Genetic Algorithms with Improved Simulated Binary Crossover and Support Vector Regression for Grid Resources Prediction

Support vector regression with genetic algorithms in forecasting tourism demand

Forecasting systems reliability based on support vector regression with genetic algorithms

A method to determine the norm vacuum of duplex pressure condenser based on the support vector regression (SVR) model was proposed, The norm vacuum of condenser is usually obtained from the characteristic curve given by the manufactory. But the method is only fit for the condition that both of the flow of cooling water and exhaust steam of steam turbine are maintained at designed valves. In this paper, the factors which affected the norm vacuum of condenser were analyzed, and then a new method was studied with SVR model's parameters optimized by genetic algorithm (GA). Data from duplex pressure condenser of a 600MW unit were validated by the proposed method. The results show that the SVR model has high prediction accuracy and very strong stability. The studying results fall foundations for diagnosing the faults of low vacuum for condenser.

Short-term metro passenger flow prediction plays a great role in traffic planning and management, and it is an important prerequisite for achieving intelligent transportation. So, a novel hybrid Support Vector Regression (SVR) model based on Twice Clustering (TC) is proposed for short-term metro passenger flow prediction. The training sets and test sets are generated by TC with respect to values of passenger flow in different time periods to improve the prediction accuracy. Furthermore, each obtained cluster is decomposed by using the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) algorithm and the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) algorithm, respectively. The volatility of each component obtained after decomposition is further reduced. Then, the SVR model optimized by the Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) algorithm is used to predict the decomposed components. Moreover, forecast based on one-month data from Xi’an Metro Line 2 Library Station (China). By comparing the prediction results of the TC condition, the Once Clustering (OC) condition and the non-clustering condition, it shows that the TC approach can adequately model the volatility and effectively improve the prediction accuracy. At the same time, experimental results show that the novel hybrid TC–CEEMDAN–GWO–SVR model has superior performance than Genetic Algorithm (GA) optimized SVR (SVR–GA) model and hybrid Back Propagation Neural Network (BPNN) model.

Prediction of TVB-N content in eggs based on electronic nose

In order to solve the shortcoming of support vector regression algorithm, sports economic activities income forecasting based on genetic support vector regression algorithm is presented in this paper. As the kernel parameter, insensitive loss parameter and penalty parameter have a great influence on the forecasting performance of support vector regression algorithm, genetic algorithm is used to perform the parameters optimization of support vector regression algorithm simultaneously in this study. The experimental results show that the sports economic activities income forecasting results of genetic support vector regression model trained by the four-dimension training samples are more excellent than those of genetic support vector regression model trained by the three-dimension training samples, and the sports economic activities income forecasting ability of genetic support vector regression model trained by the four- dimension training samples is better than that of support vector regression model trained by the four-dimension training samples. Thus, genetic support vector regression algorithm has a good application prospect in sports economic activities income forecasting.

Traditional time series forecasting models are difficult to capture the nonlinear patterns. Support vector regression (SVR) is a powerful tool for modeling the inputs and output(s) of complex and nonlinear systems. However, parameters determination for a SVR model is competent to the forecasting accuracy. Several evolutionary algorithms, such as genetic algorithms and simulated annealing algorithms have been used to the parameters selection, however, these algorithms often suffer the problem of being trapped in local optimum. In this paper, a novel building cooling load forecasting approach combining support vector regression (SVR) and Ant colony algorithm (ACO) is proposed. ant colony (ACO) optimization was developed to optimize three parameters of SVR, including penalty parameter C, insensitive loss function ε and kernel function σ. SVR constructs hyperplane in high dimension space and fits the data in non-linear form. Normalized Mean square error (NMSE) of fitting result is used as target of ant colony optimization. ACO finds the best parameters which correspond to the NMSE. The results showed that the proposed approach, by comparing with back-propagation neural network model, was an efficient way to model building cooling load with good predictive accuracy. ACO and SVR provide a useful tool for maximizing the combustion efficiency of cooling load. Also, the method can be easily extended to other applications.

The purpose of triage is to prevent the delay of treatment for patients in real emergencies due to excessive numbers of patients in the hospital. This study uses the data of patients of consistent triage to develop the triage prediction model. By integrating Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Support Vector Machine (SVM), the anomaly detection (overestimate and underestimate) prediction accuracy rate can be 100%, which is better than the accuracy rate of SVM (about 89.2%) or Back- propagation Neural Networks (BPNN) (96.71%); afterwards, this study uses Support Vector Regression (SVR) to adopt Genetic Algorithm (GA) to determine three SVR parameters to predict triage. After using the scroll data predictive values, we calculate the Absolute Percentage Error (APE) of each scroll data. The resulting SVR's Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 3.78%, and BPNN's MAPE is 5.99%; therefore, the proposed triage prediction model of this study can effectively predict anomaly detection and triage.

A dynamic particle filter-support vector regression method for reliability prediction

The absorption of capillary water is one of the most crucial factors in the flow of groundwater in rocks (CWA). Although meticulous experimental studies are needed to determine a rock’s CWA, predictive techniques might cut down on the expense and effort. There are various data mining methods for this purpose, but the considered algorithms in this study were not proposed so far for predicting the CWA. Different rock samples were taken for this purpose from various locations, yielding diverse rocks. For the prediction procedures, four support vector regression (SVR) models were created: a traditional SVR, two ensembled models, and a hybrid SVR model using the whale optimization technique (WOA - SVR). Results show that all models have acceptable performance in predicting the CWA with R2 larger than 0.797 and 0.806 for the training and testing data, respectively, representing the acceptable correlation between observed and predicted values. Regarding developed models, the conventional SVR model has the worst performance of all models. All statistical evaluation criteria were improved by assembling models, which present the ability of additive regression and bagging predictions in improving prediction processes. The hybrid WOA - SVR model has the best performance considering all indices. This hybrid model could also gain the lowest values of error indices between all SVR models, which leads to outperforming the WOA - SVR model compared to other methods.

In order to solve the shortcoming of BP neural network, a novel prediction method is presented to predict network flow. The combination of grey prediction model and support vector regression is applied to predict network flow in the paper. We employ collected network flow experimental data to test the performance of the combination model of grey prediction model and support vector regression. The mean relative error of grey prediction model and support vector regression is 1.94, while the mean relative error of BP neural network is 3.43. It can be seen that the combination model of grey prediction model and support vector regression is superior to BP neural network.

Reservoirs and dams are vital human-built infrastructures that play essential roles in flood control, hydroelectric power generation, water supply, navigation, and other functions. The realization of those functions requires efficient reservoir operation, and the effective controls on the outflow from a reservoir or dam. Over the last decade, artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have become increasingly popular in the field of streamflow forecasts, reservoir operation planning and scheduling approaches. In this study, three AI models, namely, the backpropagation (BP) neural network, support vector regression (SVR) technique, and long short-term memory (LSTM) model, are employed to simulate reservoir operation at monthly, daily, and hourly time scales, using approximately 30 years of historical reservoir operation records. This study aims to summarize the influence of the parameter settings on model performance and to explore the applicability of the LSTM model to reservoir operation simulation. The results show the following: (1) for the BP neural network and LSTM model, the effects of the number of maximum iterations on model performance should be prioritized; for the SVR model, the simulation performance is directly related to the selection of the kernel function, and sigmoid and RBF kernel functions should be prioritized; (2) the BP neural network and SVR are suitable for the model to learn the operation rules of a reservoir from a small amount of data; and (3) the LSTM model is able to effectively reduce the time consumption and memory storage required by other AI models, and demonstrate good capability in simulating low-flow conditions and the outflow curve for the peak operation period.

Determination of diesel quality parameters using support vector regression and near infrared spectroscopy for an in-line blending optimizer system

The aim of this work was to develop an accurate model to swiftly forecast the ultimate conditions and the stress–strain curves of ultra-high-performance concrete (UHPC) confined by fibre-reinforced polymer (FRP). Four neural network predictive models based on machine learning (back-propagation neural network (BPNN), support vector regression (SVR), extreme learning machine (ELM) and generalised regression neural network (GRNN)) were constructed to forecast the ultimate conditions. A BPNN-based model to predict stress–strain curves was developed. A database of 193 compression test results of FRP-confined UHPC members was collected from the open literature and a thorough evaluation of data quality was conducted. The results showed that the SVR, BPNN, GRNN and ELM prediction models exhibited excellent accuracy when compared with a design-oriented model. The GRNN exhibited the highest predictive precision, followed by SVR. The developed prediction models establish a foundation for the design and quick prediction of FRP-confined UHPC.

A novel machine learning-based model predictive control framework for improving the energy efficiency of air-conditioning systems