Predictive Quality Defect Detection Using Machine Learning Algorithms: A Case Study from Automobile Industry

P125. Development of a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm for prediction of complications and readmission after anterior cervical spinal fusion

647 Background: The primary treatment of most mNSTC is chemotherapy followed by surgery if the residual disease (RD) is >1 cm. However, conventional imaging lacks the specificity to characterize the tissue, often leading to overtreatment. This study hypothesizes that integrating CT-driven radiomics features with plasma miR371 and miR375 will enhance the predictive accuracy of Machine Learning (ML) models to predict teratoma, viable germ cell (vGCT) and fibrosis/necrosis (F/N) in mNSTC patients with RD. Methods: 111 lesions from52 patients, including residual teratoma (n=57), F/N (n=33), vGCT (n=10), and additional seminoma (n=11) for training purposes were included, split into training (N=78) and test cohorts (N=33). Lesions were lymph nodes (n=87), lung (n=21), and brain (n=3) with a median size of 1.6 cm (Q1-Q3 interval=1.2-2.73 cm). 3D Slicer version 5.6.1 was used to segment the RD > 1 cm (short axis) and extract radiomics features. Plasma miRNA levels before resection were measured by RT-PCR. Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosting (GB), and CatBoost (CB) ML models were evaluated to define the operating characteristics of radiomics alone (R-only) and in combination with miR371 (371) and/or miR375 (375) levels in predicting teratoma, vGCT and F/N. Results: For predicting teratoma, the best models were RF (R+375 and R+371+375), CB (R+371+375), and GB (R+371 and R+371+375). While adding miR371 or miR375 to R-only slightly improved AUC across models, the best results were achieved with the R+375+371 dataset. CB achieved AUCs ranging from 0.94 to 0.97 in training and 0.81 to 0.93 in test sets, with its highest AUC of 0.93 (95% CI: 0.78-0.97) on the R+375+371 dataset to differentiate all three classes. Similarly, GB demonstrated strong performance, achieving its highest AUC of 0.93 (95% CI: 0.79-0.96) on the R+375+371 dataset (Table). Conclusions: Integration of plasma miR371, miR375 and radiomics improved accuracy of predicting histologies across all ML models. These methods could be used to characterize the histology of RD in mNSTC patients to better inform treatment decisions. Further refinement, including incorporation of histological findings of the primary tumor, will be reported. AUC values of different ML algorithms on training and test sets. TRAINING SET TEST SET Model ±SD R R+375 R+371 R+375+371 Model (95% CI) R R+375 R+371 R+375+371 RF 0.93±0.05 0.95±0.04 0.95±0.03 0.96±0.04 RF 0.8(0.59-0.89) 0.85(0.72-0.93) 0.87(0.76-0.95) 0.91(0.78-0.95) SVM 0.84±0.06 0.84±0.09 0.89±0.11 0.89±0.09 SVM 0.72(0.54-0.80) 0.74(0.56-0.82) 0.83(0.69-0.92) 0.84(0.76-0.94) GB 0.94±0.04 0.91±0.08 0.95±0.05 0.97±0.03 GB 0.84(0.61-0.96) 0.89(0.77-0.97) 0.89(0.79-0.96) 0.93(0.79-0.96) CB 0.95±0.03 0.94±0.03 0.94±0.04 0.97±0.03 CB 0.81(0.6-0.93) 0.86(0.73-0.94) 0.89(0.78-0.97) 0.93(0.78-0.97)

Introduction: The utility of ECG to diagnose left ventricular (LV) dilation in patients with left bundle branch block (LBBB) is not known. We sought to compare the diagnostic yield of ECG using (i) QRS duration, (ii) published LVH criteria, and (iii) machine learning (ML) models to detect increased left ventricular end diastolic volume indexed (LVEDVi) in the setting of LBBB. Hypothesis: ML is superior to QRS duration and LVH criteria to detect increased LVEDVi among LBBB. Methods: 12-lead ECGs were processed to reconstruct orthogonal X, Y, Z leads using Kors’s matrix and obtain root-mean-squared (3D) ECG. R wave, S wave and overall amplitudes, voltage-time-integrals (VTIs), and other ECG features were extracted from all ECG leads. ML algorithms [logistic regression (LR), support vector classifier (SVC), decision trees (DT), random forest (RF), gradient boosted machine (GBM) and boosted trees (BT)] were trained to predict increased LVEDVi (women >61 mL/m 2 , men >74 mL/m 2 ) from ECG features on a training set of 2668 ECGs with typical LBBB and echocardiogram within 45 days before or after ECG. LVEDV was measured using ASE biplane method of discs. We obtained ROC AUCs for prediction of increased LVEDVi by (i) QRS duration, (ii) published LVH criteria, and (iii) ML models in a separate validation set of adults with typical LBBB. Results: Among the validation set of 413 adults (53% women, age 73±12 yr) with LBBB, QRS duration alone had a higher AUC (women 0.668, men 0.699) for diagnosing increased LVMi compared to standard LVH criteria (Table). The best ML model (RF with overall AUC 0.694) did not substantially outperform QRS duration alone. Conclusions: In patients with LBBB, QRS duration ≥150 in women and ≥160 in men is a superior predictor of LV dilation than traditional ECG-based LVH criteria, with no additional value added by ML methods.

Undernutrition among children under the age of five is a major public health concern, especially in developing countries. This study aimed to use machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict undernutrition and identify its associated factors. Secondary data analysis of the 2017 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) was performed using R and Python. The main outcomes of interest were undernutrition (stunting: height-for-age (HAZ) < -2 SD; wasting: weight-for-height (WHZ) < -2 SD; and underweight: weight-for-age (WAZ) < -2 SD). Seven ML algorithms were trained and tested: linear discriminant analysis (LDA), logistic model, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), ridge regression, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The ML models were evaluated using the accuracy, confusion matrix, and area under the curve (AUC) receiver operating characteristics (ROC). In total, 8564 children were included in the final analysis. The average age of the children was 926 days, and the majority were females. The weighted prevalence rates of stunting, wasting, and underweight were 17%, 7%, and 12%, respectively. The accuracies of all the ML models for wasting were (LDA: 84%; Logistic: 95%; SVM: 92%; RF: 94%; LASSO: 96%; Ridge: 84%, XGBoost: 98%), stunting (LDA: 86%; Logistic: 86%; SVM: 98%; RF: 88%; LASSO: 86%; Ridge: 86%, XGBoost: 98%), and for underweight were (LDA: 90%; Logistic: 92%; SVM: 98%; RF: 89%; LASSO: 92%; Ridge: 88%, XGBoost: 98%). The AUC values of the wasting models were (LDA: 99%; Logistic: 100%; SVM: 72%; RF: 94%; LASSO: 99%; Ridge: 59%, XGBoost: 100%), for stunting were (LDA: 89%; Logistic: 90%; SVM: 100%; RF: 92%; LASSO: 90%; Ridge: 89%, XGBoost: 100%), and for underweight were (LDA: 95%; Logistic: 96%; SVM: 100%; RF: 94%; LASSO: 96%; Ridge: 82%, XGBoost: 82%). Age, weight, length/height, sex, region of residence and ethnicity were important predictors of wasting, stunting and underweight. The XGBoost model was the best model for predicting wasting, stunting, and underweight. The findings showed that different ML algorithms could be useful for predicting undernutrition and identifying important predictors for targeted interventions among children under five years in Ghana.

This study presents a comparative analysis of the classification performance of facial and emotion recognition systems using Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms. The primary objective of this work is to evaluate the applicability of emotion recognition in fields such as psychotherapy and crime analysis, using the FER-2013 dataset.The study was conducted with ML algorithms such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Decision Trees, and Gradient Boosting, as well as the DL algorithm, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). Supported by the application of feature selection, preprocessing, and feature extraction techniques, the model’s performance was measured using standard metrics such as accuracy, precision, F1-score, and AUC-ROC.The experimental results showed that the highest classification accuracy (46.61%) was achieved with the CNN model. While the ML models generally offered lower accuracy, they provided advantages in terms of computational efficiency in specific scenarios.This study aims to contribute to the literature by providing a comparative analysis of ML and DL algorithms and by highlighting the effect of data preprocessing on performance. The findings set targets for future work, such as real-time system integration and hybrid model development.

Air pollution in Macau has become a serious problem following the Pearl River Delta’s (PRD) rapid industrialization that began in the 1990s. With this in mind, Macau needs an air quality forecast system that accurately predicts pollutant concentration during the occurrence of pollution episodes to warn the public ahead of time. Five different state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) algorithms were applied to create predictive models to forecast PM2.5, PM10, and CO concentrations for the next 24 and 48 h, which included artificial neural networks (ANN), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), and multiple linear regression (MLR), to determine the best ML algorithms for the respective pollutants and time scale. The diurnal measurements of air quality data in Macau from 2016 to 2021 were obtained for this work. The 2020 and 2021 datasets were used for model testing, while the four-year data before 2020 and 2021 were used to build and train the ML models. Results show that the ANN, RF, XGBoost, SVM, and MLR models were able to provide good performance in building up a 24-h forecast with a higher coefficient of determination (R2) and lower root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and biases (BIAS). Meanwhile, all the ML models in the 48-h forecasting performance were satisfactory enough to be accepted as a two-day continuous forecast even if the R2 value was lower than the 24-h forecast. The 48-h forecasting model could be further improved by proper feature selection based on the 24-h dataset, using the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) value test and the adjusted R2 value of the 48-h forecasting model. In conclusion, the above five ML algorithms were able to successfully forecast the 24 and 48 h of pollutant concentration in Macau, with the RF and SVM models performing the best in the prediction of PM2.5 and PM10, and CO in both 24 and 48-h forecasts.

Category:Ankle Arthritis; AnkleIntroduction/Purpose:Ankle arthrodesis and total ankle replacement are the most commonly performed procedures for surgical management of ankle arthritis. Arthrodesis provides effective pain relief but the rate of complications after arthrodesis is higher as it is more commonly performed in patients with comorbidities that preclude ankle replacement. Accurately risk- stratifying patients who undergo ankle arthrodesis would be of great utility, given the significant cost and morbidity associated with developing major perioperative complications. There is a paucity of accurate prediction models that can be used to pre- operatively risk-stratify patients for ankle arthrodesis. We aim to develop a machine learning (ML) algorithm for prediction of major perioperative complication after ankle arthrodesis as well as compare its performance against traditional predictive models based on logistic regression.Methods:This is a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who underwent ankle arthrodesis at any non-federal California hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome was readmission within 30 days or major perioperative complication - venous thromboembolism within 30 days, myocardial infarction within 7 days, pneumonia within 7 days, systemic infection within 7 days, surgical site bleeding within 90 days, and wound complications within 90 days. We build ML and logistic regression models that span different classes of modeling approaches: XGBoost, AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest. Discrimination and calibration were assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Brier score, respectively. We utilize a partial dependence function to measure the importance of an individual feature by assessing the average effect in predicted risks when its value is altered. We rank the contribution of the included variables to the prediction of adverse outcomes.Results:A total of 1,084 patients met inclusion criteria for this study. There were 131 major complications or readmission (12.1%). The optimized XGBoost algorithm demonstrates higher discrimination (AUROC: 0.707 + 0.052) compared to LR (0.691 + 0.055). The receiver operating characteristic curves for the XGBoost and logistic regression models are visualized in Figure 1. XGBoost also outperforms the three other ML models. This model was well calibrated (Brier score: 0.103 + 0.001). The variables most important for the XGBoost model include diabetes, chronic kidney disease, implant complication, and major fracture. Five of the ten most important features for XGBoost were markedly less important for the traditional logistic regression model: male sex, prior hip fracture, cardiorespiratory failure, acute renal failure, and dialysis status.Conclusion:We report a ML algorithm for prediction of major perioperative complications after ankle arthrodesis. The optimized XGBoost model is well-calibrated and demonstrates superior risk prediction to logistic regression. This tool may identify and address potentially modifiable risk factors, helping to accurately risk-stratify patients and decrease likelihood of major complications. Notably, the predictors most important for XGBoost are different from those for logistic regression. This suggests that the superior discriminative capability of ML methods stems from their ability to capture complex non-linear relationships between variables that logistic regression is unable to detect.

ObjectiveEnhanced technology in computer and internet has driven scale and quality of data to be improved in various areas including healthcare sectors. Machine Learning (ML) has played a pivotal role in efficiently analyzing those big data, but a general misunderstanding of ML algorithms still exists in applying them (e.g., ML techniques can settle a problem of small sample size, or deep learning is the ML algorithm). This paper reviewed the research of diagnosing mental illness using ML algorithm and suggests how ML techniques can be employed and worked in practice.MethodsResearches about mental illness diagnostic using ML techniques were carefully reviewed. Five traditional ML algorithms-Support Vector Machines (SVM), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, and K-Nearest Neighborhood (KNN)-frequently used for mental health area researches were systematically organized and summarized.ResultsBased on literature review, it turned out that Support Vector Machines (SVM), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, and K-Nearest Neighborhood (KNN) were frequently employed in mental health area, but many researchers did not clarify the reason for using their ML algorithm though every ML algorithm has its own advantages. In addition, there were several studies to apply ML algorithms without fully understanding the data characteristics.ConclusionResearchers using ML algorithms should be aware of the properties of their ML algorithms and the limitation of the results they obtained under restricted data conditions. This paper provides useful information of the properties and limitation of each ML algorithm in the practice of mental health.

Prediction of rockhead using a hybrid N-XGBoost machine learning framework

Discovery of new antibiotics is the need of the hour to treat infectious diseases. An ever-increasing repertoire of multidrug-resistant pathogens poses an imminent threat to human lives across the globe. However, the low success rate of the existing approaches and technologies for antibiotic discovery remains a major bottleneck. In silico methods like machine learning (ML) deem more promising to meet the above challenges compared with the conventional experimental approaches. The goal of this study was to create ML models that may be used to successfully predict new antimicrobial compounds. In this article, we employed eight different ML algorithms namely, extreme gradient boosting, random forest, gradient boosting classifier, deep neural network, support vector machine, multilayer perceptron, decision tree, and logistic regression. These models were trained using a dataset comprising 312 antibiotic drugs and a negative set of 936 non-antibiotic drugs in a five-fold cross validation approach. The top four ML classifiers (extreme gradient boosting, random forest, gradient boosting classifier and deep neural network) were able to achieve an accuracy of 80 per cent and above during the evaluation of testing and blind datasets. We aggregated the top performing four models through a soft-voting technique to develop an ensemble-based ML method and incorporated it into a freely accessible online prediction server named ABDpred ( http://clinicalmedicinessd.com.in/abdpred/ ).

Evaluation of multispectral imaging for freeze damage assessment in strawberries using AI-based computer vision technology

Background and objectiveThreatened abortion, a common pregnancy complication that often leading to abortion, is hard to predict due to its non-specific symptoms and difficulty in differentiating from other early pregnancy bleeding causes. Current diagnostic methods like serial ultrasounds and clinical monitoring are time-consuming and lack timeliness. To fill the gap in using advanced analytics for early detection and risk stratification, this study develops a machine learning (ML) model based on routine blood data to better predict threatened abortion, providing a reference for early detection and intervention.MethodsIn this study, we collected medical records from January 2022 to March 2024. We analyzed data from 1764 patients with threatened abortion and 1489 healthy controls. Blood test data of all participants were gathered. The Z-score normalization technique was applied to standardize blood routine indicators. This reduced the influence of outliers and noise. During hyperparameter optimization, ‘class_weight="balanced"’ was set to handle sample imbalance. The screening data was partitioned into a training set of 2928 cases (including the validation set) and a test set of 325 cases at an 8:1:1 ratio. Python was used to facilitate data transformation. Eight different ML algorithms—Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosting (GBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Deep Neural Network (DNN), Decision Tree (DT) and Naive Bayes (NB)—were used to construct a threatened abortion prediction model. The prediction performances of the ML models were evaluated by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) values. We used the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method to explain the models.ResultsComparatively, the DNN model showed the highest predictive performance among the eight models, with the highest AUC value of 96.76% and top metrics for accuracy (91.88%), specificity (91.62%), sensitivity (92.11%), and F1 score (92.48%). SHAP analysis identified Red Cell Distribution Width - Standard Deviation (RDW-SD), Platelet Distribution Width (PDW), Mean Platelet Volume (MPV), Red Cell Distribution Width - Coefficient of Variation (RDW-CV), Absolute Basophil Count (BAS#), Platelet Count (PLT), Mean Corpuscular Hemoglobin Concentration (MCHC) and Lymphocyte Percentage (LYM) as the most influential features in predicting threatened abortion, with PDW, RDW-CV, BAS#, PLT, MCHC and LYM positively contributing to the prediction, whereas RDW-SD and MPV had negative contributions.ConclusionsOur research on constructing a prediction model for threatened abortion through routine blood tests has revealed the great potential of ML algorithms in detecting threatened abortion. This algorithm is expected to analyse routine blood data to identify at-risk pregnancies at an early stage, significantly improving the early detection of this common pregnancy complication. It will assist healthcare providers in intervening earlier and reducing the incidence of abortion. However, before the model can be translated into routine clinical applications, more extensive validation studies are still needed.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12884-025-08030-z.

Applying Machine Learning to Support Early Diagnosis of Light-Chain Amyloidosis: A Combination of Knowledge-Based Approach with Data-Driven Approach

Performance evaluation of machine learning techniques in predicting cumulative absolute velocity

This paper introduces a novel benchmarking framework based on fractional Brownian motion (fBm) for evaluating advanced artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) algorithms. The approach leverages the statistical structure of fBm to generate theoretically grounded, high-dimensional datasets of unlimited size, enabling reproducible and scalable model evaluation under controlled stochastic conditions. Rather than predicting the supremum or infimum of fBm paths directly, the proposed benchmark focuses on estimating a nonlinear functional derived from path extremes –a transformation that depends on the joint behavior of the supremum, infimum, and range of future segments. This formulation produces a complex, highly nonlinear target function that tests the limits of ML methods in functional estimation, particularly under noise, drift, and persistence variations. Comparisons across six ML architectures reveal a striking scaling paradox: while model performance is broadly comparable at small data sizes (N = 102), a sharp divergence emerges at scale (N = 104), where global mapping models (LR, MLP) converge to high predictive accuracy (R2 ≈ 0.96) while local and ensemble methods suffer a total generalization collapse to deeply negative R2 values. The benchmark is readily tunable through parameters including the Hurst exponent (H), drift (μ), and temporal horizon, enabling systematic stress-testing across both persistent and rough-path regimes. Six widely used ML algorithms were evaluated on this benchmark: Linear Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), and k-Nearest Neighbours (kNN). Overall, the fBm-based benchmark highlights the intrinsic difficulty of learning nonlinear functionals of stochastic paths and provides a tunable, mathematically robust environment for assessing algorithmic robustness. This framework offers a rigorous, scalable testbed for advancing the development and comparison of ML methods under complex, noise-dominated dynamics.