Prediction Method for Transformer State Based on GRU Network

This paper proposes the application of artificial intelligence to forecast the generation capacity of wind power plants by processing data through noise reduction and filtering. It subsequently employs Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural networks for training, testing, and evaluation. Processing the initial data will help minimize noise and reduce the data space. The study focuses on preprocessing methods and selecting the appropriate neural network between LSTM and GRU. The initial data processing will assess the similarity through the Spearman rank correlation coefficient. The data used in the paper is taken from local wind turbines. The processed data will be input into the neural network for evaluation based on Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Percent Error (PE), and training time. The entire network simulation and evaluation process is performed using MATLAB software. The simulation results show the feasibility and suitability of the GRU network model combined with noise filtering methods, bringing high accuracy and less training time compared to the LSTM network. Specifically, the analysis contrasting the GRU network with the optimized dataset and the LSTM with the unprocessed dataset is more effective than a difference in RMSE of 15.592 and MAPE of 611.047%. Moreover, the time difference between the GRU and LSTM networks with the same dataset has a much earlier time difference from 6 to 28 seconds.

A new approach for quantitative precipitation estimation from radar reflectivity using a gated recurrent unit network

Recently different Deep Learning (DL) models have been emerging to predict the disease amelioration. Generally deep learning is the state of art for learning the multiple representation of neuron. Discriminant DL model includes different architecture and initial architecture is Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) which learn the data labeled in the form of sequence and it has long term dependency and vanishing gradient problem. Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) is an improved version of RNN which deal with problems in RNN. Deep care LSTM is one of the model in LSTM developed by [Trang Pham et.al] for predicting diabetes disease and compared the results with markovian and support vector machine model. In deep LSTM model some problems are reported like short term trajectories, less accuracy. To overcome the problem Deep Care GRU has been proposed to identify the diabetes disease amelioration.

The accuracy of wind power forecasting has a very important influence on the safe and stable operation of power system. However, wind power prediction is very difficult, especially under the environment of massive data. This paper presents a novel multi-step ahead wind power prediction model based on recurrent neural network (RNN) with long short-term memory (LSTM) unit or gated recurrent unit (GRU) to improve the accuracy. Firstly, an overall forecasting framework for wind power with diverse forms of optional hybrid models is proposed. Moreover, an innovative LSTM/GRU-based forecasting model is developed with a wind speed correction process using numerical weather prediction (NWP) data. Through the application of GRU network, the correction process can provide corrected wind speed at the predicted moment as an input of the forecasting model. Finally, the experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed RNN approaches as compared to the ARIMA method and SVM method while the main distinctions between the LSTM and GRU network are also illustrated.

Distribution feeder long-term load forecast (LTLF) is a critical task many electric utility companies perform on an annual basis. The goal of this task is to forecast the annual load of distribution feeders. The previous top-down and bottom-up LTLF methods are unable to incorporate different levels of information. This paper proposes a hybrid modeling method using sequence prediction for this classic and important task. The proposed method can seamlessly integrate top-down, bottom-up and sequential information hidden in multi-year data. Two advanced sequence prediction models Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks are investigated in this paper. They successfully solve the vanishing and exploding gradient problems a standard recurrent neural network has. This paper firstly explains the theories of LSTM and GRU networks and then discusses the steps of feature selection, feature engineering and model implementation in detail. In the end, a real-world application example for a large urban grid in West Canada is provided. LSTM and GRU networks under different sequential configurations and traditional models including bottom-up, ARIMA and feed-forward neural network are all implemented and compared in detail. The proposed method demonstrates superior performance and great practicality.

Distribution feeder long-term load forecast (LTLF) is a critical task many electric utility companies perform on an annual basis. The goal of this task is to forecast the annual load of distribution feeders. The previous top-down and bottom-up LTLF methods are unable to incorporate different levels of information. This paper proposes a hybrid modeling method using sequence prediction for this classic and important task. The proposed method can seamlessly integrate top-down, bottom-up and sequential information hidden in multi-year data. Two advanced sequence prediction models Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks are investigated in this paper. They successfully solve the vanishing and exploding gradient problems a standard recurrent neural network has. This paper firstly explains the theories of LSTM and GRU networks and then discusses the steps of feature selection, feature engineering and model implementation in detail. In the end, a real-world application example for a large urban grid in West Canada is provided. LSTM and GRU networks under different sequential configurations and traditional models including bottom-up, ARIMA and feed-forward neural network are all implemented and compared in detail. The proposed method demonstrates superior performance and great practicality.

We explore the architecture of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) by studying the complexity of string sequences it is able to memorize. Symbolic sequences of different complexity are generated to simulate RNN training and study parameter configurations with a view to the network's capability of learning and inference. We compare Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and gated recurrent units (GRUs). We find that an increase in RNN depth does not necessarily result in better memorization capability when the training time is constrained. Our results also indicate that the learning rate and the number of units per layer are among the most important hyper-parameters to be tuned. Generally, GRUs outperform LSTM networks on low-complexity sequences while on high-complexity sequences LSTMs perform better.

Prediction of dissolved oxygen in a fishery pond based on gated recurrent unit (GRU)

NGCU: A New RNN Model for Time-Series Data Prediction

Energy efficiency, scalability, and reliability are increasingly important for sustainable data centers. In this paper, we focus on forecasting real-world resource usage using neural network time series models, specifically utilizing convolutional recurrent long short-term Memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) architectures. In our analysis, we compare LSTM and GRU in terms of forecasting accuracy and computational complexity during model training. We demonstrate that recurrent neural networks are more accurate and robust compared to the traditional autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series model in this complex forecasting problem. GRU achieved a 9% reduction and LSTM a 5% reduction in forecasting mean squared error (MSE) compared to ARIMA. Furthermore, the GRU architecture with a 1D convolution layer outperforms LSTM architecture in both forecast accuracy and training time. The proposed model can be effectively applied to load forecasting as part of a data center computing cluster. In this application, the proposed GRU architecture has 25% fewer trainable parameters in the recurrent layer than the commonly used LSTM.

Raw materials consumption and many physical and chemical reactions in the industrial process are not conducive to analyze the production process. Therefore, the ethylene production prediction model based on gated recurrent unit (GRU) is brought forth in this paper, which can be used to accurately predict ethylene production capacity in complex industrial processes. Using the total consumption of raw materials, fuel, water, steam and electricity as the input of the network architecture and the ethylene production as the output, GRU network is set as the kernel to build the production prediction model. Form experiment results comparing with the back propagation (BP) neural network and the long short-term memory (LSTM), GRU can better predict ethylene production, thus reducing production energy consumption and improving production efficiency.

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) have gained significant popularity in time series forecasting across diverse domains including healthcare, astronomy, and engineering. However, the inherent variability in model performance due to random weight initialization raises questions about the reliability and consistency of these architectures for time series analysis. This study addresses this concern by conducting a comprehensive benchmark evaluation of nine neural network architectures: vanilla RNN, LSTM, GRU, and six hybrid configurations (RNN-LSTM, RNN-GRU, LSTM-RNN, GRU-RNN, LSTM-GRU, and GRU-LSTM). Performance evaluation was conducted using Monte Carlo simulation with 100 iterations across three real-world datasets: sunspot activity, Indonesian COVID-19 cases, and dissolved oxygen concentration measurements. Statistical analysis employed the Friedman test to assess performance differences across architectures. Results showed no statistically significant differences among the nine architectures. Despite the lack of statistical significance, consistent performance patterns emerged favoring LSTM-based hybrid architectures. The LSTM-GRU and LSTM-RNN configurations demonstrated superior performance across multiple evaluation metrics, with LSTM-RNN excelling in sunspot and dissolved oxygen forecasting, while standalone LSTM showed optimal performance for COVID-19 prediction. These findings provide evidence-based guidance for architecture selection in time series forecasting applications, suggesting that while statistical equivalence exists among architectures, LSTM-based hybrids offer practical advantages in terms of consistency and robustness across diverse temporal patterns.

Automatic sentence generation is an important problem in natural language processing that has many applications, including language translation, summarization, and chatbots. Deep learning techniques, such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and transformer models, have been shown to be effective in generating coherent and diverse sentences. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been widely used in natural language processing tasks, including automatic text generation. However, the traditional RNN suffers from the vanishing gradient problem, which hinders the learning of long-term dependencies. To address this issue, long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) models have been introduced that can selectively forget or update certain information in the hidden state. These models have been shown to improve the quality of automatically generated text by better capturing the long-term dependencies in the input data.

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), which are a powerful scheme for modeling temporal and sequential data need to capture long-term dependencies on datasets and represent them in hidden layers with a powerful model to capture more information from inputs. For modeling long-term dependencies in a dataset, the gating mechanism concept can help RNNs remember and forget previous information. Representing the hidden layers of an RNN with more expressive operations (i.e., tensor products) helps it learn a more complex relationship between the current input and the previous hidden layer information. These ideas can generally improve RNN performances. In this paper, we proposed a novel RNN architecture that combine the concepts of gating mechanism and the tensor product into a single model. By combining these two concepts into a single RNN, our proposed models learn long-term dependencies by modeling with gating units and obtain more expressive and direct interaction between input and hidden layers using a tensor product on 3-dimensional array (tensor) weight parameters. We use Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) RNN and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) RNN and combine them with a tensor product inside their formulations. Our proposed RNNs, which are called a Long-Short Term Memory Recurrent Neural Tensor Network (LSTMRNTN) and Gated Recurrent Unit Recurrent Neural Tensor Network (GRURNTN), are made by combining the LSTM and GRU RNN models with the tensor product. We conducted experiments with our proposed models on word-level and character-level language modeling tasks and revealed that our proposed models significantly improved their performance compared to our baseline models.

To quantitatively evaluate the performance of two types of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent units (GRU), using Monte Carlo dropout (MCD) to predict pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters from dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) data. DCE-MRI data for simulation studies were synthesized using the extended Tofts model and a population-averaged arterial input function (AIF). The ranges of PK parameters for training the RNNs were determined from data of patients with brain tumors. The effects of the number of training samples, number of hidden units, dropout rate (DR), and bolus arrival time delay and dispersion in AIF on the accuracy of the PK parameters were investigated, and the uncertainties for different DRs and peak signal-to-noise ratios (PSNRs) were quantified. For comparison, PK parameters were estimated using the nonlinear least-squares method. In the clinical studies, the PK parameter and uncertainty images were generated by applying the trained RNNs to DCE-MRI data. Compared with GRU, the computational cost for training the LSTM was significantly higher. The prediction accuracy of GRU decreased with decreasing numbers of training samples and hidden units, whereas the performance of LSTM remained stable. Despite an increased computational cost, MCD reduced the prediction error at low PSNR and improved the quality of PK parameter images. The simulation results recommended using a DR of 0.25-0.5 at low PSNR and ≤ 0.25 for other PSNRs. The clinical studies recommended using a DR of 0.25 and 0.5 for LSTM and GRU, respectively. MCD is effective in quantifying uncertainty in PK parameter prediction from DCE-MRI data and improves their performance, particularly at low PSNR; however, at the expense of increased computational cost. This study helps deepen our understanding of RNNs with MCD and select suitable hyperparameters for creating an RNN architecture for DCE-MRI studies.