Comparative analysis of machine learning models for rainfall prediction

In this study, six machine learning (ML) models, namely, random forest (RF), Gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector regression (SVR), decision tree (DT), least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), and multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) models, were employed to reconstruct the missing daily‐averaged discharge in a mega‐delta from 1980 to 2015 using upstream‐downstream multi‐station data. The performance and accuracy of each ML model were assessed and compared with the stage‐discharge rating curves (RCs) using four statistical indicators, Taylor diagrams, violin plots, scatter plots, time‐series plots, and heatmaps. Model input selection was performed using mutual information and correlation coefficient methods after three data pre‐processing steps: normalization, Fourier series fitting, and first‐order differencing. The results showed that the ML models are superior to their RC counterparts, and MARS and RF are the most reliable algorithms, although MARS achieves marginally better performance than RF. Compared to RC, MARS and RF reduced the root mean square error (RMSE) by 135% and 141% and the mean absolute error by 194% and 179%, respectively, using year‐round data. However, the performance of MARS and RF developed for the climbing (wet season) and recession (dry season) limbs separately worsened slightly compared to that developed using the year‐round data. Specifically, the RMSE of MARS and RF in the falling limb was 856 and 1,040 m3/s, respectively, while that obtained using the year‐round data was 768 and 789 m3/s, respectively. In this study, the DT model is not recommended, while the GPR and SVR models provide acceptable results.

Aquaponics is a growing industry that combines intensive food production with waste-stream recycling and water conservation, offering alternative solutions to soil degradation and water scarcity. This technique can contribute to global food security but requires careful management. One of the key parameters in aquaponics is pH, which must be maintained to accommodate three different types of living organisms: fish, plants, and bacteria. In aquaponics systems, pH naturally decreases due to the nitrification process, making monitoring essential. To predict pH levels in a small-scale aquaponics system—consisting of three hydroponic techniques (DWC, media bed culture, and NFT) combined with a tilapia fish tank—three machine learning models were proposed in this study. The results showed that the random forest regressor model can predict pH fluctuations over 12 days with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.0260 and a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.0006. The random forest model outperformed the MLP regressor and SVR models in terms of accuracy, suitability, and prediction error. Predicting pH is crucial for the stability of an aquaponics system.

As a link for energy transfer between the land and atmosphere in the terrestrial ecosystem, karst vegetation plays an important role. Karst vegetation is not only affected by environmental factors but also by intense human activities. The nonlinear characteristics of vegetation growth are induced by the interaction mechanism of these factors. Previous studies of this relationship were not comprehensive, and it is necessary to further explore it using a suitable method. In this study, we selected climate, human activities, topography, and soil texture as the response factors; a nonlinear relationship model between the karst normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and these factors was established by applying a back propagation neural network (BPNN), a radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), the random forest (RF) algorithm, and support vector regression (SVR); and then, the karst NDVI was predicted. The coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the obtained results were calculated, and the mean R2 values of the BPNN, RBFNN, RF, and SVR models were determined to be 0.77, 0.86, 0.89, and 0.91, respectively. Compared with the BPNN, RBFNN, and RF models, the SVR model had the lowest errors, with mean MSE, RMSE, and MAPE values of 0.001, 0.02, and 2.77, respectively. The results show that the BPNN, RBFNN, RF, and SVR models are within acceptable ranges for karst NDVI prediction, but the overall performance of the SVR model is the best, and it is more suitable for karst vegetation prediction.

Rainfall plays a crucial role in agricultural practices, influencing the growth of essential crops and impacting economies reliant on agriculture. In Rajasthan, India, where agriculture is predominantly rainfed and dependent on unpredictable monsoon rains, accurate rainfall forecasting is vital for effective crop management, irrigation, optimizing agricultural productivity, managing water resources, and addressing drought conditions and. This study evaluates various machine learning models for predicting rainfall in East and West Rajasthan. The models assessed include Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN). These models were compared based on their accuracy measures, including Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Relative Root Squared Error (RRSE), and Relative Absolute Error (RAE). The results indicate that ANN and KNN perform poorly compared to SVR and RF suggesting their inadequacy for rainfall forecasting in water-scarce regions. The performance of SVR and RF are comparable as the difference is less. However SVR is identified as the most effective model for rainfall prediction in both subdivisions, as highlighted in the study. This study suggest that SVR and RF model should be includes in prediction of amount of rainfall.

Human intervention cannot halt natural disasters like earthquakes, but machine learning application expertise can be utilized to detect patterns in data and increase understanding and predictive power. Recent development of machine learning models has increasingly developed interest in forecasting and predicting the magnitude of earthquakes. In this work, Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Multi-Layer Perceptron Regressor(MLPR), and Support Vector Regression (SVR) models were employed to predict the magnitude of greater than 6 mb earthquakes that occurred in the year 2015 in the central Himalaya. We noticed RFR method had been able to predict the magnitude of the Gorkha earthquake (6.9mb), and the Kodariearthquake (6.7 mb) in comparison with the other two models. We also checked the performance of these models by three parameters Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and noticed the better performance of RFR model. The findings illustrate that RFR is achieving better performance than the other two algorithms, as the predicted magnitudes are close to the actual magnitudes.

The prediction of wind energy generation is important to enhance the performance and dependability of renewable energy systems due to the rising demand for wind-generated electricity and advancements in wind energy technology competitiveness. This study leverages advanced machine learning (ML) and some other statistical and deep learning based time series forecasting models to enhance the accuracy of wind energy predictions. This comprehensive analysis includes nine ML models—Linear Regression, Random Forests (RF), Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM), Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), AdaBoost, XGBoost, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Neural Networks—as well as Four time-series forecasting models—ARIMA, Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and GRU. Each ML model underwent rigorous cross-validation to ensure optimal performance. The assessment criteria utilized here comprised the Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the R² Score. It was found that among the nine ML models, Random Forests, GBM and KNN consistently provided superior accuracy and robustness, making them the top choices for wind energy prediction whereas the performance of linear regression, SVM and SVR were very poor for the considered dataset. From the experiment, Random Forest, GBM, and KNN showed the best performance with low MSE values of 0.77, 1.95, and 1.51 respectively, while other models had MSEs above 7.5, with AdaBoost reaching 30. Their RMSEs (0.88, 1.40, 1.23) and MAEs (0.093, 0.73, 0.10) also indicate strong predictive accuracy compared to the rest.In this paper, time series forecasting, TCNs, LSTM and GRU networks showed strong capabilities in capturing temporal dependencies and trends within the wind energy data. Visualization techniques were employed to compare model performances comprehensively, providing clear insights into their predictive power. Therefore, this present study offers a robust framework for researchers and practitioners aiming to leverage machine learning and time series forecasting in the realm of renewable energy prediction.

Evaluation of data driven models for river suspended sediment concentration modeling

This work evaluates machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for Photovoltaic (PV) power output prediction based on two real-world datasets. Eight models – Support Vector Regression (SVR), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest Regression (RFR), Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR), Decision Tree (DT), one Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (1DCNN) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) – were evaluated using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), R-squared (R²), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Squared Error (MSE). For Dataset1 (region of Cacak) 1DCNN achieved the optimal performance, with the reduced errors and the largest R² values at three spatial locations, and it was closely followed by RFR and GBR. Likewise, in Dataset2 (region of Kraljevo), 1DCNN, ANN, and RFR give the best results. Conventional models, such as LR and DT, performed poorly in both data tribes. The results highlight the ability of state-of-the-art ensemble and DL models in learning nonlinear patterns in solar energy data and thus, the importance of choosing the right prediction tools to provide accurate and reliable PV power forecasts.  

In the rapidly evolving real estate market, the application of machine learning (ML) is crucial for understanding and predicting price trends. This study evaluates and compares seven ML models, including multiple linear regression, random forest regression, support vector regression (SVR), decision tree regression, and XGBoost, to determine the most effective predictor of real estate prices in Astana, Kazakhstan. The study focuses on the Yesil district, a key area in the city, utilizing a dataset of over 9,000 records extracted from a broader collection of more than 30,000 real estate transactions across Kazakhstan. Through rigorous experimentation, model performance was assessed using statistical metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination (R-squared). The results indicate that the Random Forest Regressor and XGBRegressor models outperformed others, achieving the highest R-squared values (99.55% and 99.18%, respectively) and the lowest MAE and RMSE values. These findings highlight their robustness in predicting housing prices with high accuracy. The primary objective of this study was to develop a precise ML model capable of accurately forecasting real estate prices in Astana based on key market attributes. The superior predictive performance of the Random Forest and XGBRegressor models justifies their selection for deployment in real-world applications. Their high predictive accuracy suggests their potential utility for real estate professionals, policymakers, and investors seeking data-driven insights into market dynamics. This research expands knowledge on the applications of ML in the real estate sector, reinforcing the importance of evidence-based decision-making within the industry.

It is necessary to develop general and efficient models for the representation of vapor-liquid equilibria (VLE) for the binary mixtures containing R1234ze(E) which will be new alternatives to conventional refrigerants. This work investigates the applicability of four machine learning models, including K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector regression (SVR), random forests (RF), and multi-layer perceptron (MLP), in representing VLE for 10 binary mixtures. The accuracy, stability, computational complexity and extrapolation ability of these machine learning models are analyzed and compared with two thermodynamic models including Soave–Redlich–Kwong (SRK) and Peng–Robinson (PR). The results show the KNN, RF and MLP models are not suitable to accurately represent the experimental pressure and vapor-phase mole fraction. The SVR model is the most accurate machine learning model in representing the experimental pressure with a mean absolute relative error of 0.71%, basically as accurate as the PR and SVR models. Meanwhile, the SVR model describes the experimental vapor-phase mole fraction more accurately with a mean absolute error of 0.0049 compared to the PR and SVR models. In addition, the SVR model has a low running-time cost and a certain extent of extrapolation ability.

ABSTRACTAboveground biomass (AGB) of mangrove forest plays a crucial role in global carbon cycle by reducing greenhouse gas emissions and mitigating climate change impacts. Monitoring mangrove forests biomass accurately still remains challenging compared to other forest ecosystems. We investigated the usability of machine learning techniques for the estimation of AGB of mangrove plantation at a coastal area of Hai Phong city (Vietnam). The study employed a GIS database and support vector regression (SVR) to build and verify a model of AGB, drawing upon data from a survey in 25 sampling plots and an integration of Advanced Land Observing Satellite-2 Phased Array Type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar-2 (ALOS-2 PALSAR-2) dual-polarization horizontal transmitting and horizontal receiving (HH) and horizontal transmitting and vertical receiving (HV) and Sentinel-2A multispectral data. The performance of the model was assessed using root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R2), and leave-one-out cross-validation. Usability of the SVR model was assessed by comparing with four state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, i.e. radial basis function neural networks, multi-layer perceptron neural networks, Gaussian process, and random forest. The SVR model shows a satisfactory result (R2 = 0.596, RMSE = 0.187, MAE = 0.123) and outperforms the four machine learning models. The SVR model-estimated AGB ranged between 36.22 and 230.14 Mg ha−1 (average = 87.67 Mg ha−1). We conclude that an integration of ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 and Sentinel-2A data used with SVR model can improve the AGB accuracy estimation of mangrove plantations in tropical areas.

Saline soil moisture mapping using Sentinel-1A synthetic aperture radar data and machine learning algorithms in humid region of China's east coast

Support vector regression optimized by black widow optimization algorithm combining with feature selection by MARS for mining blast vibration prediction

A machine-learning-based model for predicting the effective stiffness of precast concrete columns

The concept of orthometric heights system determination plays a major key role in geodesy, and it has broad applications in various fields and activities. In geodesy, one significant quantity is the orthometric height, the height above or below the geoid along the gravity plumbline. Conventionally, the orthometric height is determined by gravimetry and levelling techniques. However, the aforementioned techniques has its own demerits. Thus, the error is accumulated with the increase of the propagation measurement line, it is difficult to convert two separated points which is located in two continents or islands separated by sea. These techniques are tedious, time consuming and expensive. In order to resolve this challenge, many researchers resort to various techniques and approaches of obtaining orthometric heights for an area using various mathematical models. It is in this quest that, this study seek to estimate orthometric heights of a mine by utilizing plausible alternative techniques based on artificial neural networks (ANN), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), polynomial regression models and multiple linear regression (MLR). The working efficiency and performance of each model has been assessed based on statistical indicators of Mean (M), Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Bias Error (MBE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Standard Deviation (SD), Correlation coefficient (R), Correction of determination (R2), and Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR). The statistical findings reveal that all the models produce satisfactory results in estimating the orthometric heights in the mine. MARS and ANN models compare to the MLR and polynomial models achieved higher results in terms of accuracy with mean and standard deviation of -0.000001888 m, +2.24736 m, and +0.005835 m and 0.095063 m respectively. This study will create the opportunity for geospatial practitioners to recognize the significant of ANN, MARS, MLR, and Polynomial model in solving some of the problems in geoscientific community.