Optimizing space heating efficiency in sustainable building design a multi criteria decision making approach with model predictive control.

In this paper, a model predictive control (MPC) framework for building energy system setpoint optimization is developed and tested. The performance of the MPC framework is presented in comparison to a baseline case, where a fixed setpoint schedule is used. To simulate the MPC procedure, an EnergyPlus building model is used to represent the actual building that the optimal setpoints are applied to, and a Gaussian process (GP) regression meta-model is used in the MPC procedure that generates the optimal setpoints. The performance outputs that are used for evaluation are total heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) energy usage and the Fanger predicted mean vote (PMV) thermal comfort measure. The inputs for the GP regression meta-models are selected to be representative of data points that could be obtained by modern supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems to support data-driven building models. The supervisory MPC framework is capable of reducing the total energy usage with minor adjustments in thermal comfort.

The building sector plays a remarkable role in decreasing of the overall global CO2 emissions since as much as 30% from the total global CO2 emission are generated in buildings. Demand response provides one possibility to tackle the problem. It can be used to decrease CO2 emissions in entire energy system in addition to providing energy cost savings for building owners and energy companies. In this study, the demand response potential was estimated in an educational office building that was heated by district heating. The potential was defined in respect of energy cost savings, energy flexibility and thermal comfort. Model predictive control was developed, which utilized the dynamic hourly district heating prices. The MPC algorithm written in the Matlab software, predicted the future heating demand while the optimization algorithm NSGA-II minimized the heating energy cost, maximized the energy flexibility and maintained acceptable thermal comfort by changing the space heating temperature setpoints. The operation of the MPC algorithm was tested in the IDA ICE 4.8 simulation software. As a result, the annual district heating energy costs could be reduced by 4.2% compared to the reference case with constant space heating temperature setpoint of 21 °C. The maximum flexibility factor attained was 14%. Acceptable level of thermal comfort was maintained throughout the simulation time.

Renewable energy in cities: by the Center for Renewable Resources. Van Nostrand Reinhold Co., New York, 1984

1.0. INTRODUCTION In the United States, K–12 school buildings spend more than $8 billion each year on energy—more than they spend on computers and textbooks combined [1]. Most occupied older buildings demonstrate poor operational performance—for instance, more than 30 percent of schools were built before 1960, and 53 percent of public schools need to spend money on repairs, renovations, and modernization to ensure that the schools' onsite buildings are in good overall condition. And among public schools with permanent buildings, the environmental factors in the permanent buildings have been rated as unsatisfactory or very unsatisfactory in 5 to 17 percent of them [2]. Indoor environment quality (IEQ) is one of the core issues addressed in the majority of sustainable building certification and design guidelines. Children spend a significant amount of time indoors in a school environment. And poor IEA can lead to sickness and absenteeism from school and eventually cause a decrease in student performance [3]. Different building types and their IEQ characteristics can be partly attributed to building age and construction materials. [4] Improving the energy performance of school buildings could result in the direct benefit of reduced utility costs and improving the indoor quality could improve the students' learning environment. Research also suggests that aging school facilities and inefficient equipment have a detrimental effect on academic performance that can be reversed when schools are upgraded. [5] Several studies have linked better lighting, thermal comfort, and air quality to higher test scores. [6, 7, 8] Another benefit of improving the energy efficiency of education buildings is the potential increase in market value through recognition of green building practice and labeling, such as that of a LEED or net zero energy building. In addition, because of their educational function, high-performance or energy-efficient buildings are particularly valuable for institution clients and local government. More and more high-performance buildings, net zero energy buildings, and positive energy buildings serve as living laboratories for educational purposes. Currently, educational/institutional buildings represent the largest portion of NZE (net zero energy) projects. Educational buildings comprise 36 percent of net zero buildings according to a 2014 National New Building Institute report. Of the 58 net zero energy educational buildings, 32 are used for kindergarten through grade 12 (K–12), 21 for higher education, and 5 for general education. [9] Finally, because educational buildings account for the third largest amount of building floor space in the United States, super energy-efficient educational buildings could provide other societal and economic benefits beyond the direct energy cost savings for three reasons: 1) educational buildings offer high visibility that can influence community members and the next generation of citizens, 2) success stories of the use of public funds that returns lower operating costs and healthier student learning environments provide documentation that can be used by others, and 3) this sector offers national and regional forums and associations to facilitate the transfer of best design and operational practices.

Buildings account for about 41% of primary energy consumption and 75% of the electricity. Space heating, space cooling, and ventilation are the dominant end uses, accounting for 41% of all energy consumed in the buildings sector. Growing interest in sustainability has resulted in research efforts to reduce energy consumption while providing adequate comfort to users. In this work, we present a Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for optimal HVAC control that minimizes energy consumption while staying within the comfort bounds of the occupants. The novelty of our approach lies in the use of prediction occupancy models derived from data traces and incorporating those models within the MPC framework. We use a Blended Markov Chain (BMC) occupancy prediction model in order to predict thermal load and occupancy of each zone in the building. We test our approach in simulation and compare it with occupancy schedules and control rules currently use in our university buildings. Our preliminary results show that 15.5% savings in cooling in the summer, and 9.4% savings in heating in the winter are achievable when conditioning the building using our MPC/BMC control framework.

This paper presents a case study where a model predictive control (MPC) logic is developed for energy flexible operation of a space heating system in an educational building. A Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) surrogate model is trained on the output of an EnergyPlus building simulation model. This LSTM model is used within an MPC framework where a genetic algorithm is used to optimize setpoint sequences. The EnergyPlus model is used to validate the performance of the control logic. The MPC approach leads to a substantial reduction in energy consumption (7%) and energy costs (13%) with improved comfort performance. Additional energy costs savings are possible (7–16%) if a sacrifice in indoor thermal comfort is accepted. The presented method is useful for developing MPC systems in the design stages where measured data is typically not available. Additionally, this study illustrates that LSTM models are promising for MPC for buildings.

Building energy management is crucial in reducing energy consumption and maintaining occupant comfort, especially in heating systems. However, achieving optimal space heating efficiency while maintaining consistent comfort presents significant challenges. Traditional methods often fail to balance energy consumption with thermal comfort, especially across multiple zones in buildings with varying operational demands. This study investigates the role of deep learning models in optimizing space heating while maintaining thermal comfort across multiple building zones. It aims to enhance heating efficiency by developing predictive models for building temperature and heating consumption, evaluating the effectiveness of different deep learning architectures, and analyzing the impact of model-driven heating optimization on energy savings and occupant comfort. To address this challenge, this study employs Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Transformer models to forecast area temperatures and predict space heating consumption. The proposed methodology leverages historical building temperature data, weather station measurements such as atmospheric pressure, wind speed, wind direction, relative humidity, and solar radiation, along with other weather parameters, to develop accurate and reliable predictions. A two-stage deep learning process is utilized: first, temperature predictions are generated for different building zones, and second, these predictions are used to estimate global heating consumption. This study also employs grid search and cross-validation to optimize the model configurations and custom loss functions to ensure energy efficiency and occupant comfort. Results demonstrate that the Long Short-Term Memory and Transformer models outperform the Gated Recurrent Unit regarding heating reduction, with a 20.95% and 20.69% decrease, respectively, compared to actual consumption. This study contributes significantly to energy management by providing a deep learning-driven framework that enhances energy efficiency while maintaining thermal comfort across different building areas, thereby supporting sustainable and intelligent building operations.

This paper presents an optimization method for hybrid energy systems based on Model Predictive Control (MPC), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KANs). The proposed method is applied to a high-altitude wind energy work umbrella control system, where it aims to enhance the stability and efficiency of energy utilization. The work umbrella system integrates wind and solar energy sources, with energy stored in a battery and used to control the umbrella’s operations. The MPC framework is employed to optimize control actions by solving a finite-horizon optimization problem, ensuring the battery State of Charge (SOC) remains within an optimal range. The LSTM network provides accurate predictions of environmental conditions, including wind speed and solar irradiance, which are essential for MPC’s decision-making process. To address complex nonlinearities in the system, the KAN is utilized to model and approximate these dynamics, refining the LSTM predictions. The integration of these advanced control strategies enables the system to handle varying operational conditions and maintain optimal performance. The case study demonstrates the effectiveness of the MPC-LSTM-KAN approach, revealing improvements in the SOC stability, energy efficiency, and operational endurance of the high-altitude wind energy work umbrella system. The results indicate that this hybrid optimization method offers a robust solution for managing hybrid energy systems in dynamic environments.

This work investigates the event‐driven model predictive control problem for perturbed nonlinear systems with input and state constraints. Firstly, a new event‐driven triggering condition, considering the gradient and accumulation of the error between the optimal and actual states at adjacent moments with a state‐dependent relative threshold is designed with a guaranteed positive inter‐event time to avoid Zeno behaviour. Secondly, an error gradient and accumulation type event‐driven model predictive control framework is designed based on the new triggering condition and the dual‐mode strategy, for effectively reducing the calculation and communication burden of the model predictive control controller while ensuring desired control performance. Furthermore, the feasibility and the input‐to‐state practical stability (ISpS) of gradient and accumulation‐type event‐driven model predictive control are rigorously guaranteed theoretically. At last, the simulation results are provided to validate the this algorithm.

The active SLAM problem considered in this paper aims to plan a robot trajectory for simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) as well as for an area coverage task with robot pose uncertainty. Based on a model predictive control (MPC) framework, these two problems are solved respectively by different methods. For the uncertainty minimization MPC problem, based on the graphical structure of the 2D feature-based SLAM, a non-convex constrained least-squares problem is presented to approximate the original problem. Then, using variable substitutions, it is further transformed into a convex problem, and then solved by a convex optimization method. For the coverage task considering robot pose uncertainty, it is formulated and solved by the MPC framework and the sequential quadratic programming (SQP) method. In the whole process, considering the computation complexity, we use linear SLAM, which is a submap joining approach, to reduce the time for planning and estimation. Finally, various simulations are presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

The efficiency of a SAGD operation depends on developing a uniform steam chamber and maintaining an optimal subcool along the length of the well pair. Heterogeneity in reservoir properties may lead to suboptimal subcool levels. Recently, Model Predictive Control (MPC) based on the real-time production, temperature, and pressure data along with other well and surface constraint information has been proposed for a real-time feedback control of SAGD well pairs. Reservoir dynamics in MPC is represented using either linear step response model or one-dimensional ordinary differential equation. However, such simplified models are insufficient in MPC since SAGD is more complex and highly nonlinear process. Therefore, MPC framework that represents nonlinear behaviour of SAGD over an extended control period is required to achieve optimized subcool and steam conformance. In this research, two novel workflows are proposed to handle nonlinear reservoir dynamics in MPC. First approach known as Adaptive MPC includes recursive estimations at each control interval based on system identification theory. This allows evolution of the coefficients of a fixed model structure such that the updated system identification model in MPC controller reflects current reservoir dynamics adequately. Another approach, Gain-Scheduled MPC, decomposes the subcool control problem in a parallel manner and uses a bank of multiple controllers rather than only one controller. This ensures effective control of the nonlinear reservoir system even in adverse control situations by employing aggressive variations in input parameters. Suggested workflows are implemented using history-matched numerical model of a reservoir located in northern Alberta. Steam injection rates and liquid production rate are considered as input variables in MPC, constrained to available surface facilities. Well-pair is divided into multiple sections and subcool of each section is considered as an output variable. Optimum set-point for subcool is considered as 20°C. Results are compared with actual field data (in which no control algorithm is used) and analyzed based on two criteria: 1) Do all subcools track optimum set-point while maintaining stability in input variables and 2) Does net present value (NPV) of oil improve in case of Adaptive and Gain-Scheduled MPC? In general, we conclude that both Adaptive and Gain-Scheduled MPC provide superior tracking of subcool set-point and hence better steam conformance due to adequate representation of reservoir dynamics by recursive estimation of coefficients and multiple controllers. In addition, results indicate stability in input parameters and improvement in economic performance. NPV is improved by 23.69% and 10.36% in case of Adaptive and Gain-Scheduled MPC, respectively. Under current economic scenario, proposed workflows can improve the NPV of a SAGD reservoir by optimizing the well operational parameters while considering constraints of surface facilities and minimizing environmental footprints.

This article concerns nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) with guaranteed feasibility of inequality path constraints (PCs). For MPC with PCs, the existing methods, such as direct multiple shooting, cannot guarantee feasibility of PCs because the PCs are enforced at finitely many time points only. Therefore, this article presents a novel MPC framework that is capable of not only achieving stability control but also guaranteeing feasibility of PCs during the rolling optimization stages of MPC. Under the above MPC framework, an algorithm is first proposed by applying the semi-infinite programming technique to the rolling optimization of MPC. However, it takes heavy computational time to achieve guaranteed feasibility of PCs. Therefore, to guarantee feasibility of PCs meanwhile effectively reducing the computation burden of the closed-loop system, an event-triggered sampling mechanism is constructed in the above path-constrained MPC algorithm. Moreover, sufficient conditions are given for asymptotic convergence of the closed-loop systems. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed results is illustrated via a cart-damper-spring system.

Wind power intermittency represents one of the major challenges facing the future growth of grid-connected wind energy projects. The integration of wind turbines and energy storage systems (ESS) provides a viable approach to mitigate the unfavorable impact on grid stability and power quality. In this study, an economic model predictive control (MPC) framework is presented for an integrated wind turbine and flywheel energy storage system (FESS). The control objective is to smooth wind power output and mitigate tower fatigue load. The optimal control problem within the model predictive control framework has been formulated as a convex optimal control problem with linear dynamics and convex constraints that can be solved globally. The performance of the proposed control algorithm is compared to that of a baseline wind turbine controller. The effect of the proposed control actions on the fatigue loads acting on the tower and blades is investigated. The simulation results, with various wind scenarios, showed the ability of the proposed control algorithm to achieve the aforementioned objectives in terms of smoothing output power and mitigating tower fatigue load with negligible effect on the wind energy harvested.

Static and dynamic glazing integration for enhanced building efficiency and indoor comfort with thermochromic and electrochromic windows

Net-zero energy building (NZEB) is considered a solution to the increasing energy problems. A proper system design is crucial for a NZEB to achieve the desired performance during its lifecycle. Most conventional design methods utilize TMY (typical meteorological year) data or multi-year historical data for NZEB system sizing. Due to the climate change, future weather data may differ considerably from these utilized data. Consequently, these designs may not guarantee NZEBs to achieve the expected performance during their lifecycle. Therefore, this chapter proposes a differential evolution-based system design for NZEBs under climate change. Using the predicted future weather data, the proposed system design can optimize building system sizes for minimizing its lifecycle cost with user-defined performance constraints satisfied. Three performance constraints were considered and they were thermal comfort, energy balance, and grid interaction. Using the real future weather data, the proposed design has been validated by comparing with two conventional designs (i.e., TMY data-based design and multi-year historical data-based design). The results indicated that the proposed design can achieve better performance in terms of lifecycle cost and constraints satisfaction. With improved performance, the proposed design can be used in practice for NZEB system sizing especially as climate change is considered.