We prove a stronger version of the keystone result of Dasgupta and Kakde (Ann Math 197:289–388, 2023) on the $$\mathbb Z[G(H/F)]^-$$ Z [ G ( H / F ) ] - -Fitting ideals of certain Selmer modules $$Sel_S^T(H)^-$$ S e l S T ( H ) - associated with an abelian, CM extension H / F of a totally real number field F , and use this to compute the $$\mathbb Z_p[[G(H_\infty /F)]]^-$$ Z p [ [ G ( H ∞ / F ) ] ] - -Fitting ideal of the Iwasawa module analogues $$Sel_S^T(H_\infty )_p^-$$ S e l S T ( H ∞ ) p - of these Selmer modules, where $$H_\infty $$ H ∞ is the cyclotomic $${\mathbb {Z}}_p$$ Z p -extension of H , for an odd prime p . Our main Iwasawa theoretic result states that the $$\mathbb Z_p[[G(H_\infty /F)]]^-$$ Z p [ [ G ( H ∞ / F ) ] ] - -module $$Sel_S^T(H_\infty )_p^-$$ S e l S T ( H ∞ ) p - is of projective dimension 1 (unlike the $${\mathbb {Z}}[G(H/F)]^-$$ Z [ G ( H / F ) ] - -module $$Sel_S^T(H)^-$$ S e l S T ( H ) - which could have infinite projective dimension), is quadratically presented, and that its Fitting ideal is principal, generated by an equivariant p -adic L -function $$\Theta _S^T(H_\infty /F)$$ Θ S T ( H ∞ / F ) . Further, we establish a perfect duality pairing between $$Sel_S^T(H_\infty )_p^-$$ S e l S T ( H ∞ ) p - and a certain $$\mathbb Z_p[[G(H_\infty /F)]]^-$$ Z p [ [ G ( H ∞ / F ) ] ] - -module $${\mathcal {M}}_S^T(H_\infty )^-$$ M S T ( H ∞ ) - , essentially introduced by Greither and the second author in (J Algebraic Geom 24:629–692, 2015). As a consequence, we recover the Equivariant Main Conjecture for the Tate module $$T_p(\mathcal M_S^T(H_\infty ))^-$$ T p ( M S T ( H ∞ ) ) - , proved in loc.cit. under the hypothesis that the classical Iwasawa $$\mu $$ μ -invariant associated with H and p vanishes. As a further consequence, we give an unconditional proof of the refined Coates–Sinnott Conjecture, proved in loc.cit. under the same $$\mu =0$$ μ = 0 hypothesis, and also proved unconditionally but with different methods by Johnston and Nickel in (An unconditional proof of the abelian equivariant Iwasawa main conjecture and applications, arxiv:2010.03186), regarding the $$\mathbb Z[G(H/F)]$$ Z [ G ( H / F ) ] -Fitting ideals of the higher Quillen K -groups $$K_{2n-2}({\mathcal {O}}_{H,S})$$ K 2 n - 2 ( O H , S ) , for all $$n\ge 2$$ n ≥ 2 . Finally, we combine the techniques developed in the process with the method of “Taylor–Wiles primes” (introduced by Wiles (Ann Math (2) 131: 555–565, 1990) and refined by Greither in (Math Z 233: 515–534, 2000)) to strengthen further the keystone result in Dasgupta and Kakde (Ann Math 197:289–388, 2023) and prove, as a consequence, a conjecture of Burns–Kurihara–Sano on Fitting ideals of Selmer groups of CM number fields.
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