Coordinated Development Degree of County Socio-Economic System Prediction Based on GA-SVM

This article describes how economic development has had a significant impact on the environment. County eco-environment coordinated development has contributed to regional coordinated development in China. A support vector machine (SVM) model was constructed to classify and predict coordinated development degrees of the county eco-environment system. In order to improve the discrimination precision of SVM in classification, a Genetic Algorithm (GA) was used to optimize SVM parameters in the solution space. The method was compared with artificial neural network, decision tree, logistic regression and naive Bayesian classifier regarding coordinated development degree of county eco-environment system prediction for Guanzhong urban agglomeration. It found that the method has the best accuracy rate, hit rate, covering rate and lift coefficient. The simulation indicates that the county slowing-down of economic development would not have positive effect on the environment sustainability. GA-SVM provides an effective measurement for region eco-environment system classification and prediction.

The county level of urbanization quality analysis and classification play an important role in county economic growth and improve benefit of healthy development of urbanization in China. According to the county level of urbanization quality data which is large scale and imbalance, this paper presented a support vector machine model to classify the county level of urbanization quality. The method was compared with artificial neural network, decision tree, logistic regression and naive Bayesian classifier regarding the county level of urbanization quality classification for Guanzhong urban agglomeration. It is found that the method has the best accuracy rate, hit rate, covering rate and lift coefficient, and provides an effective measurement for county level of urbanization quality classification and prediction.

Innovation system efficiency analysis and prediction play an important role in regional innovation systems development and improve benefit of innovative capacity for country. According to the city innovation system data which is large scale and imbalance, this paper presented a support vector machine model to predict city innovation system efficiency. The method was compared with artificial neural network, decision tree, logistic regression and naive Bayesian classifier regarding city innovation system efficiency prediction for eight Chinese cities. It is found that the method has the best accuracy rate, hit rate, covering rate and lift coefficient, and provides an effective measurement for city innovation system efficiency prediction.

Objective: Using methylation characteristics of human genes to construct machine learning predictive models for screening cervical cancer and precancerous lesions. Methods: Human DNA methylation detection was performed on 224 cervical exfoliated cell specimens from the Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Tianjin Central Hospital of Gynecology Obstetrics, Xinmi Maternal and Child Health Hospital of Henan Province, West China Second Affiliated Hospital of Sichuan University, and Heping Hospital Affiliated to Changzhi Medical College collected during April 2014 and March 2015. The hypermethylated gene fragments related to cervical cancer were selected by high-density, high-association, and hypermethylated gene fragment screening and the LASSO regression algorithm. Taking cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2) or more severe lesions as the research outcome, machine learning predictive models based on the random forest (RF), naive Bayes (NB), and support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, respectively, were constructed. A total of 144 outpatient specimens were used as the training set and 80 cervical exfoliated cell specimens from women participating in the cervical cancer screening program were used as the test set to verify the predictive models. Using histological diagnosis results as the gold standard, the detection efficacy for CIN2 or more severe lesions of the three machine learning predictive models were compared with that of the human papilloma virus (HPV) detection and cytological diagnosis. Results: In the training set of 144 cases, there were 34 cases of HPV positivity, with a positive rate of 23.61%. Cytologically, there were 37 cases diagnosed as no intraepithelial lesion or malignancy (NILM), and 107 cases diagnosed as atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance (ASC-US) or above. Histologically, there were 28 cases without cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or benign cervical lesions, 31 cases of CIN1, 18 cases of CIN2, 31 cases of CIN3, and 36 cases of squamous cell carcinoma. Seven hypermethylated gene fragments were selected from 45 genes, and three machine learning prediction models based on the RF, NB, and SVM algorithm, respectively, were constructed. In the validation set of 80 cases, there were 28 cases of HPV positivity, with a positive rate of 35.00%. Cytologically, there were 65 cases diagnosed as NILM and 15 cases as ASC-US or above. Histologically, there were 39 cases without cervical intraepithelial neoplasia or benign cervical lesions, 10 cases of CIN1, 10 cases of CIN2, 11 cases of CIN3, and 10 cases of squamous cell carcinoma. In the validation set, the area under the curve (AUC) values of the RF model, NB model, SVM model, HPV detection, and cytological diagnosis of CIN2 or above were 0.90, 0.88, 0.82, 0.68, and 0.45, respectively. The DeLong test showed that there was no statistically significant difference in the AUC values between the RF, NB, and SVM models (all P＞0.05), and the AUC values of the RF and NB models were higher than that of HPV detection (both P＜0.01), and the AUC values of the RF, NB, and SVM models were higher than that of cytological diagnosis (all P＜0.01). Compared with the NB model, the sensitivity of the RF model was similar (80.65% vs. 77.42%), but the specificity of the NB model was much higher than that of the RF model (93.88% vs. 73.47%). Conclusion: Among the machine learning prediction models for cervical cancer and precancerous lesions constructed based on human DNA methylation, the NB model has good predictive performance for CIN2 and above lesions, and may be used for screening of cervical cancer and precancerous lesions.

Near infrared spectroscopy was used in discrimination of intact bovine teeth in terms of animal sex, diet, tooth type and place of origin. Discriminant Analysis (DA) models were developed and tested using a stratified random 70:30 data split to calibration and test sets. Of the discriminant techniques of Soft Independent Modelling of Class Analogy (SIMCA), Partial Least Squares – DA, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), SVM and PLS-DA models performed best in most instances, with pretreatment choice impacting technique success. For test set prediction of animal sex, an accuracy of 95% was achieved using a PLS-DA model, and similar performance achieved using a SVM model. SVM, ANN and SIMCA models predicted three categories of tooth type (deciduous, permanent unerupted and erupted) with similar accuracies (89, 79 and 82%, respectively), however, permanent unerupted teeth were conflated with permanent erupted teeth. Prediction accuracy for ANN, SVM and PLS-DA models were also similar for discrimination of teeth from animals on a grain versus grass diet (PLS-DA 82%). There was considerable variation between models in prediction of geographic origin. Of the seven locations, two were discriminated with true positive rate around 70% using SVM and ANN models. Potential applications of this technology are discussed.

Bond rating is regarded as an important event for measuring financial risk of companies and for determining the investment returns of investors. As a result, it has been a popular research topic for researchers to predict companies' credit ratings by applying statistical and machine learning techniques. The statistical techniques, including multiple regression, multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), logistic models (LOGIT), and probit analysis, have been traditionally used in bond rating. However, one major drawback is that it should be based on strict assumptions. Such strict assumptions include linearity, normality, independence among predictor variables and pre-existing functional forms relating the criterion variablesand the predictor variables. Those strict assumptions of traditional statistics have limited their application to the real world. Machine learning techniques also used in bond rating prediction models include decision trees (DT), neural networks (NN), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Especially, SVM is recognized as a new and promising classification and regression analysis method. SVM learns a separating hyperplane that can maximize the margin between two categories. SVM is simple enough to be analyzed mathematical, and leads to high performance in practical applications. SVM implements the structuralrisk minimization principle and searches to minimize an upper bound of the generalization error. In addition, the solution of SVM may be a global optimum and thus, overfitting is unlikely to occur with SVM. In addition, SVM does not require too many data sample for training since it builds prediction models by only using some representative sample near the boundaries called support vectors. A number of experimental researches have indicated that SVM has been successfully applied in a variety of pattern recognition fields. However, there are three major drawbacks that can be potential causes for degrading SVM's performance. First, SVM is originally proposed for solving binary-class classification problems. Methods for combining SVMs for multi-class classification such as One-Against-One, One-Against-All have been proposed, but they do not improve the performance in multi-class classification problem as much as SVM for binary-class classification. Second, approximation algorithms (e.g. decomposition methods, sequential minimal optimization algorithm) could be used for effective multi-class computation to reduce computation time, but it could deteriorate classification performance. Third, the difficulty in multi-class prediction problems is in data imbalance problem that can occur when the number of instances in one class greatly outnumbers the number of instances in the other class. Such data sets often cause a default classifier to be built due to skewed boundary and thus the reduction in the classification accuracy of such a classifier. SVM ensemble learning is one of machine learning methods to cope with the above drawbacks. Ensemble learning is a method for improving the performance of classification and prediction algorithms. AdaBoost is one of the widely used ensemble learning techniques. It constructs a composite classifier by sequentially training classifiers while increasing weight on the misclassified observations through iterations. The observations that are incorrectly predicted by previous classifiers are chosen more often than examples that are correctly predicted. Thus Boosting attempts to produce new classifiers that are better able to predict examples for which the current ensemble's performance is poor. In this way, it can reinforce the training of the misclassified observations of the minority class. This paper proposes a multiclass Geometric Mean-based Boosting (MGM-Boost) to resolve multiclass prediction problem. Since MGM-Boost introduces the notion of geometric mean into AdaBoost, it can perform learning process considering the geometric mean-based accuracy and errors of multiclass. This study applies MGM-Boost to the real-world bond rating case for Korean companies to examine the feasibility of MGM-Boost. 10-fold cross validations for threetimes with different random seeds are performed in order to ensure that the comparison among three different classifiers does not happen by chance. For each of 10-fold cross validation, the entire data set is first partitioned into tenequal-sized sets, and then each set is in turn used as the test set while the classifier trains on the other nine sets. That is, cross-validated folds have been tested independently of each algorithm. Through these steps, we have obtained the results for classifiers on each of the 30 experiments. In the comparison of arithmetic mean-based prediction accuracy between individual classifiers, MGM-Boost (52.95%) shows higher prediction accuracy than both AdaBoost (51.69%) and SVM (49.47%). MGM-Boost (28.12%) also shows the higher prediction accuracy than AdaBoost (24.65%) and SVM (15.42%)in terms of geometric mean-based prediction accuracy. T-test is used to examine whether the performance of each classifiers for 30 folds is significantly different. The results indicate that performance of MGM-Boost is significantly different from AdaBoost and SVM classifiers at 1% level. These results mean that MGM-Boost can provide robust and stable solutions to multi-classproblems such as bond rating.

Background and aimsThe birth weight of a newborn is a crucial factor that affects their overall health and future well-being. Low birth weight (LBW) is a widespread global issue, which the World Health Organization defines as weighing less than 2,500 g. LBW can have severe negative consequences on an individual’s health, including neonatal mortality and various health concerns throughout their life. To address this problem, this study has been conducted using BDHS 2017–2018 data to uncover important aspects of LBW using a variety of machine learning (ML) approaches and to determine the best feature selection technique and best predictive ML model.MethodsTo pick out the key features, the Boruta algorithm and wrapper method were used. Logistic Regression (LR) used as traditional method and several machine learning classifiers were then used, including, DT (Decision Tree), SVM (Support Vector Machine), NB (Naïve Bayes), RF (Random Forest), XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting), and AdaBoost (Adaptive Boosting), to determine the best model for predicting LBW. The model’s performance was evaluated based on the specificity, sensitivity, accuracy, F1 score and AUC value.ResultsResult shows, Boruta algorithm identifies eleven significant features including respondent’s age, highest education level, educational attainment, wealth index, age at first birth, weight, height, BMI, age at first sexual intercourse, birth order number, and whether the child is a twin. Incorporating Boruta algorithm’s significant features, the performance of traditional LR and ML methods including DT, SVM, NB, RF, XGBoost, and AB were evaluated where LR, had a specificity, sensitivity, accuracy and F1 score of 0.85, 0.5, 85.15% and 0.915. While the ML methods DT, SVM, NB, RF, XGBoost, and AB model’s respective accuracy values were 85.35%, 85.15%, 84.54%, 81.18%, and 84.41%. Based on the specificity, sensitivity, accuracy, F1 score and AUC, RF (specificity = 0.99, sensitivity = 0.58, accuracy = 85.86%, F1 score = 0.9243, AUC = 0.549) outperformed the other methods. Both the classical (LR) and machine learning (ML) models’ performance has improved dramatically when important characteristics are extracted using the wrapper method. The LR method identified five significant features with a specificity, sensitivity, accuracy and F1 score of 0.87, 0.33, 87.12% and 0.9309. The region, whether the infant is a twin, and cesarean delivery were the three key features discovered by the DT and RF models, which were implemented using the wrapper technique. All three models had the identical F1 score of 0.9318. However, “child is twin” was recognized as a significant feature by the SVM, NB, and AB models, with an F1 score of 0.9315. Ultimately, with an F1 score of 0.9315, the XGBoost model recognized “child is twin” and “age at first sex” as relevant features. Random Forest again beat the other approaches in this instance.ConclusionsThe study reveals Wrapper method as the optimal feature selection technique. The ML method outperforms traditional methods, with Random Forest (RF) being the most effective predictive model for Low-Birth-Weight prediction. The study suggests that policymakers in Bangladesh can mitigate low birth weight newborns by considering identified risk factors.

The paper explores the hybrid of SVM and system of Artificial Neural Network as the finest binary classification system for calculating the diabetic nature of people in comparison to Support Vector Machine (SVM). In this research, the sets of all the parameters describing the diabetic nature of a person are taken from the laboratories. This approach is chosen so that a better learning method can be used for various problems. The testing results were found to be in accordance with the accepted results that resemble with the direct diagnosis of a physician. The results of this research shows that this hybrid SVM and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is more precise than the SVM model. These results of the hybrid SVM and ANN model suggest that it is very effective for the classification of Diabetic and Non Diabetic nature of a person. This paper highlights the concept of Support Vector Machines and its integration with Artificial Neural Network, the two key characteristics with one being the generalization theory of the SVM model that best describes how to select a hypothesis and functions given by Kernel that introduces the idea of non-linearity without the inclusion of the actual algorithm.

Surface electromyogram (sEMG) signals are widely used to control the myoelectric prosthetic arm for amputees. In this study, the authors investigated the usefulness of discrete wavelet transform (DWT) features from multiple levels of approximation and detail coefficients obtained from sEMG signals. DWT is used for de-noising as well as feature extraction in this study and further tested using Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Classifier. The performance of SVM classifier is compared with ANN classifier. The classification accuracy of SVM classifiers was found better as compared to ANN in term of speed and robustness. In the first section of paper the authors presented the introduction related to the study. The experimental set-up for recording surface EMG signal is presented in section 2. In section 3 the experimental results are depicted and in section 4 the results are concluded.

The main purpose of abnormal power consumption detection for power users is to maintain the legitimate rights and interests of normal users, improve the economic benefits of power grid companies, and thereby reduce non-technical losses (NTL). In order to realize the rational use of user-side data and improve the efficiency of power audit, this article proposes an improved SVM power theft detection model based on decision tree. First of all, to address the problem of less electricity stealing data, this article combines convolutional neural networks (CNN) and generative adversarial networks (GAN) for data generation, and uses the powerful feature extraction function of CNN to extract the features of different stealing methods to guide GAN. Then the improved support vector machine (SVM) model based on decision tree (DT) detects user data. When classifying, it combines SVM and KNN for classification, which solves the point of SVM near the decision plane. For the problem of low classification accuracy, simulation experiments finally verified the effectiveness of the proposed model.

Traffic Sign Recognition (TSR) system is a significant component of Intelligent Transport System (ITS) as traffic signs assist the drivers to drive more safely and efficiently. This paper represents a new approach for TSR system where detection of traffic sign is carried out using fuzzy rules based color segmentation method and recognition is accomplished using Speeded Up Robust Features(SURF) descriptor, trained by artificial neural network (ANN) classifier. In the detection step, the region of interest (sign area) is segmented using a set of fuzzy rules depending on the hue and saturation values of each pixel in the HSV color space, post processed to filter unwanted region. Finally the recognition of the traffic sign is implemented using ANN classifier upon the training of SURF features descriptor. The proposed system simulated on offline road scene images captured under different illumination conditions. The detection algorithm shows a high robustness and the recognition rate is quite satisfactory. The performance of the ANN model is illustrated in terms of cross entropy, confusion matrix and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Also, performances of some classifier such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Trees, Ensembles Learners (Adaboost) and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) classifier are assessed with ANN approach. The simulation results illustrate that recognition using ANN model is higher than classifiers stated above.

Credit is becoming one of the most important incomes of banking. Past studies indicate that the credit risk scoring model has been better for Logistic Regression and Neural Network. The purpose of this paper is to conduct a comparative study on the accuracy of classification models and reduce the credit risk. In this paper, we use data mining of enterprise software to construct four classification models, namely, decision tree, logistic regression, neural network and support vector machine, for credit scoring in banking. We conduct a systematic comparison and analysis on the accuracy of 17 classification models for credit scoring in banking. The contribution of this paper is that we use different classification methods to construct classification models and compare classification models accuracy, and the evidence demonstrates that the support vector machine models have higher accuracy rates and therefore outperform past classification methods in the context of credit scoring in banking.

Aggregate stability is a useful soil physical dynamic index of soil resistivity to surface wind and water erosion in all ecosystems, especially, in arid and semi-arid regions. Two machine learning techniques including support vector machines (SVMs) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) were used to develop predictive models for the estimation of geometric mean diameter (GMD) of soil aggregates. An empirical multiple linear regression (MLR) model was also constructed as the benchmark to compare their performances. Furthermore, the influence of feature space dimension reduction using parallel genetic algorithm (PGA) on the prediction accuracy of all investigated techniques was evaluated. The ANN model achieved greater accuracy in GMD prediction as compared to the MLR and SVM models. The obtained ERROR% value in GMD prediction using the ANN model was 6.9%, while it was 15.7 and 10.6% for the MLR and SVM models, respectively. Feature selection using PGA improved the prediction accuracy of all investigated techniques. The coefficient of determination (R2) values between the measured and the predicted GMD values using PGA-based MLR, SVM, and ANN models increased by 20.0, 12.2, and 8.8% in comparison with the proposed MLR, SVM, and ANN models. In conclusion, it appears that the PGA-based ANN model could be considered as an alternative to conventional regression models for the GMD prediction.

Flooding causes several threats with outcomes which include peril to human and animal life, damage to property, and adversity to agricultural fields. Therefore, flood prediction is of prime importance for reducing loss of life and devastation to property. To model complex nature of hydrologic processes artificial neural network (ANN) tool is effectively being utilized for modelling different nonlinear relationships, and has proved to be an appropriate method for flood prediction. Present study investigated relative accuracy of radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) and support vector machine (SVM) models combined with Firefly Algorithm (FA) in predicting river flood discharge and contrasted with that of regular ANN, RBFNN and SVM models. Monthly river flow data of Silchar and Dholai stations located in Cachar district of Assam, India are utilized for the present study. For assessing model performance, coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE) were measured. Evaluation of outcomes shows that both RBF-FA (radial basis function - firefly algorithm) and SVM-FA (support vector machine - firefly algorithm) hybrid models give more precise forecasting results than RBFNN, FFBPNN (feed forward back propagation neural network) and SVM models. Yet, it can be observed that SVM-FA model give better forecasting outputs with R2 value 0.9818 than RBF-FA model. Results also reveal that simple SVM model performs marginally better than simple ANN model.

This study presents a comparative analysis of fault detection and classification techniques for identifying single and multiple open-switch faults in insulated-gate bipolar transistors (IGBTs) within a two-level, three-phase voltage source inverter (VSI) used in solar water pumping systems. Five machine learning algorithms are evaluated: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Decision Tree (DT), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Naive Bayes (NB), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). The evaluation employs current-based features (module, surface, and angle) extracted via the Clarke transformation. Standard performance metrics, including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score, are employed for benchmarking. The ANN achieved perfect classification with 100 % accuracy, while the DT provided a competitive result of 95.56 %. In comparison, SVM and NB demonstrated lower performance under the same conditions. These results highlight the effectiveness of ANN for robust and reliable inverter fault diagnosis, while also showing DT as a strong, lightweight alternative. The contributions of this work include establishing a unified framework for comparing machine learning classifiers under identical operating conditions, validating Clarke transformation features for fault diagnosis in noisy signals, and providing quantified benchmarks to support engineers in selecting suitable diagnostic models. By linking algorithmic performance to practical benefits such as improved reliability and efficiency of inverter-based renewable energy systems, this study offers actionable insights for both researchers and practitioners.