Exploring the built environment determinants of traffic congestion with explainable machine learning methods

Artificial intelligence has been applied in wildfire science and management since the 1990s, with early applications including neural networks and expert systems. Since then, the field has rapidly progressed congruently with the wide adoption of machine learning (ML) methods in the environmental sciences. Here, we present a scoping review of ML applications in wildfire science and management. Our overall objective is to improve awareness of ML methods among wildfire researchers and managers, as well as illustrate the diverse and challenging range of problems in wildfire science available to ML data scientists. To that end, we first present an overview of popular ML approaches used in wildfire science to date and then review the use of ML in wildfire science as broadly categorized into six problem domains, including (i) fuels characterization, fire detection, and mapping; (ii) fire weather and climate change; (iii) fire occurrence, susceptibility, and risk; (iv) fire behavior prediction; (v) fire effects; and (vi) fire management. Furthermore, we discuss the advantages and limitations of various ML approaches relating to data size, computational requirements, generalizability, and interpretability, as well as identify opportunities for future advances in the science and management of wildfires within a data science context. In total, to the end of 2019, we identified 300 relevant publications in which the most frequently used ML methods across problem domains included random forests, MaxEnt, artificial neural networks, decision trees, support vector machines, and genetic algorithms. As such, there exists opportunities to apply more current ML methods — including deep learning and agent-based learning — in the wildfire sciences, especially in instances involving very large multivariate datasets. We must recognize, however, that despite the ability of ML models to learn on their own, expertise in wildfire science is necessary to ensure realistic modelling of fire processes across multiple scales, while the complexity of some ML methods such as deep learning requires a dedicated and sophisticated knowledge of their application. Finally, we stress that the wildfire research and management communities play an active role in providing relevant, high-quality, and freely available wildfire data for use by practitioners of ML methods.

Parameter importance assessment improves efficacy of machine learning methods for predicting snow avalanche sites in Leh-Manali Highway, India

Machine learning (ML) methods are attracting considerable attention among academics in the field of finance. However, it is commonly believed that ML has not transformed the asset management industry to the same extent as other sectors. This survey focuses on the ML methods and empirical results available in the literature that matter most for active portfolio management. ML has asset management applications for signal generation, portfolio construction, and trade execution, and promising findings have been reported. Reinforcement learning (RL), in particular, is expected to play a more significant role in the industry. Nevertheless, the performance of a sample of active exchange-traded funds (ETF) that use ML in their investments tends to be mixed. Overall, ML techniques show great promise for active portfolio management, but investors should be cautioned against their main potential pitfalls. 
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Formal Concept Analysis (FCA) is emerging in Data Science because of its generality, simplicity, and powerful mathematical foundation. It enabled a uniform data clustering methods into structured space of formal concepts. Several FCA based machine learning (ML) methods gave competitive results compared to classical methods. In another side, ensemble approach proved to be effective by aggregating different basic ML methods. Randomness improved other ML approaches. In this paper, we propose a new conceptual ML method by using random conceptual decomposition. This method integrated and experimented in the context of ensemble learning methods, gave encouraging good results, in general.

Developing Theory Using Machine Learning Methods

How Magic a Bullet Is Machine Learning for Credit Analysis? An Exploration with FinTech Lending Data

Machine learning guided design of functional materials with targeted properties

Right heart failure (RHF) remains a common and serious complication after durable left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. We used explainable machine learning (ML) methods to derive novel insights into preimplant patient factors associated with RHF. Continuous-flow LVAD implantations from 2008 to 2017 in the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS) were included. A total of 186 preimplant patient factors were analyzed and the primary outcome was 30 days of severe RHF. A boosted decision tree ML algorithm and an explainable ML method were applied to identify the most important factors associated with RHF, nonlinear relationships and interactions, and risk inflection points. Out of 19,595 patients, 19.1% developed severe RHF at 30 days. Thirty top predictors of RHF were identified with the top five being INTERMACS profile, Model for End-stage Liver Disease score, the number of inotropic infusions, hemoglobin, and race. Many top factors exhibited nonlinear relationships with key risk inflection points such as INTERMACS profile between 2 and 3, right atrial pressure of 15 mmHg, pulmonary artery pressure index of 3, and prealbumin of 23 mg/dl. Finally, the most important variable interactions involved INTERMACS profile and the number of inotropes. These insights could help formulate patient optimization strategies prior to LVAD implantation.

P125. Development of a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm for prediction of complications and readmission after anterior cervical spinal fusion

A dose deposition matrix (DDM) prediction method using several voxel features and a machine learning (ML) approach is proposed for plan optimization in radiation therapy. Head and lung cases with the inhomogeneous medium are used as training and testing data. The prediction model is a cascade forward backprop neural network where the input is the features of the voxel, including 1) voxel to body surface distance along the beamlet axis, 2) voxel to beamlet axis distance, 3) voxel density, 4) heterogeneity corrected voxel to body surface distance, 5) heterogeneity corrected voxel to beamlet axis, and (6) the dose of voxel obtained from the pencil beam (PB) algorithm. The output is the predicted voxel dose corresponding to a beamlet. The predicted DDM was used for plan optimization (ML method) and compared with the dose of MC-based plan optimization (MC method) and the dose of pencil beam-based plan optimization (PB method). The mean absolute error (MAE) value was calculated for full volume relative to the dose of the MC method to evaluate the overall dose performance of the final plan. For patient with head tumor, the ML method achieves MAE value 0.49 × 10-4 and PB has MAE 1.86 × 10-4. For patient with lung tumor, the ML method has MAE 1.42 × 10-4 and PB has MAE 3.72 × 10-4. The maximum percentage difference in PTV dose coverage (D98) between ML and MC methods is no more than 1.2% for patient with head tumor, while the difference is larger than 10% using the PB method. For patient with lung tumor, the maximum percentage difference in PTV dose coverage (D98) between ML and MC methods is no more than 2.1%, while the difference is larger than 16% using the PB method. In this work, a reliable DDM prediction method is established for plan optimization by applying several voxel features and the ML approach. The results show that the ML method based on voxel features can obtain plans comparable to the MC method and is better than the PB method in achieving accurate dose to the patient, which is helpful for rapid plan optimization and accurate dose calculation. Establishment of a new machine learning method based on the relationship between the voxel and beamlet features for dose deposition matrix prediction in radiation therapy.

Prediction of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has emerged as a useful technique for early detection of at-risk persons and the introduction of appropriate management strategies. Machine learning and data-driven methods have been used in predictive modeling to examine massive databases of patient demographics, medical histories, test findings, and genetic information. These cutting-edge methods allow for the profiling of high-risk patients and the tailoring of healthcare administration approaches. Patient outcomes, complication rates, and healthcare system efficiency may all benefit greatly from CKD screening and prediction. Responsible use of CKD prediction algorithms, however, requires resolving issues with data availability, integration, and ethics. The area of medicine has benefited greatly from the use of Machine Learning (ML) methods, which have played an increasingly central role in illness prediction. In this study, we use a strategy that makes use of ML methods to construct effective tools for predicting the development of CKD. Multiple ML models are trained, and their results are compared using a variety of criteria. We applied five ML methods such as logistic regression (LR), Decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN). The LR and KNN have the highest accuracy with 99%.

PurposeInjuries are common in sports and can have significant physical, psychological and financial consequences. Machine learning (ML) methods could be used to improve injury prediction and allow proper approaches to injury prevention. The aim of our study was therefore to perform a systematic review of ML methods in sport injury prediction and prevention.MethodsA search of the PubMed database was performed on March 24th 2020. Eligible articles included original studies investigating the role of ML for sport injury prediction and prevention. Two independent reviewers screened articles, assessed eligibility, risk of bias and extracted data. Methodological quality and risk of bias were determined by the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. Study quality was evaluated using the GRADE working group methodology.ResultsEleven out of 249 studies met inclusion/exclusion criteria. Different ML methods were used (tree-based ensemble methods (n = 9), Support Vector Machines (n = 4), Artificial Neural Networks (n = 2)). The classification methods were facilitated by preprocessing steps (n = 5) and optimized using over- and undersampling methods (n = 6), hyperparameter tuning (n = 4), feature selection (n = 3) and dimensionality reduction (n = 1). Injury predictive performance ranged from poor (Accuracy = 52%, AUC = 0.52) to strong (AUC = 0.87, f1-score = 85%). ConclusionsCurrent ML methods can be used to identify athletes at high injury risk and be helpful to detect the most important injury risk factors. Methodological quality of the analyses was sufficient in general, but could be further improved. More effort should be put in the interpretation of the ML models.

For an increasing number of preclinical samples, both detailed molecular profiles and their responses to various drugs are becoming available. Efforts to understand, and predict, drug responses in a data-driven manner have led to a proliferation of machine learning (ML) methods, with the longer term ambition of predicting clinical drug responses. Here, we provide a uniquely wide and deep systematic review of the rapidly evolving literature on monotherapy drug response prediction, with a systematic characterization and classification that comprises more than 70 ML methods in 13 subclasses, their input and output data types, modes of evaluation, and code and software availability. ML experts are provided with a fundamental understanding of the biological problem, and how ML methods are configured for it. Biologists and biomedical researchers are introduced to the basic principles of applicable ML methods, and their application to the problem of drug response prediction. We also provide systematic overviews of commonly used data sources used for training and evaluation methods.

Integrated phenology and climate in rice yields prediction using machine learning methods

Background Recently, the need for artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) methods in drug development and research is gaining high concern and more grounds. Moreover, providing pharmaceutical and related schools with non-commercial, free-to-use programming languages, software and tools is becoming an unavoidable need. The R programming language can be easily used, through the correct and simplified codes and packages, in conducting unsupervised ML methods, such as principal component analysis (PCA) and hierarchical clustering analysis (HCA), after calculating relevant descriptors of drugs and molecules. Objective The objective of this study was to assess the enhancement of non-computer sciences-based students’ perception of the use of machine learning methods such as PCA and HCA using R-programming in drug formulation. Results Undergraduate students were taught to use R program to derive PCA distinguishable plots such as score, loading and scree, in addition to HCA dendrograms, in the context of developing new pharmaceutical formulations. Surveys conducted pre- and post-teaching the course proved that implementation of such ML methods can help in better understanding and exploring the data, in order to derive meaningful conclusions, and make informed decisions that help develop pharmaceutical formulations of premium quality, with minimal resources consumption. Conclusion We hereby report the easy use of R-programming in applications and activities that introduce undergraduate Pharmaceutical Engineering and Biotechnology students to ML methods. Student surveys showed better student satisfaction and understanding of AI applications in solving pharmaceutical problems. We claim that these students and early_career researchers, who are non-specialists in computer science, can utilize R-programming to perform important pharmaceutical applications through the step-by-step guide and codes provided in this article. Graphical Abstract