Machine learning analysis plans for randomised controlled trials: detecting treatment effect heterogeneity with strict control of type I error

Parameter importance assessment improves efficacy of machine learning methods for predicting snow avalanche sites in Leh-Manali Highway, India

P125. Development of a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm for prediction of complications and readmission after anterior cervical spinal fusion

Performance evaluation of machine learning techniques in predicting cumulative absolute velocity

Machine learning (ML) methods are attracting considerable attention among academics in the field of finance. However, it is commonly believed that ML has not transformed the asset management industry to the same extent as other sectors. This survey focuses on the ML methods and empirical results available in the literature that matter most for active portfolio management. ML has asset management applications for signal generation, portfolio construction, and trade execution, and promising findings have been reported. Reinforcement learning (RL), in particular, is expected to play a more significant role in the industry. Nevertheless, the performance of a sample of active exchange-traded funds (ETF) that use ML in their investments tends to be mixed. Overall, ML techniques show great promise for active portfolio management, but investors should be cautioned against their main potential pitfalls. 
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This paper presents an evaluation of the accuracy of machine learning (ML) techniques in forecasting the realized volatility of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices. We compare several ML algorithms, including regularization, regression trees, random forests, and neural networks, to several heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models. The results show that the ML and regularization methods are efficient, even when there are only three predictors: daily, weekly, and monthly realized volatility (RV) lags. In addition, when the ML and regularization methods are applied, the results become more pronounced over longer forecasting horizons, as well as for weekly and monthly horizons. These ML methods are effective in approximating long‐term realized volatility. Furthermore, we found that additional explanatory variables for real‐time currency exchange contain valuable information to forecast the RV of crude oil prices.

The aim of this paper is to review machine learning (ML) algorithms and techniques for hate speech detection in social media (SM). Hate speech problem is normally model as a text classification task. In this study, we examined the basic baseline components of hate speech classification using ML algorithms. There are five basic baseline components – data collection and exploration, feature extraction, dimensionality reduction, classifier selection and training, and model evaluation, were reviewed. There have been improvements in ML algorithms that were employed for hate speech detection over time. New datasets and different performance metrics have been proposed in the literature. To keep the researchers informed regarding these trends in the automatic detection of hate speech, it calls for a comprehensive and an updated state-of-the-art. The contributions of this study are three-fold. First to equip the readers with the necessary information on the critical steps involved in hate speech detection using ML algorithms. Secondly, the weaknesses and strengths of each method is critically evaluated to guide researchers in the algorithm choice dilemma. Lastly, some research gaps and open challenges were identified. The different variants of ML techniques were reviewed which include classical ML, ensemble approach and deep learning methods. Researchers and professionals alike will benefit immensely from this study.

In the era of artificial intelligence, machine learning methods are successfully used in various fields. Machine learning has attracted extensive attention from investors in the financial market, especially in stock price prediction. However, one argument for the machine learning methods used in stock price prediction is that they are black-box models which are difficult to interpret. In this paper, we focus on the future stock price prediction with the historical stock price by machine learning and deep learning methods, such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), Bayesian classifier (BC), decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), bi-directional long-short term memory (BiLSTM), the embedded CNN, and the embedded BiLSTM. Firstly, we manually design several financial time series where the future price correlates with the historical stock prices in pre-designed modes, namely the curve-shape-feature (CSF) and the non-curve-shape-feature (NCSF) modes. In the CSF mode, the future prices can be extracted from the curve shapes of the historical stock prices. Conversely, in the NCSF mode, they can’t. Secondly, we apply various algorithms to those pre-designed and real financial time series. We find that the existing machine learning and deep learning algorithms fail in stock price prediction because in the real financial time series, less information of future prices is contained in the CSF mode, and perhaps more information is contained in the NCSF. Various machine learning and deep learning algorithms are good at handling the CSF in historical data, which are successfully applied in image recognition and natural language processing. However, they are inappropriate for stock price prediction on account of the NCSF. Therefore, accurate stock price prediction is the key to successful investment, and new machine learning algorithms handling the NCSF series are needed.

Research methods in machine learning play a pivotal role since the accuracy and reliability of the results are influenced by the research methods used. The main aims of this paper were to explore current research methods in machine learning, emerging themes, and the implications of those themes in machine learning research. To achieve this the researchers analyzed a total of 100 articles published since 2021 in IEEE journals. This study revealed that Machine learning uses quantitative research methods with experimental research design being the de facto research approach. The study also revealed that researchers nowadays use more than one algorithm to address a problem. Optimal feature selection has also emerged to be a key thing that researchers are using to optimize the performance of Machine learning algorithms. Confusion matrix and its derivatives are still the main ways used to evaluate the performance of algorithms, although researchers are now also considering the processing time taken by an algorithm to execute. Python programming languages together with its libraries are the most used tools in creating, training, and testing models. The most used algorithms in addressing both classification and prediction problems are; Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, Artificial Neural Networks, and Decision Tree. The recurring themes identified in this study are likely to open new frontiers in Machine learning research. Keywords: Research methods in machine learning, machine learning algorithms, machine learning techniques.

Machine learning (ML) is the most common technique for predicting the future or for classifying information, to help people make the required decisions. ML techniques are based on algorithms – sets of mathematical procedures that explain the relationship between variables. ML algorithms are trained in situations where they learn from past data and can even evaluate historical data. After extensive training, the algorithm can recognize patterns sufficiently to make predictions. ML provides methods, techniques, and tools that can help in solving diagnostic and prognostic problems in a variety of medical domains. It is being used for the analysis of the importance of clinical parameters and their combinations for prognosis, e.g., for prediction of disease progression, for the extraction of medical information to predict research outcomes, for therapy planning and support, and for overall patient management. ML is also being used for data analysis, such as detection of patterns in the data by dealing appropriately with imperfect data, interpretation of continuous data generated in the Intensive Care Unit, and for intelligent alarms, resulting in effective and efficient monitoring. Successful implementation of ML methods can help the integration of computer-based systems into the healthcare environment, providing opportunities to facilitate and enhance the work of medical experts, and ultimately to improve the efficiency and quality of medical care. Most ML methods can be categorized into one of two types of learning techniques, namely supervised or unsupervised algorithms. A supervised learning algorithm takes a known set of input data (the training set) and known responses to the data (the output) and trains a model to generate reasonable predictions for the response to new input data. In medicine, supervised learning involves training a model to relate a person’s characteristics (e.g., height, weight, smoking status) to a certain outcome (onset of diabetes within five years, for example). Once the algorithm is successfully trained, it will be capable of making outcome predictions when supplied with new data. Predictions which are made by models trained using supervised learning can be either discrete (e.g., positive or negative, benign or malignant) or continuous (e.g., a score from 0 to 100). A supervised model which produces discrete categories (sometimes referred to as classes) is referred to as a classification algorithm. Examples of classification algorithms include those which predict whether a tumor is benign or malignant, or to establish whether comments written by a patient convey a positive or negative sentiment. In practice, classification algorithms return the probability of a class (between 0 for impossible and 1 for certain). Common classification algorithms are Logistic Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor, Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, and Naïve Bayes. A supervised model which returns a prediction of a continuous value is known as a regression algorithm, which might be used by ML to predict an individual’s life expectancy or the tolerable dose of chemotherapy. Supervised ML algorithms are typically developed using a dataset, which contains several variables and a relevant outcome. In contrast with supervised learning, unsupervised learning does not involve a predefined outcome. In unsupervised learning, patterns are sought by algorithms without any input from the user. Unsupervised techniques are thus exploratory and used to find undefined patterns or clusters which occur within datasets. In this chapter, the use of different types of supervised and unsupervised ML algorithms for various applications in health care are discussed.

Simple SummaryMachine learning (ML) offers new approaches for analyzing data and is particularly interesting for large datasets. Dairy farmers implement a wide range of sensors, which create large amounts of data, in farming. Therefore, they offer an interesting area for data-driven research. In this review, we show how ML methods have already been used in the scientific literature and describe the potential that these may offer for the future. We found that ML methods were applied to predict data in a variety of areas in dairy farming such as milk yield or energy consumption; however, larger integrated datasets are required to improve the reliability of the algorithms developed.Dairy farmers use herd management systems, behavioral sensors, feeding lists, breeding schedules, and health records to document herd characteristics. Consequently, large amounts of dairy data are becoming available. However, a lack of data integration makes it difficult for farmers to analyze the data on their dairy farm, which indicates that these data are currently not being used to their full potential. Hence, multiple issues in dairy farming such as low longevity, poor performance, and health issues remain. We aimed to evaluate whether machine learning (ML) methods can solve some of these existing issues in dairy farming. This review summarizes peer-reviewed ML papers published in the dairy sector between 2015 and 2020. Ultimately, 97 papers from the subdomains of management, physiology, reproduction, behavior analysis, and feeding were considered in this review. The results confirm that ML algorithms have become common tools in most areas of dairy research, particularly to predict data. Despite the quantity of research available, most tested algorithms have not performed sufficiently for a reliable implementation in practice. This may be due to poor training data. The availability of data resources from multiple farms covering longer periods would be useful to improve prediction accuracies. In conclusion, ML is a promising tool in dairy research, which could be used to develop and improve decision support for farmers. As the cow is a multifactorial system, ML algorithms could analyze integrated data sources that describe and ultimately allow managing cows according to all relevant influencing factors. However, both the integration of multiple data sources and the obtainability of public data currently remain challenging.

Artificial intelligence has been applied in wildfire science and management since the 1990s, with early applications including neural networks and expert systems. Since then, the field has rapidly progressed congruently with the wide adoption of machine learning (ML) methods in the environmental sciences. Here, we present a scoping review of ML applications in wildfire science and management. Our overall objective is to improve awareness of ML methods among wildfire researchers and managers, as well as illustrate the diverse and challenging range of problems in wildfire science available to ML data scientists. To that end, we first present an overview of popular ML approaches used in wildfire science to date and then review the use of ML in wildfire science as broadly categorized into six problem domains, including (i) fuels characterization, fire detection, and mapping; (ii) fire weather and climate change; (iii) fire occurrence, susceptibility, and risk; (iv) fire behavior prediction; (v) fire effects; and (vi) fire management. Furthermore, we discuss the advantages and limitations of various ML approaches relating to data size, computational requirements, generalizability, and interpretability, as well as identify opportunities for future advances in the science and management of wildfires within a data science context. In total, to the end of 2019, we identified 300 relevant publications in which the most frequently used ML methods across problem domains included random forests, MaxEnt, artificial neural networks, decision trees, support vector machines, and genetic algorithms. As such, there exists opportunities to apply more current ML methods — including deep learning and agent-based learning — in the wildfire sciences, especially in instances involving very large multivariate datasets. We must recognize, however, that despite the ability of ML models to learn on their own, expertise in wildfire science is necessary to ensure realistic modelling of fire processes across multiple scales, while the complexity of some ML methods such as deep learning requires a dedicated and sophisticated knowledge of their application. Finally, we stress that the wildfire research and management communities play an active role in providing relevant, high-quality, and freely available wildfire data for use by practitioners of ML methods.

Genomic prediction plays an increasingly important role in modern animal breeding, with predictive accuracy being a crucial aspect. The classical linear mixed model is gradually unable to accommodate the growing number of target traits and the increasingly intricate genetic regulatory patterns. Hence, novel approaches are necessary for future genomic prediction. In this study, we used an illumina 50K SNP chip to genotype 4190 egg-type female Rhode Island Red chickens. Machine learning (ML) and classical bioinformatics methods were integrated to fit genotypes with 10 economic traits in chickens. We evaluated the effectiveness of ML methods using Pearson correlation coefficients and the RMSE between predicted and actual phenotypic values and compared them with rrBLUP and BayesA. Our results indicated that ML algorithms exhibit significantly superior performance to rrBLUP and BayesA in predicting body weight and eggshell strength traits. Conversely, rrBLUP and BayesA demonstrated 2-58% higher predictive accuracy in predicting egg numbers. Additionally, the incorporation of suggestively significant SNPs obtained through the GWAS into the ML models resulted in an increase in the predictive accuracy of 0.1-27% across nearly all traits. These findings suggest the potential of combining classical bioinformatics methods with ML techniques to improve genomic prediction in the future.

A dose deposition matrix (DDM) prediction method using several voxel features and a machine learning (ML) approach is proposed for plan optimization in radiation therapy. Head and lung cases with the inhomogeneous medium are used as training and testing data. The prediction model is a cascade forward backprop neural network where the input is the features of the voxel, including 1) voxel to body surface distance along the beamlet axis, 2) voxel to beamlet axis distance, 3) voxel density, 4) heterogeneity corrected voxel to body surface distance, 5) heterogeneity corrected voxel to beamlet axis, and (6) the dose of voxel obtained from the pencil beam (PB) algorithm. The output is the predicted voxel dose corresponding to a beamlet. The predicted DDM was used for plan optimization (ML method) and compared with the dose of MC-based plan optimization (MC method) and the dose of pencil beam-based plan optimization (PB method). The mean absolute error (MAE) value was calculated for full volume relative to the dose of the MC method to evaluate the overall dose performance of the final plan. For patient with head tumor, the ML method achieves MAE value 0.49 × 10-4 and PB has MAE 1.86 × 10-4. For patient with lung tumor, the ML method has MAE 1.42 × 10-4 and PB has MAE 3.72 × 10-4. The maximum percentage difference in PTV dose coverage (D98) between ML and MC methods is no more than 1.2% for patient with head tumor, while the difference is larger than 10% using the PB method. For patient with lung tumor, the maximum percentage difference in PTV dose coverage (D98) between ML and MC methods is no more than 2.1%, while the difference is larger than 16% using the PB method. In this work, a reliable DDM prediction method is established for plan optimization by applying several voxel features and the ML approach. The results show that the ML method based on voxel features can obtain plans comparable to the MC method and is better than the PB method in achieving accurate dose to the patient, which is helpful for rapid plan optimization and accurate dose calculation. Establishment of a new machine learning method based on the relationship between the voxel and beamlet features for dose deposition matrix prediction in radiation therapy.

A systematic literature review of machine learning methods applied to predictive maintenance

Machine learning (ML) is being used to improve intrusion detection mechanisms and identification in cyber security. Network data volume scaling (with the help of Machine learning) — Automated analysis and pattern recognition for large amounts of network-data, thereby detection of anomalies / potentially malicious activities that escape current rule-based techniques. By training ML models on historical data, these models can learn benign network behavior as well the anomalies in them that may result from malicious activities. The purpose of this essay/report is to begin taking a look under the hood at how ML can be used for security threat detection and analysis in-networking on an ongoing basis. This paper covers the automation of ML algorithms to enhance network security. Given the current state of electronic threats and their evolution, traditional security methods are typically insufficient. ML can analyze large volumes of data, learn patterns from it and this makes it suitable to complement network defense mechanisms. It then discusses different ML applications in network cybersecurity: intrusion detection, anomaly detection, spam and malware analysis; which the paper characterizes. It analyzes the potential, benefits and constrains of major ML methods in network security like supervised learning; unsupervised learning and reinforcement-learning. Finally, this paper represents recent progress in the use and impact of ML techniques along with case studies.The paper discusses the existing difficulties in the field such as the necessity for datasets and the vulnerability of machine learning models to adversarial attacks.T he paper also highlights avenues for exploration by focusing on developing scalable security solutions based on machine learning that are resilient and flexible.The goal of this examination is to offer both researchers and industry professionals valuable perspectives into the opportunities and obstacles linked to utilizing machine learning, in the domain of network security. ML methods have potential to improve network security by addressing the challenges posed by the increasing cyber threats that traditional security measures struggle to combat effectively over time. One key strength of ML lies in its capacity to analyze datasets and identify intricate patterns efficiently. The research paper delves into applications of ML in enhancing network security. The list covers security tools like Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) examining malware and phishing attempts as well as anomalies in network activity and user behavior analysis (UEBA). The study explores both supervised and unsupervised learning methods. How they are used for quick threat detection and response in real time scenarios.You will find case studies and recent developments that showcase the implementation and effectiveness of these strategies.In addition the article delves into the obstacles linked to using machine learning techniques in network security including the necessity, for datasets, The paper's goal is to give an enlightening summary to scholars and practitioners about how machine learning can be applied to network security in order to provide solutions that are robust, adaptive, and scalable. To this end, it touches on several relevant aspects. One is the threat posed by adversarial attacks on the sorts of models that are likely to be used in this context. Another is the imperative, deriving from both adversarial threat and model drift, that models needed in this context be available in a form usable for continuous update. Keywords: Network Security, machine learning (ML), Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS), entity behavior analytics (UEBA).