Deep Learning for Deep Waters: An Expert-in-the-Loop Machine Learning Framework for Marine Sciences

P125. Development of a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm for prediction of complications and readmission after anterior cervical spinal fusion

Phenomics is a technology-driven approach with promising future to obtain unbiased data of biological systems. Image acquisition is relatively simple. However data handling and analysis are not as developed compared to the sampling capacities. We present a system based on machine learning (ML) algorithms and computer vision intended to solve the automatic phenotype data analysis in plant material. We developed a growth-chamber able to accommodate species of various sizes. Night image acquisition requires near infrared lightning. For the ML process, we tested three different algorithms: k-nearest neighbour (kNN), Naive Bayes Classifier (NBC), and Support Vector Machine. Each ML algorithm was executed with different kernel functions and they were trained with raw data and two types of data normalisation. Different metrics were computed to determine the optimal configuration of the machine learning algorithms. We obtained a performance of 99.31% in kNN for RGB images and a 99.34% in SVM for NIR. Our results show that ML techniques can speed up phenomic data analysis. Furthermore, both RGB and NIR images can be segmented successfully but may require different ML algorithms for segmentation.

In the era of artificial intelligence, machine learning methods are successfully used in various fields. Machine learning has attracted extensive attention from investors in the financial market, especially in stock price prediction. However, one argument for the machine learning methods used in stock price prediction is that they are black-box models which are difficult to interpret. In this paper, we focus on the future stock price prediction with the historical stock price by machine learning and deep learning methods, such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), Bayesian classifier (BC), decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), bi-directional long-short term memory (BiLSTM), the embedded CNN, and the embedded BiLSTM. Firstly, we manually design several financial time series where the future price correlates with the historical stock prices in pre-designed modes, namely the curve-shape-feature (CSF) and the non-curve-shape-feature (NCSF) modes. In the CSF mode, the future prices can be extracted from the curve shapes of the historical stock prices. Conversely, in the NCSF mode, they can’t. Secondly, we apply various algorithms to those pre-designed and real financial time series. We find that the existing machine learning and deep learning algorithms fail in stock price prediction because in the real financial time series, less information of future prices is contained in the CSF mode, and perhaps more information is contained in the NCSF. Various machine learning and deep learning algorithms are good at handling the CSF in historical data, which are successfully applied in image recognition and natural language processing. However, they are inappropriate for stock price prediction on account of the NCSF. Therefore, accurate stock price prediction is the key to successful investment, and new machine learning algorithms handling the NCSF series are needed.

This study provides an extensive review of over 200 journal papers focusing on Machine Learning (ML) algorithms’ use for promoting a sustainable management of the marine and coastal environments. The research covers various facets of ML algorithms, including data preprocessing and handling, modeling algorithms for distinct phenomena, model evaluation, and use of dynamic and integrated models. Given that machine learning modeling relies on experience or trial-and-error, examining previous applications in marine and coastal modeling is proven to be beneficial. The performance of different ML methods used to predict wave heights was analyzed to ascertain which method was superior with various datasets. The analysis of these papers revealed that properly developed ML methods could successfully be applied to multiple aspects. Areas of application include data collection and analysis, pollutant and sediment transport, image processing and deep learning, and identification of potential regions for aquaculture and wave energy activities. Additionally, ML methods aid in structural design and optimization and in the prediction and classification of oceanographic parameters. However, despite their potential advantages, dynamic and integrated ML models remain underutilized in marine projects. This research provides insights into ML’s application and invites future investigations to exploit ML’s untapped potential in marine and coastal sustainability.

Parameter importance assessment improves efficacy of machine learning methods for predicting snow avalanche sites in Leh-Manali Highway, India

Satellite-based aerosol optical property retrieval over land, especially size-related parameters, is challenging. This study proposed a novel two-stage machine learning (ML) algorithm for retrieving aerosol optical depth (AOD), Ångström exponent (AE), fine mode fraction (FMF), and fine mode AOD (FAOD)) over land using MODIS observed reflectance. The new ML algorithm consists of three steps: (1) first, all samples extracted from AERONET measurements were used to train the ML model, (2) then, to reduce the extreme estimation bias of the model, divided low-value and high-value samples were used to train low-value and high-value ML models, respectively, and (3) finally, the three ML models were integrated into the final retrieval based on the weight interpolation. Independent site network validation results show that the new ML algorithm has a Pearson correlation coefficient (R) of 0.894 (0.638, 0.661, 0.865) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.146 (0.258, 0.245, 0.153) for the AOD (AE, FMF, FAOD) retrieval, which significantly outperforms the validation metrics of MODIS operational products, with AOD (AE, FMF, FAOD) RMSE of 0.130-0.156 (0.536-0.569, 0.313, 0.191). The inter-comparison of aerosol products shows that the spatial patterns of AOD, AE, FMF, and FAOD of the new ML algorithm are in good agreement with those of the MODIS and POLDER products. These results illustrate that the new ML algorithm has good performance and transferability and indicate the ability of ML methods to be applied to multispectral instruments (such as MODIS) to retrieve multiple aerosol properties.

Efficacious monitoring of fish stocks is critical for efficient management. Multibeam acoustic cameras, that use sound-reflectance to generate moving pictures, provide an important alternative to traditional video-based methods that are inoperable in turbid waters. However, acoustic cameras, like standard video monitoring methods, produce large volumes of imagery from which it is time consuming and costly to extract data manually. Deep learning, a form of machine learning, can be used to automate the processing and analysis of acoustic data. We used convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to detect and count fish in a publicly available dual-frequency identification sonar (DIDSON) dataset. We compared three types of detections, direct acoustic, acoustic shadows, and a combination of direct and shadows. The deep learning model was highly reliable at detecting fish to obtain abundance data using acoustic data. Model accuracy for counts-per-image was improved by the inclusion of shadows (F1 scores, a measure of the model accuracy: direct 0.79, shadow 0.88, combined 0.90). Model accuracy for MaxN per video was high for all three types of detections (F1 scores: direct 0.90, shadow 0.90, combined 0.91). Our results demonstrate that CNNs are a powerful tool for automating underwater acoustic data analysis. Given this promise, we suggest broadening the scope of testing to include a wider range of fish shapes, sizes, and abundances, with a view to automating species (or ‘morphospecies’) identification and counts.

Simple SummaryMachine learning (ML) offers new approaches for analyzing data and is particularly interesting for large datasets. Dairy farmers implement a wide range of sensors, which create large amounts of data, in farming. Therefore, they offer an interesting area for data-driven research. In this review, we show how ML methods have already been used in the scientific literature and describe the potential that these may offer for the future. We found that ML methods were applied to predict data in a variety of areas in dairy farming such as milk yield or energy consumption; however, larger integrated datasets are required to improve the reliability of the algorithms developed.Dairy farmers use herd management systems, behavioral sensors, feeding lists, breeding schedules, and health records to document herd characteristics. Consequently, large amounts of dairy data are becoming available. However, a lack of data integration makes it difficult for farmers to analyze the data on their dairy farm, which indicates that these data are currently not being used to their full potential. Hence, multiple issues in dairy farming such as low longevity, poor performance, and health issues remain. We aimed to evaluate whether machine learning (ML) methods can solve some of these existing issues in dairy farming. This review summarizes peer-reviewed ML papers published in the dairy sector between 2015 and 2020. Ultimately, 97 papers from the subdomains of management, physiology, reproduction, behavior analysis, and feeding were considered in this review. The results confirm that ML algorithms have become common tools in most areas of dairy research, particularly to predict data. Despite the quantity of research available, most tested algorithms have not performed sufficiently for a reliable implementation in practice. This may be due to poor training data. The availability of data resources from multiple farms covering longer periods would be useful to improve prediction accuracies. In conclusion, ML is a promising tool in dairy research, which could be used to develop and improve decision support for farmers. As the cow is a multifactorial system, ML algorithms could analyze integrated data sources that describe and ultimately allow managing cows according to all relevant influencing factors. However, both the integration of multiple data sources and the obtainability of public data currently remain challenging.

Effect of High-Intensity Statin Therapy on Atherosclerosis (IBIS-4): Manual Versus Automated Methods of IVUS Analysis

Surgical site infection (SSI) following a neurosurgical operation is a complication that impacts morbidity, mortality, and economics. Currently, machine learning (ML) algorithms are used for outcome prediction in various neurosurgical aspects. The implementation of ML algorithms to learn from medical data may help in obtaining prognostic information on diseases, especially SSIs. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of various ML models for predicting surgical infection after neurosurgical operations. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients who had undergone neurosurgical operations at tertiary care hospitals between 2010 and 2017. Supervised ML algorithms, which included decision tree, naive Bayes with Laplace correction, k-nearest neighbors, and artificial neural networks, were trained and tested as binary classifiers (infection or no infection). To evaluate the ML models from the testing data set, their sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV), as well as their accuracy, receiver operating characteristic curve, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were analyzed. Data were available for 1471 patients in the study period. The SSI rate was 4.6%, and the type of SSI was superficial, deep, and organ/space in 1.2%, 0.8%, and 2.6% of cases, respectively. Using the backward stepwise method, the authors determined that the significant predictors of SSI in the multivariable Cox regression analysis were postoperative CSF leakage/subgaleal collection (HR 4.24, p < 0.001) and postoperative fever (HR 1.67, p = 0.04). Compared with other ML algorithms, the naive Bayes had the highest performance with sensitivity at 63%, specificity at 87%, PPV at 29%, NPV at 96%, and AUC at 76%. The naive Bayes algorithm is highlighted as an accurate ML method for predicting SSI after neurosurgical operations because of its reasonable accuracy. Thus, it can be used to effectively predict SSI in individual neurosurgical patients. Therefore, close monitoring and allocation of treatment strategies can be informed by ML predictions in general practice.

Chapter 15 - Clinical decision support systems to improve the diagnosis and management of respiratory diseases

The accurate estimation of aboveground biomass (AGB) in rubber plantations is essential for predicting rubber production and assessing carbon storage. Multispectral sensors mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can obtain high spatiotemporal resolution imagery of rubber plantations, offering significant advantages in capturing fine structural details and heterogeneity. However, most previous studies primarily focused on developing biomass estimation models for rubber using machine learning (ML) algorithms in conjunction with feature selection methods based on UAV-acquired multispectral imagery. The reliance on feature selection methods limits the model’s generalizability, robustness, and predictive accuracy. In contrast, deep learning (DL) exhibits considerable promise in extracting features from high-resolution UAV-based multispectral imagery without the need for manual selection. Nonetheless, it remains unclear whether DL can surpass traditional ML methods in improving the AGB estimation accuracy in rubber plantations. To address this, our study evaluated the performance of three ML algorithms (random forest regression, RFR; XGBoost regression, XGBR; categorical boosting regression, CatBoost) combined with feature selection techniques and a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) using multispectral imagery obtained from UAV for the AGB estimation of rubber plantations. The results indicate that the RFR combined with a principal component analysis (PCA) for feature selection yielded the best performance (R2 = 0.81, RMSE = 11.63 t/ha, MAE = 9.27 t/ha) between the three ML algorithms. Meanwhile, the DCNN model derived from the G, R, and NIR spectral bands achieved the highest estimation accuracy (R2 = 0.89, RMSE = 6.44 t/ha, MAE = 5.72 t/ha), where it outperformed the other ML methods. Our study highlights the great potential of combining UAV-based multispectral imagery with DL techniques to improve AGB estimation in rubber plantations, offering a new perspective for estimating the physiological and biochemical growth parameters of forests.

Performance evaluation of machine learning techniques in predicting cumulative absolute velocity

Machine learning-driven prediction of tensile strength in 3D-printed PLA parts

Machine learning (ML) is the most common technique for predicting the future or for classifying information, to help people make the required decisions. ML techniques are based on algorithms – sets of mathematical procedures that explain the relationship between variables. ML algorithms are trained in situations where they learn from past data and can even evaluate historical data. After extensive training, the algorithm can recognize patterns sufficiently to make predictions. ML provides methods, techniques, and tools that can help in solving diagnostic and prognostic problems in a variety of medical domains. It is being used for the analysis of the importance of clinical parameters and their combinations for prognosis, e.g., for prediction of disease progression, for the extraction of medical information to predict research outcomes, for therapy planning and support, and for overall patient management. ML is also being used for data analysis, such as detection of patterns in the data by dealing appropriately with imperfect data, interpretation of continuous data generated in the Intensive Care Unit, and for intelligent alarms, resulting in effective and efficient monitoring. Successful implementation of ML methods can help the integration of computer-based systems into the healthcare environment, providing opportunities to facilitate and enhance the work of medical experts, and ultimately to improve the efficiency and quality of medical care. Most ML methods can be categorized into one of two types of learning techniques, namely supervised or unsupervised algorithms. A supervised learning algorithm takes a known set of input data (the training set) and known responses to the data (the output) and trains a model to generate reasonable predictions for the response to new input data. In medicine, supervised learning involves training a model to relate a person’s characteristics (e.g., height, weight, smoking status) to a certain outcome (onset of diabetes within five years, for example). Once the algorithm is successfully trained, it will be capable of making outcome predictions when supplied with new data. Predictions which are made by models trained using supervised learning can be either discrete (e.g., positive or negative, benign or malignant) or continuous (e.g., a score from 0 to 100). A supervised model which produces discrete categories (sometimes referred to as classes) is referred to as a classification algorithm. Examples of classification algorithms include those which predict whether a tumor is benign or malignant, or to establish whether comments written by a patient convey a positive or negative sentiment. In practice, classification algorithms return the probability of a class (between 0 for impossible and 1 for certain). Common classification algorithms are Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, and Naïve Bayes. A supervised model which returns a prediction of a continuous value is known as a regression algorithm, which might be used by ML to predict an individual’s life expectancy or the tolerable dose of chemotherapy. Supervised ML algorithms are typically developed using a dataset, which contains several variables and a relevant outcome. In contrast with supervised learning, unsupervised learning does not involve a predefined outcome. In unsupervised learning, patterns are sought by algorithms without any input from the user. Unsupervised techniques are thus exploratory and used to find undefined patterns or clusters which occur within datasets. In this chapter, the use of different types of supervised and unsupervised ML algorithms for various applications in health care are discussed.