An expert system with neural network and decision tree for predicting audit opinions

For a university student, the main measure of success is whether or not they pass the modules for which they are enrolled. It is not always easy for a lecturer to determine whether or not a student will be successful as there may be various factors on which the final result of a student depends. Applying rules or common insights might aid a lecturer in identifying students who are struggling in a specific module. This may afford the lecturer the opportunity to devise an intervention; so as to enhance the chances of the student passing the module. To facilitate the gathering of information on which to base possible student academic interventions, this study makes use of an artificial neural network and decision tree to derive a series of insights and rules which a lecturer may use to identify struggling students. The artificial neural network and decision tree are both trained using supervised learning techniques. Individually, both the neural network and decision tree have an accuracy in excess of 77% and a sensitivity in excess of 83% on a test data set. Both models show a moderate level of agreement with a pre-labelled dataset.

Heart disease is one of the leading cause deaths of worldwide. Prediction of cardiovascular infection is a critical challenge in the area of clinical data analysis. Data mining techniques are providing an effective decision and significant results on data that are used widely for predicting. The purpose of this paper is to propose a novel approach with aims to find a noteworthy method to diagnose heart disease prediction. In this research, a unique dataset was created by combining the Cleveland dataset and Stalog heart disease datasets collected from the UCI ML repository. The new dataset contains 14 medical parameters such as age, sex, blood pressure, and 568 instances for training and prediction heart disease. This paper offers a novel methodology of NNDT (Neural Network and Decision Tree) that uses Neural Network for training model and Decision Tree to test classification for better heart disease prediction. The performance of the proposed approach have been compared with Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, Voted Perceptron, and Decision Tree algorithms. The results showed that the accuracy and performance improved as compared to other techniques and methods. This study enables the researchers to analyze the heart disease data with a new approach to predict heart diseases to maintain human health.

At present, patients whose have suffered from stroke in Thailand are increasing every year. Stroke impairments relate to many functions such as sensory, motor function, communication, visual and emotional function which depend on brain's lesion. Physical examinations and assessments are important for planning the rehabilitation programs. For this reason, there are several information for medical decision making. Missing some data for treatment planning may occur. To solve this problem, the proposed study used two algorithms to determine the proper rehabilitation treatment program. Artificial Neural Networks and Decision Trees models were considered. Sensitivity, specificity and accuracy values were computed to define the performance of both algorithms. The results of this study indicated that both techniques can apply for data classification and define the proper treatment programs. However, the results were shown that the specificity and accuracy of decision trees model were higher than neural network model.

Predictive systems use historical and other available data to predict an event. In this paper we tries to compare the power of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Decision Tree (DT) in prediction of aerology events with time series streams and events stream using combination of K-means clustering algorithm and Decision Tree C5 algorithm and ANN. We try to find the effective parameters on events occurrences. Firstly, we find the closest time series record for any events; therefore, we have gathered different parameters value when an event is occurring. Using K-means we add a field to dataset which determines the cluster of each record and after that we predict the events using C5 algorithm and ANN. This framework and time series model can predict future events efficiently. We gathered 1961 until 2005 data of aerology organization for Tehran Mehrabad Station. This data contains some fields such as wet bulb, relative humidity, amount of cloud, wind speed and etc. This dataset includes 17 types of events. Using this framework the closest event can be predicted. The C5 method is able to predict events with 79.55% accuracy and ANN with 72.87% accuracy. Applying K-means clustering algorithm the prediction increase to 94.59% for C5 and 92.66% accuracies for ANN. We use 10-fold cross validation to evaluate our prediction rate. This framework is the first estimation in the area of event prediction for a huge dataset of aerology and can be extended in many different datasets in any other environments.

In this paper we enhance the notion of anomaly detection and use both neural network (NN) and decision tree (DT) for intrusion detection. While DTs are highly successful in detecting known attacks, NNs are more interesting to detect new attacks. In our method we proposed a new approach to design the system using both DT and combination of unsupervised and supervised NN for Intrusion Detection System (IDS). By applying DT known attacks would be recognized with a quick execution time. Unknown attacks would be detected by applying the unsupervised NN based on hybrid of Self Organizing Map (SOM) for clustering attacks into smaller categories and supervised NN based on Backpropagation for detailed clustering.

In manufacturing practices of most big printing companies there are collected data and records of process parameters. Gathering information from this data in form of developed models and rules such as data mining, which uses statistical methods or Artificial Intelligence, Artificial Neural Networks, Decision Trees, Expert Systems, and others are subjects of inter-disciplinary fields of science called Data Mining. In the shrink sleeve production process, the effects of using data mining tools not only improve the quality of the shrink sleeve and winding process but also reduce manufacturing costs. This paper describes how developed models of data mining tools can be used for prediction of initial tension parameters and winding speed for each every new design of shrink sleeve labels. Every one design of shrink sleeve label has a lot of factors. Some of them are more significant, some of them less. The aim of this paper is to choose significant factors and compute a models in learning process using collected data. Finally when models will be computed, can be used for prediction of key winding parameters of each new shrink sleeve label designs. This will bring for company saved time for experimental selection during converting of winding parameters like tension and speed and also will minimize risk of occurrence of defects with incorrect winding parameters.

Implementing a fuzzy expert system in an artificial neural network

Expert-system technology has emerged from beneath the umbrella of Artificial Intelligence and into the mainstream of engineering problem solving. There already are several notable examples of the application of this state-of-the-art technology in the petroleum industry. Clearly, expert systems that run efficiently on standard personal computers are particularly of value. A new expert-system generator that overcomes the speed, memory and mass-storage limitations of XT/AT-class personal computers is presented in this paper. The shell is optimized for the specific characteristics of the target user, knowledge expert and computer. Expert systems developed using this shell currently are being used by our technical personnel for drilling fluid and related applications.

In machine learning, the learning paradigms of an artificial neural network (ANN) and a decision tree (DT) are different, but they are equivalent in essence. This paper proves the approximate equivalency between feedback neural networks and decision trees. The result provides us a very useful guideline when we perform theoretical research and applications on DT and ANN.

Machine learning algorithms are used to analyze medical data sets effectively in present. Today machine learning gives us several necessary tools for intelligent data analysis and research. Especially in very recent years, the digital world has provided relatively inexpensive and available means to collect and store the data. The main aim is to implement supervised machine learning concept by using datasets regarding blood cells collected from blood cells detecting and counting sensors, of a human as the input which is trained by artificial neural network algorithm and apply decision tree classification learning algorithm to perform classification which results in recognizing and also possibly predict the disease based on the nature of blood cells and classify accordingly. Artificial Neural network algorithm seems to avoid pruning problem and has higher efficiency and accuracy in training the datasets. Also the using of Decision tree is because they are easy to interpret, understand and also possess non-linear characteristics between values. This holds well the performance of the tree constructed which gives better outputs. Beside all the application developed using machine learning in day today life, the use of such learning algorithm in such medical application will enhance and benefit the medical field.

The traditional fault diagnosis expert system is dependent on knowledge acquisition of the experts. Knowledge acquisition is recognized as the problem of expert system. In addition, there are also some limitations of adaptive capacity, learning ability and real-time. And artificial neural network with good fault-tolerance and associative memory function, as well as very strong self-adaptive, self-learning ability, just can make up for the limitations of traditional expert system. This paper will construct a new expert system with the artificial neural network into and fault tree. Besides fault tree and neural network, this article mainly introduces the system model of fault diagnosis of the fire control computer and sensor subsystem, the method and process of fault diagnosis. In this expert system, we use the object-oriented production rule to represent the knowledge, which solves the bottleneck problem of the diagnostic knowledge acquisition effectively. The inferential process begins with the abnormal event and finally finds all of the possible faults and the faulty component. For some possible faulty components, which have large number of fault samples, the neural network model can be used to diagnose. The training network of fault samples employs the BP neural network. Finally, simulation training results show that the fault diagnosis expert system based on the combination of fault tree and neural network is rational and effective in fault diagnosis of the fire control system, realizes perfectly the combination of new knowledge and old one, and can grasp the state of systems dynamically.

This paper takes one thousand records of some medical information system for example, makes data mining according to patients' data record about drug selection, uses BP neural network and decision tree method respectively to have model building and finds the best medicine fits for this kind of disease. The results of the experiment validate the method's feasibility and validity and provide reference frame to assist doctor to use medicine.

Although the use of expert systems (ESs) as a problem-solving tool is relatively new in the transportation profession, it has been recognized that a well-designed ES can contribute in areas where knowledge domain requires an integration of expertise from various disciplines or is very complex and difficult to quantify. To minimize the effort involved in developing essential ES mechanisms, researchers often prefer to use ES shells which provide a standard inference procedure, knowledge representation, and a user-friendly design environment. However, commercial ES shells tend to be designed for only certain classes of problems, and are not as general and flexible as programming languages. More than 150 commercial ES shells are available in the microcomputer market. Most ES shells are ususally claimed by their vendors to be usable for almost any conceivable applications, but such claims have often proved to be extravagant. Hence, the selection of an efficient yet cost-effective commercial shell is one of the most critical tasks in ES development. In reviewing the the vital task of ES shell selection, this paper presents our experience in evaluating more than 30 ES shells for developing an ES for signal design. The proposed ES includes signal settings, phasing plans, controllers, and detector locations.

A Comparison of Predicting Movie Success between Artificial Neural Network and Decision Tree

In this article, the authors proposed the method of medical diagnosis in gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in the initial stages of pregnancy to facilitate diagnoses and prevent the affection. Nowadays, in industrial modern world with changing lifestyle alimental manner the incidence of complex disease has been increasingly grown. GDM is a chronic disease and one of the major health problems that is often diagnosed in middle or late period of pregnancy, when it is too late for prediction. If it is not treated, it will make serious complications and various side effects for mother and child. This article is designed for answering to the question of: “What is the best approach in timely and accurate prediction of GDM?” Thus, the artificial neural network and decision tree are proposed to reduce the amount of error and the level of accuracy in anticipating and improving the precision of prediction. The results illustrate that intelligent diagnosis systems can improve the quality of healthcare, timely prediction, prevention, and knowledge discovery in bioinformatics.