most optimal software effort estimate is the Linear Regression algorithm with an average RMSE value of 1603,024 for the 10 datasets tested. Then using the PSO feature selection can increase the accuracy or reduce the RMSE average value to 1552,999. The result indicates that, compared with the original regression linear model, the accuracy or error rate of software effort estimation has increased by 3.12% by applying PSO feature selection

Nowadays the significant trend of the effort estimation is in demand. It needs more data to be collected and the stakeholders require an effective and efficient software for processing, which makes the hardware and software cost development becomes steeply increasing. This scenario is true especially in the area of large industry, as the size of a software project is becoming more complex and bigger, the complexity of estimation is continuously increased. Effort estimation is part of the software engineering economic study on how to manage limited resources in a way a project could meet its target goal in a specified schedule, budget and scope. It is necessary to develop or adopt a useful software development process in executing a software development project by acting as a key constraint to the project. The accuracy of estimation is the main critical evaluation for every study. Recently, the machine learning techniques are becoming widely used in many effort estimation problems but there are limitations in some of the models and the variation research is still not enough. This paper presents an overview of the effort estimation using machine learning techniques and will be useful for researchers to provide future direction in the field of machine learning adoption in software effort estimation.

The growing application of software and resource constraints in software projects development need a more accurate estimate of the cost and effort because of the importance in program planning, coordinated scheduling and resource management including the number of programming's and software design using tools and modern methods of modeling. Effectively control of investment for software development is achieved by accurate cost estimation.The accurate Software Cost Estimation (SCE) is very difficult in the early stages of software development because many of input parameters that are effective in software's effort are very vague and uncertain in the early stages. SCE that is the basis of software projects development planning is considered to be of high accuracy, because if the estimate is less than actual values, confidence factor is reduce and this is means the possibility of failure in project. Conversely, if the project is estimated at more than the actual value it would be the concept of unhelpful investment and waste of resources. In the evaluation of software projects is commonly used deterministic method. But software world is totally different from the linear variables and nowadays for performance and estimation should be used nonlinear and non-probabilistic methods. In this paper, we have studied the SCE Using Fuzzy Logic (FL) and we have compared it with COCOMO model. Results of investigations show that FL is a performance model for SCE.

<i>Introduction</i>: The precise estimation of software effort is a significant difficulty that project managers encounter during software development. Inaccurate forecasting leads to either overestimating or underestimating software effort, which can be detrimental for stakeholders. The International Function Point Users Group&#x2019;s Function Point Analysis (FPA) method is one of the most critical methods for software effort estimation. However, the practice of using the FPA method in the same fashion across all software areas needs to be reexamined. <i>Aim</i>: We propose a model for evaluating the influence of data clustering on software development effort estimation and then finding the best clustering method. We call this model the effort estimation using machine learning applied to the clusters (EEAC) model. <i>Method</i>: We cluster the dataset according to the clustering method and then apply the FPA and EEAC methods to these clusters for effort estimation. The clustering methods we use in this study include five categorical variable criteria (Development Platform, Industrial Sector, Language Type, Organization Type, and Relative Size) and the k-means clustering algorithm. <i>Results</i>: The experimental results show that the estimation accuracy obtaining with clustering consistently outperforms the accuracy without clustering for both the FPA and EEAC methods. Significantly, using the FPA method, the average improvement rate from using clustering as opposed to non-clustered was highest at 58.06%, according to the RMSE. With the EEAC method, this number reached 65.53%. The Industry Sector categorical variable achieves the best accuracy estimation compared to the other clustering criteria and k-means clustering. The improvement in accuracy in terms of the RMSE when applying this criterion is 63.68% for the FPA method and 72.02% for the EEAC method. <i>Conclusion</i>: Better results are obtained through dataset clustering compared to no clustering for both the FPA and EEAC methods. The Industry Sector is the most suitable clustering method among the tested clustering methods.

In this study, an analysis is performed in order to explore whether and how culture and leadership factors have an impact on the accuracy of software effort and cost estimation. A survey on software development projects within government departments in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) was undertaken. A Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) cost estimation model incorporating organizational and intercultural factors was developed and evaluated. The results indicated that the inclusion of such data into explanatory estimation models such as BBNs could provide useful information and increase the accuracy of final estimates.