Developing an Optimized Artificial Neural Network to Predict Traffic Crash Injury Severity

Global warming and climate change have become universal issues recently. One of the leading sources of climate change is automobiles. Automobiles are the prime source of air pollution in urban areas globally. This has resulted in a problematic and chaotic state in the development of an automatic traffic management system for capturing and monitoring vehicles’ hourly and daily passage. With the significant advancement of sensor technology, atmospheric information such as air pollu-tion, meteorological, and motor vehicle data can be harvested and stored in databases. However, due to the complexity and non-linear associations between air quality, meteorological, and traffic variables, it is difficult for the traditional statistical and mathematical models to analyze them. Recently, machine learning algorithms in the field of traffic emissions prediction have become a popular tool. Meteorological and traffic variables influence the variation and the trend of the traffic pollutants. In this paper, an optimized artificial neural network (OANN) was developed to enhance the existing artificial neural network (ANN) model by updating the initial weights in the network using a Genetic Algorithm (GA). The OANN model was implemented to predict the concentration of CO, NO, NO2, and NOx pollutants produced by motor vehicles in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. OANN was compared with Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest (RF), and Decision Tree (DT) models. The results show that the developed OANN model performed better than the ANN, RF, and DT models with the lowest MSE values of 0.0247 for CO, 0.0365 for NO, 0.0542 NO2, and 0.1128 for NOx. It can be concluded that the developed OANN model is a better choice in predicting traffic emission concentrations. The developed OANN model can help environmental agencies monitor traffic-related air pollution levels efficiently and take necessary measures to ensure the effectiveness of traffic management policy. The OANN model can also help decision-makers mitigate traffic emissions to protect citizens living in the neighborhood of highways.

Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) models play an increasingly significant role in accurate time series prediction tools. However, an accurate time series forecasting using ANN requires an optimal model. Hence, great forecasting methods have been developed from optimized ANN models. Most of them focus more on input variables selection and preprocessing, topologies selection, optimum configuration and its associated parameters regardless of their input variables disposition. This paper provides an investigation of the effects of input variables disposition on ANNs models on training and forecasting performances. After investigation, a new ANNs optimization approach is proposed, consisting of finding optimal input variables disposition from the possible combinations. Therefore, a modified Back-Propagation neural networks training algorithm is presented in this paper. This proposed approach is applied to optimize the feed-forward and recurrent neural networks architectures; both built using traditional techniques, and pursuing to forecast the wind speed. Furthermore, the proposed approach is tested in a collaborative optimization method with single-objective optimization technique. Thus, Genetic Algorithm Back-Propagation neural networks aim to improve the forecasting accuracy relative to traditional methods was proposed. The experiment results demonstrate the requirement to take into consideration the input variables disposition to build a more optimal ANN model. They reveal that each proposed model is superior to its old considered model in terms of forecasting accuracy and thus show that the proposed optimization approach can be useful for time series forecasting accuracy improvement.

Castellated steel beams (CSB) are an attractive option for the steel construction industry thanks to outstanding advantages, such as the ability to exceed large span, lightweight, and allowing flexible arrangement of the technical pipes through beams. In addition, the complex localized and global failures characterizing these structural members have led researchers to focus on the development of efficient design guidelines. This paper aims to propose an artificial neural network (ANN) model with optimal architecture to predict the load‐carrying capacity of CSB with a scheme of the simple beam bearing load located at the center of the beam. The ANN model is built with 9 input variables, which are essential parameters equivalent to the geometrical properties and mechanical properties of the material, such as the overall depth of the castellated beam, the vertical projection of the inclined side of the opening, the web thickness, the flange width, the flange thickness, the width of web post at middepth, the horizontal projection of inclined side of the opening, the minimum web yield stress, and the minimum flange yield stress. The output variable is the load‐carrying capacity of the CSB. With the optimal ANN architecture [9‐1‐1] containing one hidden layer, the performance of the ANN model is evaluated based on statistical criteria such as R2, RMSE, and MAE. The results show that the optimal ANN model is a highly effective predictor of the load‐carrying capacity of the CSB with the best value of R2 = 0.989, RMSE = 3.328, and MAE = 2.620 for the testing part. The ANN model seems to be the best algorithm of machine learning for predicting the CSB load‐carrying capacity.

این مطالعه به منظور بررسی پیش بینی شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی در مرغان تخم گذار با استفاده از شبکه های عصبی مصنوعی و رگرسیون غیرخطی چندگانه انجام شد. بررسی بر روی اطلاعات چهار دوره متوالی پرورش در یک واحد پرورش مرغ تخم گذار صورت گرفت. روش های داده-کاوی شامل رگرسیون خطی و غیر خطی، شبکه عصبی پرسپترون سه لایه، شبکه عصبی پرسپترون چهار لایه و شبکه عصبی با تابع پایه ای شعاعی بود. در این مدل ها از متغیرهای سن گله، میزان خوراک مصرفی و فصل تولید به عنوان متغیر پیشگو و شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی شامل درصد تخم-گذاری، وزن توده ای تخم مرغ تولیدی و ضریب تبدیل غذایی به عنوان متغیر پاسخ استفاده شد. نتایج نهایی رگرسیون های خطی نشان داد که برای تمامی متغیرهای وابسته مورد مطالعه متغیر مستقل سن گله معنی دار می باشد. بنابراین رگرسیون غیر خطی شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی در مقابل سن برای مقایسه با شبکه های عصبی مختلف مورد بررسی قرار گرفت و برای مقایسه کلیه مدل ها از ضریب تعیین (R2) و میانگین قدر مطلق خطا (MAE) استفاده شد. نتایج نشان داد بین شبکه های عصبی مصنوعی مختلف مورد مطالعه، شبکه با تابع پایه ای شعاعی بهتر از سایر مدل های در پیش‌بینی شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی مرغان تخم گذار عمل می کند.

This paper describes recent design enhancements, performance results, and development of an artificial neural network (ANN) model related to the radioisotope Stirling generator (RSG), an 11 W converter designed for remote power applications. Design enhancements include minor changes to improve performance, increase reliability, facilitate fabrication and assembly for limited production, and reduce mass. Innovative modifications were effected to increase performance and improve reliability of the vacuum foil insulation (VFI) package and linear alternator. High and low operating temperature acceptance testing of the engineering model demonstrated the robust system characteristics. These tests were conducted for 1 week of operation each, with rejector temperatures of 95/spl deg/C and 20/spl deg/C, respectively. Endurance testing continues for a complete Stirling converter, the developmental model (DM), with over 25,000 hours of maintenance free operation. Endurance testing of flexures has attained over 540 flexure years and endurance testing of linear motors/alternators has achieved nearly 27,000 hours of operation without failure. An ANN model was developed and tested successfully on the DM. Rejection temperatures were varied between 3/spl deg/C and 75/spl deg/C while load voltages ranged between engine stall and displacer overstroke. The trained ANN model, based solely on externally measured parameters, predicted values of piston amplitude, displacer amplitude and piston-displacer phase angle within /spl plusmn/2% of the measured values over the entire operating regime. The ANN model demonstrated its effectiveness in the long-term evaluation of free-piston Stirling machines without adding the complexity, reduced reliability and increased cost of sophisticated diagnostic instrumentation.

In this paper, cell loading and shipment method optimisation problem in a cellular manufacturing system are studied. A hierarchical methodology that consists of mathematical optimisation model, genetic algorithms (GAs) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) were proposed. The mathematical model is compared with the GA in terms of the optimisation performance. Next, ANN model was developed as decision support tool to study the impact of GA parameters on the solution quality. Several problem sizes were experimented with the proposed GA and the mathematical model, and compared. GA was run to make a total of 648 sample solutions for the 20-job problem. Next, ANN model was built based on the sample solutions' data and the optimal ANN model is identified out of 1,000 networks. The results were also coupled with sensitivity and statistical analyses, which indicated that type of crossover and mutation operators, had the greatest impact on the solution quality.

The use of Artificial Neural Network models for CO 2 capture plants

Reducing fatal and serious injuries sustained in traffic crashes on tribal lands is a priority of federal, state, and local agencies in the United States. In the state of Arizona, the proportion of fatal and severe injury crashes on several areas of tribal land are 4.0% higher compared with statewide statistics. There is a need to investigate why higher proportions of fatal and severe injuries are occurring on tribal lands to plan effective countermeasures aimed at improving traffic safety in these areas. This study presents an analysis of factors affecting injury severity in crashes occurring within five tribal reservations in the state of Arizona. Crash data were obtained from the Arizona Department of Transportation, and the analysis included data for 9,597 persons involved in traffic crashes on these tribal lands for the years 2010–2016. An ordered logit model with random parameters was estimated using this data to identify factors significantly associated with severe injury outcomes in the event of a crash on tribal lands. Several person-, vehicle-, roadway-, and environmental-related variables were found to impact injury severity. For instance, alcohol and safety device usage were significantly associated with severity outcomes. The results of this study have the potential to aid transportation agencies effectively plan strategies to reduce traffic crash injuries and fatalities on tribal lands, and potential countermeasures considering the 4Es of traffic safety (engineering, education, enforcement, and emergency medical services) are discussed.

Identification of the green tea grade level using electronic tongue and pattern recognition

Changes on the CIELab values of the dyed materials after the different chemical finishing treatments using artificial neural network (ANN) and linear regression (LR) models have been predicted. The whole structural properties of fabrics and some process data which were from fiber to the finishing parameters were accepted as inputs in these models. The networks having different structures were established, and it was also focus on the parameters which could affect the performance of the established networks. It was determined that we could successfully predict the color differences values occurring on the material after the finishing applications. In addition, we realized that some ANN parameters affected the prediction performance while establishing the models. After training ANN models, the prediction of the color difference values was also tried by linear regression models. Then, extra ANN models were established for all outputs using the parameters as inputs in the LR equations, and the prediction performances of both established models were compared. According to the results, the neural network model gives a more accurate prediction performance than the LR models.

The soil respiration (Rs) of forests is a major component of global Rs, yet few studies have focused on it. This study aimed to estimate global forest Rs and its changes at a resolution of 30 m via an artificial neural network (ANN) model. Five input candidates representing forest type, climatic, soil, and geographical information, as well as 1472 satisfactory forest Rs records, were used to build the ANN model and evaluate the model performance via a 10‐fold cross‐validation scheme. Global forest change data sets were used to accurately define the extent of forests and their changes, which was achievable because of the dynamic information and high resolution (30 m) of the data sets. The results indicate that the average annual global forest Rs from 2000 to 2020, as estimated by the optimal ANN model with an r2 value of 0.67 and a root‐mean‐square error of 252.6 g C m−2 yr−1, was 46.24 ± 5.86 Pg C yr−1. From 2001 to 2019, the average theoretical annual global forest Rs loss was 0.22 ± 0.06 Pg C yr−1 due to an average forest loss area of 23.4 million ha yr−1. In addition, the annual Rs theoretically increased by 0.75 Pg C in 2012 due to a global forest gain area of 80.5 million from 2001 to 2012. The presented data sets of global forest Rs and its changes can provide an accurate benchmark for discussing the carbon cycle and climate change at global to regional scales, even when operating over a small forest area (i.e., dozens of ha), which is a scale that has been ignored in other global Rs studies.

Using neural networks to predict thermal conductivity of food as a function of moisture content, temperature and apparent porosity

Artificial Neural networks (ANN) are powerful and effective tools in time-series applications. The first aim of this paper is to diagnose better and more efficient ANN models (Back Propagation, Radial Basis Function Neural networks (RBF), and Recurrent neural networks) in solving the linear and nonlinear time-series behavior. The second aim is dealing with finding accurate estimators as the convergence sometimes is stack in the local minima. It is one of the problems that can bias the test of the robustness of the ANN in time series forecasting. To determine the best or the optimal ANN models, forecast Skill (SS) employed to measure the efficiency of the performance of ANN models. The mean square error and the absolute mean square error were also used to measure the accuracy of the estimation for methods used. The important result obtained in this paper is that the optimal neural network was the Backpropagation (BP) and Recurrent neural networks (RNN) to solve time series, whether linear, semilinear, or non-linear. Besides, the result proved that the inefficiency and inaccuracy (failure) of RBF in solving nonlinear time series. However, RBF shows good efficiency in the case of linear or semi-linear time series only. It overcomes the problem of local minimum. The results showed improvements in the modern methods for time series forecasting.

Analyzing crash injury severity for a mountainous freeway incorporating real-time traffic and weather data

Prediction of the viscosity of clarified fruit juice using artificial neural network: a combined effect of concentration and temperature